Tue 11/11/25 Minor impact OBS-Nowcasts for marginal scattered gusts 45-50 MPH 9A-9P and possibly the first snow Trace of the season at CP

[Uniblab]

4 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Did it get down to 32 at any of the New York City reporting stations?

34 right now with light snow here. 

I recorded 31°

[sussexcountyobs]

Snow has stopped as of 3:30pm. Most accurate measurement I could get on unpaved sheltered wood surface was 1.25"

Currently 31.3°

[steve392]

This was posted around lunchtime.  Stockholm, nj

 

[FPizz]

1 minute ago, steve392 said:

This was posted around lunchtime.  Stockholm, nj

 

This was from early this morning at sunrise.  I posted it 8 hours ago on page 1.  It was pretty treacherous out there this morning in parts of the area.  The sticking snow surprised many.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

Received 0.3 inches here. Nice start to the season. 

[psv88]

1 hour ago, wdrag said:

    

Currently using 35658 observations from 5253 unique global stations over the past 3 hours.
Last Updated: Tue Nov 11 20:31:19 UTC 2025

0 stations reporting wind gusts 70kt or stronger0 stations reporting wind gusts 60-69kt2 stations reporting wind gusts 50-59kt

KISP: Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY, United States [51kt, 26m/s]

 

35 stations reporting wind gusts 40-49kt since Noon today. 

 

KACY: Atlantic City, Atlantic City Intl Arpt, NJ, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KAOO: Altoona, Altoona-Blair County Airport, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KBWI: Baltimore, MD, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KFRG: Farmingdale, Republic Airport, NY, United States [44kt, 23m/s]

KHPN: White Plains, NY, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KILG: Wilmington, New Castle County Airport, DE, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KISP: Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KJFK: JFK Intl Arpt, NY, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

 

KJRB: Manhattan/Wall Street Heliport, NY, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KLGA: New York, La Guardia Airport, NY, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KLNS: Lancaster, Lancaster Airport, PA, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KMIV: Millville, Millville Municipal Airport, NJ, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KMTP: Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KORH: Worcester, Worcester Regional Airport, MA, United States [49kt, 25m/s]

KPHL: Philadelphia, Philadelphia Intl Arpt, PA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KPNE: NE Philadelphia, PA, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KPVD: Providence, RI, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KRSP: Campd David, MD, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

I believe that 51 knots (59 mph) at islip. A few gusts were very high end. 

[Brasiluvsnow]

Finally feels like winter let's get this thing rockin and rolling ,,,,,,,,,,,let it snow let it snow let it snow!!!!!

[gravitylover]

I wasn't home when it stopped snowing but it was sticking to everything, even the edges of the local streets. When I got home there was easily a quarter inch accumulated on everything but the streets. 

[sussexcountyobs]

2 hours ago, steve392 said:

This was posted around lunchtime.  Stockholm, nj

 

That was actually from about 7 am this morning. Originally posted on Route 23 Life on Facebook. 

[jm1220]

If 59mph at Islip is real, pretty sure there should’ve been a high wind warning. Today definitely should’ve been a wind advisory. 

[psv88]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

If 59mph at Islip is real, pretty sure there should’ve been a high wind warning. Today definitely should’ve been a wind advisory. 

Today was the windiest day of the year. My yard was in shambles 

[uofmiami]

Gusted to 36 mph in Syosset & only 31 mph in Muttontown. 

[jm1220]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Today was the windiest day of the year. My yard was in shambles 

Yep, lawn furniture all over my backyard.

[wdrag]

There were two reports of trees down on e LI in the Local Storm Reports. 

Below shows the stronger ECMWF Wind gust tool easily prevailed over all other model guidance. 

661
NOUS41 KOKX 120225
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-121425-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
925 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

...HIGHEST WIND GUST REPORTS...

Location                     Speed     Time/Date       Provider

...Connecticut...

...Fairfield County...
St Lukes School              45 MPH    0417 PM 11/11   MESOWEST
Bridgeport Airport           40 MPH    1058 AM 11/11   ASOS

...New Haven County...
Bethany                      47 MPH    0142 PM 11/11   CWOP
Stony Creek                  46 MPH    0155 PM 11/11   CWOP
Lighthouse Point             45 MPH    1211 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
New Haven Airport            40 MPH    0416 PM 11/11   ASOS

...New London County...
Groton Airport               43 MPH    0340 PM 11/11   ASOS

...New Jersey...

