Snow Potential Dec 26-27

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Euro and eps shreds this. Thats why totals are lower but still a few inches. 

Given the strength of the block it might end up being that way (shredded)

[Krs4Lfe]

I would still rather take my chances with a strong HP block that might shred the system as opposed to an amplified low that might move north of NYC (like the last Icon model showed). I’ll take my chances with shredders like last winter because it’s too cold as opposed to 2023 or 2024 winters where it was too warm and we got rain from almost every system 

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Given the strength of the block it might end up being that way (shredded)

Icon way north  LOL

[Krs4Lfe]

8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon way north  LOL

Yeah we don't want the low moving too far to our north. Still a good hit for the guys up north, but verbatim it's mainly a rainstorm down here. I think the GFS and Euro are likely too far south, but the Icon is probably as far north as solutions can possibly go. 

[Stormlover74]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon way north  LOL

Still probably more likely than the gfs

[Stormlover74]

Fwiw at the end of their runs the nam is pretty far south while the rgem is way north

[David-LI]

5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Fwiw at the end of their runs the nam is pretty far south while the rgem is way north

NAM end of run is not accurate.

[EastonSN+]

GFS is a touch south

[MJO812]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

GFS is a touch south

Ai and gfs is a SNJ Storm

[EastonSN+]

[EastonSN+]

[WeatherGeek2025]

so Icon crappiest model is way north and second crappiest model GfS is way south! I'd trust what Euro has to say

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

so Icon crappiest model is way north and second crappiest model GfS is way south! I'd trust what Euro has to say

Euro has been slowly bumping south which makes sense with the blocking trending stronger

[Stormlover74]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ai and gfs is a SNJ Storm

Still 3 to 6 up here

[Stormlover74]

7 minutes ago, David-LI said:

NAM end of run is not accurate.

Yes we know

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Yes we know

give me an inch rather than the white rain i just got!

[David-LI]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yes we know

Might be right this time

[EastonSN+]

[WeatherGeek2025]

4 minutes ago, David-LI said:

Might be right this time

Nam hasn't been right since 2016

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

the real map considering this would be below freezing for everybody! 

 

[MJO812]

Cmc colder

[EastonSN+]

[Stormlover74]

Ukie

[sussexcountyobs]

NYC is going to get a 3-6", possibly 6 to even 9 or 10" out of this one.

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

NYC is going to get a 3-6", possibly 6 to even 9 or 10" out of this one.

Hope so. Should be cold at the start with a possible front end thump before any mixing

[North and West]

2 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

NYC is going to get a 3-6", possibly 6 to even 9 or 10" out of this one.

Maybe more, maybe less.

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

NYC is going to get a 3-6", possibly 6 to even 9 or 10" out of this one.

way too early for that...still could miss with the S trends on several models

[SnoSki14]

Blocking looks really strong. GFS might be closer than you think 

[NorthShoreWx]

51 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

the real map considering this would be below freezing for everybody! 

 

But that's probably sleet along the Mason-Dixon.

[MJO812]

AI euro and little colder