E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[PhiEaglesfan712]

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

3" depth

 

 

Is this still slush or now mud?

[RedSky]

8 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Is this still slush or now mud?

Slush cover yard is white

 

[LVblizzard]

Snowpack is gone here except in spots that don’t see any sun.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Euro has a march 2-3 two-part winter storm 

[RedSky]

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Euro has a march 2-3 two-part winter storm 

Look at that arctic dome over the North American continent on March 2nd 

Has Eaglesfan712 seen that 

[RedSky]

The following system on the euro gets squished south by deep winter 

[Kevin Reilly]

Just now, RedSky said:

The following system on the euro gets squished south by deep winter 

Right where we want it 

[Ralph Wiggum]

47 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Look at that arctic dome over the North American continent on March 2nd 

Has Eaglesfan712 seen that 

I mean, why not right?

[RedSky]

12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I mean, why not right?

This could be the next ice age bro

[Ralph Wiggum]

GFS has another winter storm in about 3.5 days 

[RedSky]

11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

GFS has another winter storm in about 3.5 days 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Euro AI says no 70s first week of March. Rather, it has 3 separate winter events in that 7 day stretch. 

[Duca892]

5 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

GFS has another winter storm in about 3.5 days 

Still there on 6z lmfao 

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Still there on 6z lmfao 

2 more

[PhiEaglesfan712]

6 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Euro AI says no 70s first week of March. Rather, it has 3 separate winter events in that 7 day stretch. 

Neither scenario is going to happen. I see mostly seasonable, 40s and 50s, the first week of March.

Three separate winter events in the first 7 days of March is not even realistic. That has never happened before, not even in the historic March 2018 (which the 3 events were spread over 3 weeks).

At best, we're only going to get one, and even then, I think the temperatures are a bit too warm and the sun angle is a bit too high for a snow event. If any precipitation falls during the first week of March, it will be rain.

[Duca892]

I am going to be the weather junkie that I am.... any maps available from 6z GFS? That thing is in and out in a blink, but could be a nice 2-3in refresh. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

6 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Neither scenario is going to happen. I see mostly seasonable, 40s and 50s, the first week of March.

Three separate winter events in the first 7 days of March is not even realistic. That has never happened before, not even in the historic March 2018 (which the 3 events were spread over 3 weeks).

At best, we're only going to get one, and even then, I think the temperatures are a bit too warm and the sun angle is a bit too high for a snow event. If any precipitation falls during the first week of March, it will be rain.

Absolutely, I dont 'expect' 3 events in that time frame. I was just happy to see it seasonal and not 70. Too early for that.

[Ralph Wiggum]

2 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

I am going to be the weather junkie that I am.... any maps available from 6z GFS? That thing is in and out in a blink, but could be a nice 2-3in refresh. 

Here are the GFS and Euro from 6z for Thirsday night:

[Ralph Wiggum]

Euro disapproved of the March 2-3 window but like the March 7 window instead:

[Ralph Wiggum]

GFS is a hefty thump to mix for March 2 window:

[Duca892]

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Here are the GFS and Euro from 6z for Thirsday night:

Ralph thank you as always. Supports are there for another quick refresh. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, Duca892 said:

Ralph thank you as always. Supports are there for another quick refresh. 

Yep I will take a refresh any day. The winter that keeps on giving.

[JTA66]

Not to be greedy, but hoping we can get an accumulating snow in March, even if it is just a sloppy inch or two. Not often we can claim accumulating snows in Dec, Jan, Feb and March -- it's like hitting for the cycle.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

26 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Not to be greedy, but hoping we can get an accumulating snow in March, even if it is just a sloppy inch or two. Not often we can claim accumulating snows in Dec, Jan, Feb and March -- it's like hitting for the cycle.

I believe 2013-14 was the last time we got above average snow all 4 months.

[The Iceman]

8 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

I believe 2013-14 was the last time we got above average snow all 4 months.

I think technically 17-18 we had snow all 4 months but not above average for all 4.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

8 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I think technically 17-18 we had snow all 4 months but not above average for all 4.

Yeah, that outlier warm February really skewed the stats for that winter. That was the only month with above average temperatures and below average snowfall. December, January, March, and April were all cold, but that very warm February made the winter near normal to slightly above average temperaturewise.

April 2, 2018 probably should have had a snow measurement (people say the T measurement at the Airport was suspect to keep the seasonal total below 30 inches), but I don't really know for sure as I was on vacation in Portugal that day.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Hello RGEM:

[Duca892]

We TRACK!