...Bergen County...
Teterboro Airport            43 MPH    0335 PM 11/11   ASOS

...Essex County...
Caldwell                     41 MPH    0156 PM 11/11   ASOS

...Union County...
Newark Airport               45 MPH    0151 PM 11/11   ASOS

...New York...

...Kings County...
South Slope                  43 MPH    1056 AM 11/11   CWOP
Brooklyn College             43 MPH    0400 PM 11/11   NYSM

...Nassau County...
Bayville                     53 MPH    0206 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Wantagh                      41 MPH    0135 PM 11/11   NYSM
MASSAPEQUA                   40 MPH    1113 AM 11/11   CWOP
Merrick                      40 MPH    0255 PM 11/11   CWOP

...New York (Manhattan) County...
Midtown Manhattan            45 MPH    0320 PM 11/11   NYSM
Central Park                 40 MPH    0204 PM 11/11   ASOS

...Orange County...
Montgomery Airport           44 MPH    0406 PM 11/11   AWOS

...Queens County...
NYC/La Guardia               48 MPH    0156 PM 11/11   ASOS
Kew Garden Hills             47 MPH    0405 PM 11/11   NYSM
NYC/JFK Airport              46 MPH    1155 AM 11/11   ASOS
Breezy Point                 40 MPH    1206 PM 11/11   WXFLOW

...Richmond County...
College of Staten Island     44 MPH    0140 PM 11/11   NYSM
2 SE Elizabeth               43 MPH    0148 PM 11/11   NDBC

...Rockland County...
Suffern                      45 MPH    0400 PM 11/11   NYSM

...Suffolk County...
Eatons Neck                  61 MPH    0238 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Baiting Hollow               60 MPH    0319 PM 11/11   CWOP
Islip Airport                59 MPH    0253 PM 11/11   ASOS
Great Gull Island            54 MPH    0138 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Brookhaven                   52 MPH    0315 PM 11/11   CWOP
Farmingdale Airport          51 MPH    0219 PM 11/11   ASOS
Southold                     50 MPH    0305 PM 11/11   CWOP
Shirley Airport              48 MPH    0316 PM 11/11   ASOS
Westhampton Airport          48 MPH    0343 PM 11/11   ASOS
Montauk Airport              47 MPH    1207 PM 11/11   ASOS
Orient                       46 MPH    0245 PM 11/11   CWOP
Shoreham                     46 MPH    0315 PM 11/11   DAVIS
Ridge                        46 MPH    0322 PM 11/11   CWOP
Fishers Island Airport       44 MPH    0340 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
West Gilgo Beach             42 MPH    0105 PM 11/11   CWOP
Fire Island CG               42 MPH    0145 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Mecox Bay                    42 MPH    0343 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Stony Brook                  40 MPH    1040 AM 11/11   NYSM
Stony Brook                  40 MPH    0303 PM 11/11   CWOP

...Westchester County...
White Plains Airport         53 MPH    0220 PM 11/11   ASOS

...Maritime Stations...

...Connecticut...
Stongington Outer Breakwater 51 MPH    0222 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
1 ESE Norwalk                44 MPH    1127 AM 11/11   WXFLOW

...New Jersey...
Jersey City                  50 MPH    1158 AM 11/11   CWOP

...New York...
15 S Atlantic Beach          51 MPH    0350 PM 11/11   NDBC
26 SSE Robert Moses State Pa 49 MPH    0300 PM 11/11   NDBC
Manhattan Dwntwn             49 MPH    0926 AM 11/11   AWOS
Robbins Reef, NJ             48 MPH    1112 AM 11/11   NOS-PORTS
Fire Island CG               46 MPH    0151 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Shinnecock                   46 MPH    0335 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Point O Woods YC             45 MPH    1242 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
Northport                    43 MPH    0225 PM 11/11   DAVIS
Kings Point                  43 MPH    0418 PM 11/11   NOS-NWLON
Larchmont Harbor             40 MPH    0112 PM 11/11   WXFLOW
&&

[wdrag]

This was the EPS max gust tool from the 18z/10 (Monday) cycle for Tue.  You can match with the wind gust reports. I added some LSR's as well.  If interested click for clarity

[wdrag]

Philly max wind gusts...

