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Tropical Storm Gabrielle

WxWatcher007

By WxWatcher007,
in Tropical Headquarters

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STORMANLI

STORMANLI

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I have a thing or two to say! First thing- this might take the cake as the most questionably named TS ever! Second thing- I still don’t see a defined center and they even mentioned it is marginally organized at best. I guess the assumption is it keeps organizing through the day but man that’s a questionable call with multiple circulations within a broad wave 

Totally agree. Hostile environment. So if the 5pm Scatterometer analysis does not find Tropical-Storm force winds, will it attain or tie a record for the shortest-lived named storm?

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GaWx

GaWx

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, GaWx said:


 I bet Bastardi will have a thing or two to say about this upgrade lol.

Followup:

 JB was surprisingly quiet. All he said was this: “Now, the red-hatched area has been designated Tropical Depression 7, posing a threat to Bermuda but not the U.S.”

 But then he immediately mentioned a possible unexpected “side-show Bob” to form off the SE US.

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GaWx

GaWx

Posted
Posted

12Z summary of main ops

-Icon H 250 miles E/SE of Bermuda 9/22-3
-GFS another relatively weak run with a TS over Bermuda but takes 10 days (9/27)!
-CMC H 150 miles E/SE of Bermuda 9/22
-Euro H 200 miles E/SE of Bermuda 9/22
-JMA out to only 72 as a TD recurving
-UKMET: TS ~150 miles E of Bermuda 9/22:

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 20.0N 50.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 18.09.2025 24 20.0N 50.9W 1009 35
0000UTC 19.09.2025 36 20.8N 53.2W 1009 31
1200UTC 19.09.2025 48 21.3N 55.3W 1010 29
0000UTC 20.09.2025 60 22.4N 58.1W 1011 30
1200UTC 20.09.2025 72 23.6N 59.5W 1011 27
0000UTC 21.09.2025 84 25.1N 61.1W 1011 29
1200UTC 21.09.2025 96 26.9N 61.2W 1011 33
0000UTC 22.09.2025 108 29.3N 62.0W 1008 43
1200UTC 22.09.2025 120 31.2N 62.2W 1007 47
0000UTC 23.09.2025 132 33.5N 61.9W 1005 41
1200UTC 23.09.2025 144 36.5N 58.5W 1003 42
0000UTC 24.09.2025 156 39.5N 52.7W 994 43
1200UTC 24.09.2025 168 42.3N 44.3W 982 52

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rclab

rclab

Posted
Posted
50 minutes ago, MANDA said:

You realize the population of Bermuda is WELL below 100K never mind MILLIONS.

The article is pure clickbait.

Understood! I only meant it for the location accuracy to Bermuda. Sadly too many articles use this headline tactic even outside the weather sphere. Stay well, as always ….

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MANDA

MANDA

Posted
Posted
55 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Wow what a beautiful naked swirl 

Pathetic looking and not going anywhere fast as far as intensification that's for sure.  Never should have been upgraded to TS status yesterday.  Leaving it as a depression might have even been generous. What a season thus far.

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GaWx

GaWx

Posted
Posted

 He was slow this time, but Bastardi finally this morning had his expected say about Gabrielle’s current anemic look vs the NC/VA no name system:

What a Joke. Stratocu Swirl Gabrielle

Then Joe compares satellite images of the two:

Gabrielle: now a naked swirl but still being called a TS

IMG_4616.png.f6d8a8a051140ade6e5c270f53b2318f.png


Offshore NC/VA nontropical low: was never tropical and thus was never a TS but unlike Gabrielle now it did have some nearby convection/tropical characteristics at this point:

IMG_4617.png.721cdcb424a8a15923bd3782d2b90b55.png
 

  What JB especially doesn’t like is the inconsistency more than whether or not the offshore NC/VA nontropical low should have been named (he was wishy-washy on that). He thinks Gabrielle should be downgraded though I have to admit it still has a very tight tropical swirl unlike no-name.

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Seminole

Seminole

Posted
Posted
57 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 He was slow this time, but Bastardi finally this morning had his expected say about Gabrielle’s current anemic look vs the NC/VA no name system:

What a Joke. Stratocu Swirl Gabrielle

Then Joe compares satellite images of the two:

Gabrielle: now a naked swirl but still being called a TS

IMG_4616.png.f6d8a8a051140ade6e5c270f53b2318f.png


Offshore NC/VA nontropical low: was never tropical and thus was never a TS but unlike Gabrielle now it did have some nearby convection/tropical characteristics at this point:

IMG_4617.png.721cdcb424a8a15923bd3782d2b90b55.png
 

  What JB especially doesn’t like is the inconsistency more than whether or not the offshore NC/VA nontropical low should have been named (he was wishy-washy on that). He thinks Gabrielle should be downgraded though I have to admit it still has a very tight tropical swirl unlike no-name.

Maybe the happy middle is naming non tropical storms and use a naming convention that is different than what is used for tropical storms. This would raise public awareness to a certain degree. Off the top of my head, maybe use the NATO Phonetic alphabet for non tropical storms. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATO_phonetic_alphabet

 

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NorthHillsWx

NorthHillsWx

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, GaWx said:

 He was slow this time, but Bastardi finally this morning had his expected say about Gabrielle’s current anemic look vs the NC/VA no name system:

What a Joke. Stratocu Swirl Gabrielle

Then Joe compares satellite images of the two:

Gabrielle: now a naked swirl but still being called a TS

IMG_4616.png.f6d8a8a051140ade6e5c270f53b2318f.png


Offshore NC/VA nontropical low: was never tropical and thus was never a TS but unlike Gabrielle now it did have some nearby convection/tropical characteristics at this point:

IMG_4617.png.721cdcb424a8a15923bd3782d2b90b55.png
 

  What JB especially doesn’t like is the inconsistency more than whether or not the offshore NC/VA nontropical low should have been named (he was wishy-washy on that). He thinks Gabrielle should be downgraded though I have to admit it still has a very tight tropical swirl unlike no-name.

IMO, they named this storm before it met tropical cyclone criteria, namely it didn’t have a closed circulation. It has certainly acquired that now, but with 0 convection, this should be a depression at best. I will go on a limb and say, there is NO way this is producing TS force winds right now

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