Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26

[TheClimateChanger]

5 minutes ago, colonel717 said:

Looks like North Hills area getting moderate to heavy snow? 

The 0z NAM had no snow starting until 1am. I have maybe quarter inch so far. 

Snowing at a good clip in my backyard. Sticking quickly.

[RitualOfTheTrout]

4 hours ago, north pgh said:

There it is!

[PghPirates27]

15 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

There it is!

Let’s go!!!

[PghPirates27]

1/2” ish in Evans city. As of midnight.

[MikeB_01]

Doesn’t look like much on the radar right now, but it’s a snow globe in bethel right now


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[blackngoldrules]

Doesn’t look like much on the radar right now, but it’s a snow globe in bethel right now


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Moderate to heavy snow right now. Radar filled in nicely for us.

Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk

[north pgh]

3 hours ago, blackngoldrules said:

Moderate to heavy snow right now. Radar filled in nicely for us.

Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk
 

I picked up close to 2 inches. Snow stuck to everything. Nice little surprise this morning. Waiting for a few squalls today. 

[colonel717]

Looks beautiful out. I went to bed at 3 and radar looked great. Looks like we had some rain mix in earlier. Will measure in a little.

[Gordo74]

About 1.5" here. I'd say almost a full 1" more than just down the hill less than a mile from me. Temps must have really mattered to get it on the ground.

[colonel717]

Not sure how much compaction occurred with the brief mix we had but definitely at least 2 inches. So I think that was an over performer. Most were calling for .5 to 1 inch over night for part 1. NAM was horrible. Canadian was best that I could tell.  Nice that we had high moisture content. doesn't sublimate as quick so want to keep this around until late next week.

Not sure when the snow squalls are supposed to come today.

[colonel717]

Not seeing much in that way of squalls for this afternoon on any guidance. Plus going to be pretty warm. IMBY sitting at a little under 28 inches so far for the winter. 

[ChalkHillSnowNut]

Got 3” and just about wrapping up right now-I suppose most will melt today before the arctic air comes in

[RitualOfTheTrout]

I ended up with about an inch, maybe it was closer to 1.5 before the compacting / melting. 

[RitualOfTheTrout]

1 hour ago, colonel717 said:

Not seeing much in that way of squalls for this afternoon on any guidance. Plus going to be pretty warm. IMBY sitting at a little under 28 inches so far for the winter. 

NWS still seems bullish on the chance of heavier convective snow showers. Hopefully they are right.

SNOW SQUALLS/SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING INTO THIS
AFTERNOON...

Scattered snow showers are beginning to move through eastern Ohio
late this morning. Some snow squalls are possible heading into
this afternoon along and north of I-70. The most intense snow
squalls are expected to be between 1pm and 6pm. Some challenging
travel conditions will be possible with a sudden drop in
visibility and a quick coating of snow within snow showers. If
traveling remain alert for changing road conditions.

$$

[colonel717]

8 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

NWS still seems bullish on the chance of heavier convective snow showers. Hopefully they are right.

SNOW SQUALLS/SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING INTO THIS
AFTERNOON...

Scattered snow showers are beginning to move through eastern Ohio
late this morning. Some snow squalls are possible heading into
this afternoon along and north of I-70. The most intense snow
squalls are expected to be between 1pm and 6pm. Some challenging
travel conditions will be possible with a sudden drop in
visibility and a quick coating of snow within snow showers. If
traveling remain alert for changing road conditions.

$$

Ohio had quite the line of squalls this morning. Many had whiteouts.  The sky is very dark, just looks like it wants to snow.  But not sure how much will stick if we do get squalls with temps above freezing.

[colonel717]

What a storm brewing on GFS next weekend. Snow to heavy sleet to rain back to snow. Canadian has a small snow. Nothing like GFS.

 

[colonel717]

Squall lines getting closer. Looks like best area will be north of the city

[CoraopolisWx]

1 hour ago, colonel717 said:

What a storm brewing on GFS next weekend. Snow to heavy sleet to rain back to snow. Canadian has a small snow. Nothing like GFS.

 

For almost a week now, the GFS has been pretty consistent with a high qpf event for that time period. We’ll see if all of the guidance starts narrowing in on a solution by at least Wednesday. 

[RitualOfTheTrout]

3 hours ago, colonel717 said:

Ohio had quite the line of squalls this morning. Many had whiteouts.  The sky is very dark, just looks like it wants to snow.  But not sure how much will stick if we do get squalls with temps above freezing.

