CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago They can have it. Too much disappointment there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They can have it. Too much disappointment there. I think you may have it worse than Chief Wiggum 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I think you may have it worse than Chief Wiggum Lately, probably lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NAM coming north with better precip, it's been the least favorable model for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: NAM coming north with better precip, it's been the least favorable model for SNE can something actually go right here, I feel like it has been way too many years.....I mean, anything above 5 inches would rank 2nd biggest since 21/22 season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Nam had to come north at 18z. Congrats Stamford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Nice thump on the NAM...in and out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: can something actually go right here, I feel like it has been way too many years.....I mean, anything above 5 inches would rank 2nd biggest since 21/22 season I know it's been bad .. I wonder what I'm at.. nice seeing he NAM join.. I think the floor here is 4" unless that band tics SW last minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3K is shredded though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: 3K is shredded though. Awful model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: 3K is shredded though. wow that is ugly...looks more like convective precip lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3km is funny, congrats small stripe around philly no snow north of trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago We’re cooked here. I’d rather not flurries so they don’t dump 40 tons of salt on my road again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: 3km is funny, congrats small stripe around philly no snow north of trenton If I recall, it looked similar for yesterday's event, literally showed snow showers, with literally little to no accumulation everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This might be a case where the snow comes in like a wall, falls 2"+ per hour for 2-2.5 hours then quickly starts to shut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: If I recall, it looked similar for yesterday's event, literally showed snow showers, with literally little to no accumulation everywhere I never looked yesterday .. RRFS / 3KM NAM , congrats philly.. otherwise very good consensus on a 4-8"+ snowfall around nyc metro and 75 miles radius Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This might be a case where the snow comes in like a wall, falls 2"+ per hour for 2-2.5 hours then quickly starts to shut off. Ya def comes in and is heavy within an hour then pukes massive dendrites for 1-3 hours, then periods of light to moderate snow with not great growth for a while 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I never looked yesterday .. RRFS / 3KM NAM , congrats philly.. otherwise very good consensus on a 4-8"+ snowfall around nyc metro and 75 miles radius Phily could actually get porked with sleet lol. that mlvl dry push may seriously screw with things. I have no clue what to take on it. I feel like it won't be an issue because it will be trailing the precip shield but I suppose some of that drier air could get entrained and it screws the whole process up. Maybe that's what the 3km is doing? Kind of hard to tell...not much for products available on the 3km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Phily could actually get porked with sleet lol. that mlvl dry push may seriously screw with things. I have no clue what to take on it. I feel like it won't be an issue because it will be trailing the precip shield but I suppose some of that drier air could get entrained and it screws the whole process up. Maybe that's what the 3km is doing? Kind of hard to tell...not much for products available on the 3km Tons of sleet and a narrow area kf snow perhaps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Tons of sleet and a narrow area kf snow perhaps. I’ll be up all night monitoring the sleet line near Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tons of sleet and a narrow area kf snow perhaps. This is going to be a nightmare right up until go time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Icon has been taking this away from us up here for like 5 cycles now and it finally finished the job. See ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Phily could actually get porked with sleet lol. that mlvl dry push may seriously screw with things. I have no clue what to take on it. I feel like it won't be an issue because it will be trailing the precip shield but I suppose some of that drier air could get entrained and it screws the whole process up. Maybe that's what the 3km is doing? Kind of hard to tell...not much for products available on the 3km 3km and rrfs are just lost .. no precip north of Trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: 3km and rrfs are just lost .. no precip north of Trenton I was just looking at the RRFS...that and the 3km are like what event lol. I guess thankfully we are a bit out of the time range for the mesos but I think they should yield some degree of concern. They both sort of hint at the potential for basically a narrow band of precip and that is it. I'd have to hedge them being underdone in terms of precipitation but they may have the right idea on the narrowness of the heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I was just looking at the RRFS...that and the 3km are like what event lol. I guess thankfully we are a bit out of the time range for the mesos but I think they should yield some degree of concern. They both sort of hint at the potential for basically a narrow band of precip and that is it. I'd have to hedge them being underdone in terms of precipitation but they may have the right idea on the narrowness of the heavy snow. Definitely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Definitely I think we will get one more 25-50 mile move on consensus with this. Where it’s another NE or SW, idk it can go either way. Obviously in this forum we want a good bump NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This might be a case where the snow comes in like a wall, falls 2"+ per hour for 2-2.5 hours then quickly starts to shut off. 2/8/94 did that down here. Overrunning events tend to do that, it often comes right at the beginning where it goes gangbusters or somewhere mid-end while the in between periods are light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 2/8/94 did that down here. Overrunning events tend to do that, it often comes right at the beginning where it goes gangbusters or somewhere mid-end while the in between periods are light. The one I remember best was November 2018. NJ into SW CT got absolutely crushed...that was with a SWFE I think but that was wild. I think Newark got something like 6-7" of snow. What made this event worse was it occurred during evening rush hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RGEM nice bump up like NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Liking the trend to continue light to moderate snow on Nam and rgem after the thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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