Met1985 Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Models have trended warmer overnight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Good Morning. Referencing latest official guidance from WPC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 GSP 717am Updates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 I don't expect even that much here. Even some snow falling would surprise me at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TC ASW Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Thermal profiles are all over the place, both observed and forecast. Near freezing in the valley (Hendersonville, Asheville), 45F here at 3550', but up at 4230' (Bearwallow), it is 41 F. Going to be interesting to watch this profile flip, according to short range models. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Sitting at 36/24. Not expecting anything out of this coming up. Bummer. Maybe we can pull a surprise! Temps way off on the HRRR short range considering. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMulkey Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Here in Watauga temps are in the upper 30s but dew points in the low teens. Highs may end up 2-3 degrees below the original forecast but dew points running almost 10 degrees below the NWS hourly forecast. As an amateur I'm not sure whether I should be happy, or concerned that we'll have a lot of virga when it starts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 I know last weekend we did much better with temps running below normal for what they forecast. Earlier this week was about what they predicted so we will see. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Up to 38/25. I doubt we will make it to 51 which is forecasted. Either way, this is an overnight quick-hitter. Looking forward to our next 2017-type storm here. 16 inches - What a great memory! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Moisture trying to make it down. 40/23. I've seen 4 flakes so far. LOL! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Stuck at 41 after a low of 26. Wet bulb is 28 with a DP of 19. Radars from Morristown and Nashville are juicy! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopack42 Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 35 degrees up here on Beech at 4pm. I love these chilly overcast winter days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 4, 2025 Author Share Posted December 4, 2025 33/3 in Wolf. That's some pretty dry air .Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 37/18 here. Think I might be just far enough north and protected to avoid the warm nose we shall see. Will depend on banding/amount of qpf in the northern mountains also. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 4, 2025 Share Posted December 4, 2025 Temp holding at 37 currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 38.8 here with a dewpoint of 25.3. Hoping for a surprise but not expecting much. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 36 and like very wet flakes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 38 and light rain currently. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 5, 2025 Author Share Posted December 5, 2025 36 and flurries here.Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopack42 Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Nothing falling here yet. Thermometer still says 35 so hasn't dropped since the sun set. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Finally getting a few random flakes here at 4650 on Beech. HRRR does not look promising to say the least. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Temp down to 34 no precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Sleet/rain mix here in Foscoe. Saturated a bit quicker than I thought to be honest. Currently 32.Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TC ASW Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 38F and light rain just started...let's see where we will cool to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 15 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Sleet/rain mix here in Foscoe. Saturated a bit quicker than I thought to be honest. Currently 32. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk I thought you would start with snow way up there.. sad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Down to 33 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 I thought you would start with snow way up there.. sad. My dewpoint actually fell from 27 to 25 and we've spiked to 34.0 with the precip. Weird. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 31 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Down to 33 and rain. Pretty thick above freezing air aloft. It's been rain and sleet here. Finally got a few Flakes mixed in now. All Snow just 10 statute Miles North of my Location ( Jonesville Va). Wise has heavy snow currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopack42 Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 2 hours ago, MotoWeatherman said: Finally getting a few random flakes here at 4650 on Beech. HRRR does not look promising to say the least. I'm also at Beech and rates are looking like they are picking up for now. Not sure it matters much but I'm a bit 600 feet higher than where you are. Cars are starting to get covered and temp is 31.5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Down to 32 with freezing rain currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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