Thus far it looks pretty underwhelming and better organized north of us. Guess we will have to wait and see what happens.

Sucks too because most of the snow in my yard is gone. Wouldn't mind the cold coming in if I at least have an inch of snow on the ground.

[colonel717]

1 hour ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Thus far it looks pretty underwhelming and better organized north of us. Guess we will have to wait and see what happens.

Sucks too because most of the snow in my yard is gone. Wouldn't mind the cold coming in if I at least have an inch of snow on the ground.

A lot of melting today but I had 4 inches on the ground so I still have full cover. Temps dropping so shouldn't lose much more. Have a couple light events next few days so should add to it hopefully before a bigger snow hopefully next weekend. I think more northern stream storms  unlike what GFS is showing will be more likely next weekend. 

Looks like latest 3k Nam has some instability snow showers tonight between 11pm and 2 am or so. Also several hours of snow showers tomorrow night. 

[RitualOfTheTrout]

1 hour ago, colonel717 said:

A lot of melting today but I had 4 inches on the ground so I still have full cover. Temps dropping so shouldn't lose much more. Have a couple light events next few days so should add to it hopefully before a bigger snow hopefully next weekend. I think more northern stream storms  unlike what GFS is showing will be more likely next weekend. 

Looks like latest 3k Nam has some instability snow showers tonight between 11pm and 2 am or so. Also several hours of snow showers tomorrow night. 

Yeah, can't win em all. We've done well so far this winter so I can't complain. 

Hopefully one of these upcoming shortwaves rotating through dumps a quick fresh coating 

[colonel717]

[Rd9108]

6 hours ago, colonel717 said:

Typical warm tongue storm atleast the gfs isn't the only one showing this now. 

[MikeB_01]

Typical warm tongue storm atleast the gfs isn't the only one showing this now. 

Something to track and the hope for. You never know. Maybe this is the big one?

*excuse my over optimism. I refuse to be negative this far out.


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[Ahoff]

Even with a warm tongue potential.  That would be coming after some seriously cold weather, correct.  It's hard to scour out cold air, I thought anyway.  Maybe it hangs on a bit longer before warm air over runs it.

[colonel717]

All 4 ops had at least 4-6 inches for next weekend. GFS was getting laughed at by many for showing some of the solutions it has, but now EURO gives those runs some support.

I picked up a 1/4 inch overnight. Hope others who lost their snow got whitened up. Saw there was a nice band going thru north AGC around 2am. 

[colonel717]

1 hour ago, Rd9108 said:

Typical warm tongue storm atleast the gfs isn't the only one showing this now. 

At least the WTOD is being depicted more south than GFS. Still 6-7 days to sort this out. Models have all been terrible even short range as you see on Josh's sight yesterday and today. 

[Ahoff]

13 minutes ago, colonel717 said:

All 4 ops had at least 4-6 inches for next weekend. GFS was getting laughed at by many for showing some of the solutions it has, but now EURO gives those runs some support.

I picked up a 1/4 inch overnight. Hope others who lost their snow got whitened up. Saw there was a nice band going thru north AGC around 2am. 

To be fair the GFS was getting laughed at for showing us getting 6 feet, not 6 inches, lol.

[RitualOfTheTrout]

1 hour ago, Ahoff said:

Even with a warm tongue potential.  That would be coming after some seriously cold weather, correct.  It's hard to scour out cold air, I thought anyway.  Maybe it hangs on a bit longer before warm air over runs it.

If a storm cuts to far NW, for SW PA its fairly easy to scour out cold air absent a well placed high to funnel cold dry air down and even then we usually end up with sleet or freezing rain. 

Areas in central PA and east of the Appalachian mountains can dam up cold air thanks the mountains. In a good CAD setup its not uncommon for us to rain, while well South into VA still has frozen.

[RitualOfTheTrout]

59 minutes ago, colonel717 said:

All 4 ops had at least 4-6 inches for next weekend. GFS was getting laughed at by many for showing some of the solutions it has, but now EURO gives those runs some support.

I picked up a 1/4 inch overnight. Hope others who lost their snow got whitened up. Saw there was a nice band going thru north AGC around 2am. 

I got about a half inch, maybe a little more. Bare ground is covered. Another light snow tonight into tomorrow morning before the core of the really cold sets in looks to be on tap.