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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread


John1122
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Weather/Hazards Highlights...

Another day of lake effect snow is likely across the Great Lakes
Thursday, with potentially heavy amounts piling up downwind of Lake
Ontario after a snowy short range period too. Meanwhile, some
light to moderate rain is forecast across the Southeast Thursday,
while the low aloft could help produce some precipitation across
southern California. Then precipitation is forecast to spread
across parts of the Southwest, the southern/central Rockies, and
across much of the southeastern U.S. into Friday. With the cold air
in place, ice and snow are likely across much of the southern tier
in likely a notable winter storm. The precipitation, including
snow and ice, is forecast to spread east into the Carolinas and
Mid-Atlantic on Saturday, lasting until Sunday and potentially
spreading north into the Northeast. Model guidance has converged on
the potential for an impactful storm, but it will take additional
time to refine the details of precipitation amounts and type, so
continue to monitor forecasts. Elsewhere, precipitation could
increase across the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies this
weekend as shortwaves move through.


-NWS


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55 minutes ago, Scottie16 said:

Models have been very inconsistent and uncertainty is high for the latter periods, but there is general agreement that a system will
bring more precipitation to the area sometime in the Friday/Saturday/Sunday time frame. Right now models suggest a mixed bag of precip types, with both rain and snow possible, but given how far out it still is as well as the poor model agreement and consistency, we will need to monitor and wait for more clarity on
the details as we get closer.

-NWS MORRISTOWN


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