MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Gefs looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago EURO AI this morning a nothing burger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Hey @Roger Smithis there an up stream kicker forcing it OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Im not loving all 3 major ens systems taking the system farther off the coast at 0z. If we are going to have a reversal like last system, changes need to happen by 12z wednesday imo. This was looking better 24 hrs ago but there is still time. I wonder if we can sacrifice a super wound up, phased, negative tilted system with just having it dig less south and close off closer to our latitude. At least then you get some ULL snows. Certainly not giving up on this one yet, the larger setup is volatile to small changes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Euro Ai, squateroo. this one is slipping away fast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6z Euro says no. not good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 49 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said: Euro Ai, squateroo. this one is slipping away fast 42 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said: 6z Euro says no. not good. 13 hours ago, hazwoper said: Read more. Post less. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago guys, take a break, I know I m getting killed here, but this one just isn't meant to be. that's ok. next one will get us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This feature circled has trended further southeast almost every run, I have no idea if this is affecting the outcome but it was above Montana/north Dakota on the flush euro hits yesterday and today it’s in southern Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago there's just no negative tilt to bring it closer. we need to accept that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I am as frustrated as anyone. sometimes this is how it goes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, MickeyTim6533 said: I am as frustrated as anyone. sometimes this is how it goes Bro we don’t care if it misses or not, you are literally contributing nothing though. We all know how to look at the models. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Bro we don’t care if it misses or not, you are literally contributing nothing though. We all know how to look at the models. He's all over the boards this morning. Just put him on ignore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago low of 5 today. damn cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, MickeyTim6533 said: Euro Ai, squateroo. this one is slipping away fast Cannot be slipping away fast with more than 4 days to go....been there done this way too many times. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 52 minutes ago, The Iceman said: This feature circled has trended further southeast almost every run, I have no idea if this is affecting the outcome but it was above Montana/north Dakota on the flush euro hits yesterday and today it’s in southern Minnesota. That’s the kicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said: That’s the kicker So we want that norther or wester? Yeah, I always thought the rule of thumb is we want that junk dropping in over the Dakotas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Plenty of single digit lows this morning with our lowest as is often the case in Warwick Township with a low of 3.8 above zero. Several degrees colder both today and Wednesday with highs in the upper teens with low temperatures in the colder valley locations near or below zero. Even colder air arrives on Thursday and Friday with widespread below zero readings and highs in the low to mid-teens. There will be a coastal low this weekend, but most model guidance keeps the impacts well east of the Philly burbs with snow possible toward the NJ shore points. That said there is still a possibility it will trend a bit closer to the coast and gives us some additional snow. Stay warm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 26 minutes ago, JTA66 said: So we want that norther or wester? Yeah, I always thought the rule of thumb is we want that junk dropping in over the Dakotas. From past experiences once there is a kicker its pretty much game over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago You want zero interaction and or have the kicker late or non existent 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago What do the Euro ens say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: What do the Euro ens say? Ots but there are still a few big hitters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgentworth Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12z ICON appears to be another step better at the surface with the low trackign just off shore of NC but then slides OTS. Just doesn't go negative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhilsFanDrew Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 hours ago, Duca892 said: GFS a whiff again. Running out of time what this one No we aren't. The piece of energy that is responsible for this storm signal hasn't even made landfall in the US so models are basically guessing at this point until it can sample it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12z GFS AI ticking back to coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 55 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: What do the Euro ens say? Mark Shanaberger post the 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago 12z GFS operational also backing west bound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 57 minutes ago Share Posted 57 minutes ago 12z GFS looking remarkably improved, gonna be a big hit for at least eastern folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago Hmmm. starts moving back SE..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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