00
NOUS41 KPHI 112159
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-
071-101>106-120959-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
459 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS FOR NOVEMBER 11, 2025...

Location                     Speed     Time/Date       Provider             


...New Jersey...

...Atlantic County...
Atlantic City Airport        46 MPH    1130 AM 11/11   ASOS                 
Atlantic City                46 MPH    1240 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
2 ESE Pleasantville          44 MPH    0150 PM 11/11   AWS                  
BRIGANTINE                   41 MPH    1117 AM 11/11   CWOP                 
Pleasantville Point          41 MPH    1229 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               

...Burlington County...
Mount Holly                  44 MPH    0326 PM 11/11   ASOS                 
Moorestown                   41 MPH    1255 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
McGuire AFB                  38 MPH    0355 PM 11/11   AWOS                 

...Camden County...
Pennsauken                   44 MPH    1200 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
Blue Anchor                  35 MPH    0210 PM 11/11   RAWS                 

...Cape May County...
1.2 NW Avalon                52 MPH    0233 PM 11/11   HADS                 
Cape May Harbor              49 MPH    1215 PM 11/11   HADS                 
Cape May                     47 MPH    1216 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Villas                       45 MPH    0405 AM 11/11   DAVIS                
Ocean City                   41 MPH    0137 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Cape May                     39 MPH    1155 AM 11/11   AWOS                 
Dennis Twp.                  39 MPH    1225 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
West Cape May                38 MPH    0225 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
Woodbine Muni                38 MPH    1153 AM 11/11   AWOS                 
North Wildwood               35 MPH    1215 PM 11/11   DAVIS                

...Cumberland County...
Fortescue                    50 MPH    1200 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
Millville                    46 MPH    0208 PM 11/11   ASOS                 
Upper Deerfield              40 MPH    0125 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
Bivalve                      37 MPH    1139 AM 11/11   HADS                 
Greenwich                    37 MPH    0327 PM 11/11   HADS                 

...Gloucester County...
Kingsway Regional HS         42 MPH    1150 AM 11/11   MESOWEST             
Logan Twp.                   35 MPH    0130 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              

...Mercer County...
Trenton                      43 MPH    0203 PM 11/11   ASOS                 

...Middlesex County...
Perth Amboy                  43 MPH    0134 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Deans                        36 MPH    1010 AM 11/11   RAWS                 
1 NNW Yorketown              36 MPH    0254 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
South Amboy                  35 MPH    0255 PM 11/11   DAVIS                

...Monmouth County...
1.0 NW Keansburg             45 MPH    0139 PM 11/11   HADS                 
Belmar Farmdale              43 MPH    0214 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
SEA BRIGHT                   43 MPH    0305 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Sea Girt                     41 MPH    0105 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
Monmouth                     40 MPH    0153 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Cream Ridge                  37 MPH    0135 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
Oceanport                    35 MPH    0140 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              

...Morris County...
Randolph                     40 MPH    0325 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Morristown                   35 MPH    1245 PM 11/11   AWOS                 

...Ocean County...
Beach Haven                  51 MPH    0216 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Mantoloking                  49 MPH    0146 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Rutgers                      49 MPH    1202 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Harvey Cedars                47 MPH    0150 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
North Beach Haven            46 MPH    0105 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Tuckerton                    45 MPH    1233 PM 11/11   HADS                 
North Beach                  42 MPH    1115 AM 11/11   DAVIS                
Seaside Heights              42 MPH    0209 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Toms River                   41 MPH    0107 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
Surf City                    40 MPH    0115 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
South Seaside Park           39 MPH    0129 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Brick                        38 MPH    1225 PM 11/11   DAVIS                
Seaside Park                 38 MPH    0315 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Trixies                      38 MPH    0125 PM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Long Beach Township          37 MPH    0125 PM 11/11   DAVIS                
Berkeley Twp.                36 MPH    1210 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              
Ship Bottom                  35 MPH    0330 PM 11/11   CWOP                 

...Salem County...
Mannington Twp.              35 MPH    0325 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              

...Somerset County...
Somerville                   35 MPH    0246 PM 11/11   ASOS                 

...Sussex County...
High Point Monument          43 MPH    0140 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              

...Warren County...
Blairstown                   37 MPH    1239 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
Stewartsville                36 MPH    0135 PM 11/11   NJWXNET              

...Pennsylvania...

