2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[Met1985]

Models have trended warmer overnight. 

[nchighcountrywx]

Good Morning.  Referencing latest official guidance from WPC

 

 

 

[nchighcountrywx]

GSP 717am Updates 

 

 

[wncsnow]

I don't expect even that much here. Even some snow falling would surprise me at this point. 

[TC ASW]

Thermal profiles are all over the place, both observed and forecast.  Near freezing in the valley (Hendersonville, Asheville), 45F  here at 3550', but  up at 4230' (Bearwallow), it is 41 F.   Going to be interesting to watch this profile flip, according to short range models. 

[BretWx]

Sitting at 36/24. Not expecting anything out of this coming up. Bummer. Maybe we can pull a surprise!

Temps way off on the HRRR short range considering. 

[BMulkey]

Here in Watauga temps are in the upper 30s but dew points in the low teens. Highs may end up 2-3 degrees below the original forecast but dew points running almost 10 degrees below the NWS hourly forecast. As an amateur I'm not sure whether I should be happy, or concerned that we'll have a lot of virga when it starts.

[Met1985]

I know last weekend we did much better with temps running below normal for what they forecast.  Earlier this week was about what they predicted so we will see.

[BretWx]

Up to 38/25. I doubt we will make it to 51 which is forecasted. Either way, this is an overnight quick-hitter. Looking forward to our next 2017-type storm here. 16 inches - What a great memory! 

[BretWx]

Moisture trying to make it down. 40/23. I've seen 4 flakes so far. LOL! 

[Maggie Valley Steve]

Stuck at 41 after a low of 26. Wet bulb is 28 with a DP of 19. Radars from Morristown and Nashville are juicy!

[gopack42]

35 degrees up here on Beech at 4pm.  I love these chilly overcast winter days.  

[Buckethead]

33/3 in Wolf. That's some pretty dry air .

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[chris21]

37/18 here. Think I might be just far enough north and protected to avoid the warm nose we shall see. Will depend on banding/amount of qpf in the northern mountains also.

[Met1985]

Temp holding at 37 currently.  

[Hvward]

38.8 here with a dewpoint of 25.3. Hoping for a surprise but not expecting much.

[Met1985]

36 and like very wet flakes. 

[Maggie Valley Steve]

38 and light rain currently.

[Buckethead]

36 and flurries here.

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[gopack42]

Nothing falling here yet.  Thermometer still says 35 so hasn't dropped since the sun set.  

[MotoWeatherman]

Finally getting a few random flakes here at 4650 on Beech.   HRRR does not look promising to say the least.

[Met1985]

Temp down to 34 no precipitation. 

[Tyler Penland]

Sleet/rain mix here in Foscoe. Saturated a bit quicker than I thought to be honest. Currently 32.


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[TC ASW]

38F and light rain just started...let's see where we will cool to

[wncsnow]

15 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

Sleet/rain mix here in Foscoe. Saturated a bit quicker than I thought to be honest. Currently 32.


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I thought you would start with snow way up there.. sad. 

[Met1985]

Down to 33 and rain. 

[Tyler Penland]

I thought you would start with snow way up there.. sad. 

My dewpoint actually fell from 27 to 25 and we've spiked to 34.0 with the precip. Weird.

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[Daniel Boone]

31 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Down to 33 and rain. 

Pretty thick above freezing air aloft. It's been rain and sleet here. Finally got a few Flakes mixed in now. All Snow just 10 statute Miles North of my Location ( Jonesville Va). Wise has heavy snow currently. 

[gopack42]

2 hours ago, MotoWeatherman said:

Finally getting a few random flakes here at 4650 on Beech.   HRRR does not look promising to say the least.

I'm also at Beech and rates are looking like they are picking up for now.  Not sure it matters much but I'm a bit 600 feet higher than where you are.  Cars are starting to get covered and temp is 31.5

[Met1985]

Down to 32 with freezing rain currently.