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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion


LVblizzard
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Let's call upon the ghost of the famous unforecasted January 2000 storm that was forecast right up till the day of the storm to slide off the coast.....but as the radar hallucinations began to get the weenies yelling - look it's coming straight north - this one actually did. Here in Chester County we ended up with 11" of snow. Could it happen again? Who remembers that one?

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1 hour ago, ChescoWx said:

Let's call upon the ghost of the famous unforecasted January 2000 storm that was forecast right up till the day of the storm to slide off the coast.....but as the radar hallucinations began to get the weenies yelling - look it's coming straight north - this one actually did. Here in Chester County we ended up with 11" of snow. Could it happen again? Who remembers that one?

That's how I remember it. Pre-internet for me, so when I got home that evening, I flipped on TWC and saw the radar with a stream of moisture pointed right at us. My immediate thought was, "if that doesn't make a hard right in the next hour or two, how do we NOT get snow??" Fun times!

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It’s sunny and cold today with high temperatures close to freezing. Light snow should begin tomorrow morning and last for a few hours from late morning through early afternoon. Roads should be mainly wet with temperatures just above freezing in most spots. There could be some minor accumulations of up to 1" in some higher spots of NW Chesco. We turn even colder with temperatures remaining below freezing from tomorrow afternoon through at least Thursday morning. We will moderate a bit by next weekend before the coldest weather of the season so far arrives to close out the final week of January.

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33 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

12z HRRR has a solid advisory level event north of the immediate Philly metro tomorrow. Even pushes warning criteria in parts of northern NJ.

some of the other meso's last night also hinted at this. Will be interesting to see what they say today. Could be a sneak advisory level event with the timing especially upper bucks/lehigh valley by the delaware river.

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5 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

some of the other meso's last night also hinted at this. Will be interesting to see what they say today. Could be a sneak advisory level event with the timing especially upper bucks/lehigh valley by the delaware river.

Mesos seem to agree on a stripe of 2-4” somewhere between Philly and the Poconos tomorrow. The question is where exactly does it set up? I’m feeling pretty good in Allentown but the Poconos could do particularly well because of their elevation.

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Mesos seem to agree on a stripe of 2-4” somewhere between Philly and the Poconos tomorrow. The question is where exactly does it set up? I’m feeling pretty good in Allentown but the Poconos could do particularly well because of their elevation.
12z nam gives areas nw of 95 some love tomorrow. 2-4". Snow comes in 2 waves. Would be daytime snow and nice for a Saturday.

Edit: Kutchera is 4-5" in Berks and Lehigh counties lol

Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk


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GFS/CMC suite stubbornly hanging on to Sunday from 95 S and E. Would only be a c-2" but still... As I said before, I'm happy with any white. I think there's a solid chance at a c-2" tonight/tomorrow from 95  N and W too. Some years it just wants to snow...

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1 hour ago, The Iceman said:

GFS/CMC suite stubbornly hanging on to Sunday from 95 S and E. Would only be a c-2" but still... As I said before, I'm happy with any white. I think there's a solid chance at a c-2" tonight/tomorrow from 95  N and W too. Some years it just wants to snow...

Yepper. Our January thaw was nice while it lasted. I think we had 2 or 3 days AN lol.

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20 minutes ago, RedSky said:

First half of January around +2.5F that will make the cold second half look a bit less impressive in the final number crunch

 

Actually here in the Chesco only 1.5 AN....we appear heading for our 4th straight below normal temperature month and 5th out of the last 6 months - that is impressive in our current warm cycle...suspect we may be trending to our next cooling cycle.

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