First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

This COMPLETELY Screws the Entirety of there State of Rhode Island, still gets Tolland something, and is fantastic just north of the NH border, so I can guarantee This will be the solution.  

Rip a few chords!

[moneypitmike]

6 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

This COMPLETELY Screws the Entirety of there State of Rhode Island, still gets Tolland something, and is fantastic just north of the NH border, so I can guarantee This will be the solution.  

You're worse than I!

[moneypitmike]

23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

UKIE kind of meh but high end advisory snows

Weak sauce.

[weatherwiz]

I’m going to say 4-6” is probably ceiling with this. Maybe some 7-8” reports if things really fall right and depending on the angle of the ruler into the snow. But I will wear a Santa hat and do cartwheels if I can get 4-5” Dec 2

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah the Ukie is quite flaccid with rates. Not gonna be much warning snow on that look. 

[CoastalWx]

I’m cleaning my gutters. Should I just end it all? 

[dryslot]

I had mentioned 4-8" to a few the other day, No need to change that right now.

[dryslot]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I’m cleaning my gutters. Should I just end it all? 

Going to jump off the ladder?

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I’m going to say 4-6” is probably ceiling with this. Maybe some 7-8” reports if things really fall right and depending on the angle of the ruler into the snow. But I will wear a Santa hat and do cartwheels if I can get 4-5” Dec 2

Are you saying for your backyard or that's the ceiling for the storm?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dryslot said:

Going to jump off the ladder?

I have Sarah Maclachlan playing on the blue tooth speaker. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

Are you saying for your backyard or that's the ceiling for the storm?

The storm but I also think I could get into that range. I think a lot would have to go right to really get a widespread area of 6-7-8-9” or so. But depending on how this evolves there could room for those higher totals a bit farther north into parts of NH

[dryslot]

GYX

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Overview: Low pressure lifting into the Canadian Maritimes will
drag a cold front across the area Sunday night into Monday
morning. High pressure builds in from the west and crests over
the area Monday night. A progressive area of low pressure will
track near southern New England Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday
morning bringing accumulating snow to much of the area. High
pressure builds in late Wednesday followed by an Arctic cold
front crossing Thursday.

Impacts:

*The Tuesday evening commute likely see impacts from
 accumulating snowfall that could linger into Wednesday morning,
 particularly across the southern half of the area.

Much of the forecast area south of the mountains will see the
potential for several inches of accumulating snow starting
around mid day Tuesday and lasting into Wednesday morning.
Global models are in general agreement in the synoptic setup
with a low amplitude trough lifting NE across the Mid Atlantic
towards southern New England Tuesday night. However, subtle
differences in the latitude and sharpness of the trough has
resulted in a spread in the track and amplification of the
surface low amongst deterministic guidance. A look at ensembles
shows somewhat better agreement with loose clustering of low
centers tracking near 40N/70W Tuesday evening. The lack of
upstream blocking will lead to the surface low progressing ENE
south of Nova Scotia by early Wednesday morning. This track will
favor mostly snow with DESI showing probabilities of greater
than 3 inches along and south of the foothills around 50-60
percent. The parent trough to this system is currently in the
Gulf of Alaska and will move onshore within better sampling of
RAOBs some time late tonight into Sunday. This will bear
watching over the coming days as the more amplified solutions
will bring the potential for near Warning level snowfall if they
were to verify.

Low pressure quickly exits into the Canadian Maritimes
Wednesday afternoon with high pressure briefly building in from
the southwest. High pressure will be suppressed south Thursday
as an Arctic cold front takes aim at northern New England.

[CoastalWx]

Euro AI op looks more like its previous ensembles at 12z. Getting a clue.

[Ginx snewx]

Ct has high school playoffs across thr state on Tuesday 

[Ginx snewx]

30 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

This COMPLETELY Screws the Entirety of there State of Rhode Island, still gets Tolland something, and is fantastic just north of the NH border, so I can guarantee This will be the solution.  

Fantastic news

[8611Blizz]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m cleaning my gutters. Should I just end it all? 

Don't you live in a one floor Ranch ? 

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 distinct camps in the 12z GEFS

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI op looks more like its previous ensembles at 12z. Getting a clue.

Gives me half a foot 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

Don't you live in a one floor Ranch ? 

Dutch Gambrel. Nothing fancy. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Gives me half a foot 

Looks too cold 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Looks too cold 

Keeps CF practically on me. I don’t  buy that with this setup. 

[8611Blizz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Dutch Gambrel. Nothing fancy. 

Ok. Older part of town... I have family in Weymouth in mid century ranch land .

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Dutch Brothel. Nothing fancy. 

Man that's gotta be awesome 

[ORH_wxman]

12z euro looks more phased so I’m thinking we’re gonna get the big WAA push ahead of it instead of turning things to the east quicker. If that trend continues, it probably turns into a mostly non-event for SNE. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

Ok. Older part of town... I have family in Weymouth in mid century ranch land .

This hood was built in 86. There’s definitely a lot of older homes around here with this area being part of the old ship building times.

[ORH_wxman]

It’s still not as phased as those other solutions but keep an eye on trends. 

[dryslot]

12z Euro well east, Extreme SEMA and the cape see snow, Maybe 1-2" further west.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

12z euro looks more phased so I’m thinking we’re gonna get the big WAA push ahead of it instead of turning things to the east quicker. If that trend continues, it probably turns into a mostly non-event for SNE. 

Ya the writings on the wall in terms of trends, everything is trending towards snow axis across CNE

[CoastalWx]

Still really tilted at 500. Haven’t caught up but I hear it’s east.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah srn end of s/w is not like 00z for sure.