...Berks County...
Reading                      45 MPH    0110 PM 11/11   ASOS                 
Hopewell                     43 MPH    0143 PM 11/11   RAWS                 
LENHARTSVILLE                42 MPH    0315 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
2 WSW Hamburg                38 MPH    1010 AM 11/11   PADOT                
Sinking Spring               35 MPH    0113 PM 11/11   CWOP                 

...Bucks County...
Burlington NOS               40 MPH    1224 PM 11/11   NOS-PORTS            
Doylestown                   40 MPH    1240 PM 11/11   ASOS                 
Newbold NOS                  39 MPH    0300 PM 11/11   NOS-PORTS            
Kintnersville                38 MPH    1245 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Nockamixon                   38 MPH    1043 AM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Perkasie                     38 MPH    1235 PM 11/11   AWOS                 

...Chester County...
White Clay Creek West Grove- 46 MPH    1150 AM 11/11   DEOS2                
Coatesville                  43 MPH    0315 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
West Chester                 43 MPH    0340 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
Marsh Creek                  41 MPH    1055 AM 11/11   WXFLOW               
Octoraro Creek Atglen        40 MPH    1150 AM 11/11   DEOS2                
1 ESE West Sadsbury Twp      38 MPH    1225 PM 11/11   PADOT                
Cochranville                 37 MPH    0239 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Oxford                       36 MPH    1215 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
Kimberton                    35 MPH    0205 PM 11/11   DAVIS                
Red Clay Creek Kennett Squar 35 MPH    0105 PM 11/11   DEOS2                

...Delaware County...
Upper Chichester             35 MPH    1215 PM 11/11   CWOP                 

...Lehigh County...
Lehigh Valley Intl Airport   45 MPH    1054 AM 11/11   ASOS                 
Queen City                   44 MPH    1235 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
Trexler                      41 MPH    1143 AM 11/11   RAWS                 
Macungie                     39 MPH    1240 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
New Tripoli                  36 MPH    0110 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
COOPERSBURG                  35 MPH    1130 AM 11/11   CWOP                 

...Monroe County...
Mt. Pocono                   43 MPH    0825 PM 11/10   ASOS                 
Wind Gap                     36 MPH    0850 PM 11/10   PADOT                

...Montgomery County...
1 SE Fort Washington         43 MPH    0125 PM 11/11   PADOT                
Philly Wings Field           39 MPH    0115 PM 11/11   AWOS                 
Pottstown                    39 MPH    0109 PM 11/11   ASOS                 
Willow Grove                 37 MPH    0200 PM 11/11   CWOP                 
King Of Prussia              35 MPH    1125 AM 11/11   CWOP                 

...Northampton County...
BATH                         36 MPH    1021 AM 11/11   CWOP                 
CATASAUQUA                   36 MPH    1253 PM 11/11   CWOP                 

...Philadelphia County...
Philadelphia Northeast       53 MPH    0214 PM 11/11   ASOS                 
1 SSE South Philadelphia     52 MPH    0210 PM 11/11   PADOT                
Philadelphia International  47 MPH    1154 AM 11/11   ASOS                 

...New Jersey...

...Maritime Stations...
Sea Isle City                47 MPH    1245 PM 11/11   HADS                 
1.1 N Margate City           38 MPH    1257 PM 11/11   HADS                 
&&
 

[psv88]

And not even a wind advisory! Yet gusts to 60. Insane 

[etudiant]

3 hours ago, psv88 said:

And not even a wind advisory! Yet gusts to 60. Insane 

Would that be because of the government shutdown?

I'm frankly impressed that so many services are still functioning, the Weather Service in particular.

[wdrag]

We don't know exactly what drives an advisory--- and OKX and PHI may say it wasn't warranted for areal coverage etc. Who knows...

My goal for the post was that the flurry situation was well documented as first for the season, AND, that the Blend of Models and most, if not all other modeling gust tools were inferior to the ECMWF gust tool.  This is twice in succession that I've noticed the ECMWF has excelled one 40kt or greater gusts, even overcoming NAM and GFS limited R# (eddy) transfer for the 11/11 event.

If all other models show 40KT plus gusts inclusive of the SPC HREF, better issue the advisory.  If most don't...hesitate. 

Power outages increased for a time in NJ but not equivalent to the 31st when the trees were more fully leaved the gust criteria was exceeded even in the interior.