Maggie Valley Steve Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Looking more likely we could our first frost Friday morning. Leaves around the house are almost done falling and we did a major leaf blowing today. The worst is almost over for me except for my allergies! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Pics from my Sunday snow chase. 3-4” around 7000’ in the Beartooths south of Red Lodge. Wet snow in town there around 5000’ with not much stickage when I left. More mountain snow likely this weekend with another system rolling in, active pattern we seem to be entering out here. 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 No chance of frost in the morning. We've been socked in with clouds since overnight last night. Even with the clouds this morning I managed a low of 49. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted October 10 Author Share Posted October 10 35 this morning in Wolf. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 35 also up in Avery. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 41 on the dot here in the Hominy Valley. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 40 here on my side of Haywood. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 My low was 40 even with a low stratus deck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted Tuesday at 12:47 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:47 AM First snow in town today, unexpected. Flurries turned to decent little snow shower this morning, no Accumulation though. Raw, cold, windy day that didn’t break 40. Think it’s the first time I’ve been colder than you guys which shows just how amazing the weather has been for you guys this Fall temp wise! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 02:01 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:01 AM 1 hour ago, WxKnurd said: First snow in town today, unexpected. Flurries turned to decent little snow shower this morning, no Accumulation though. Raw, cold, windy day that didn’t break 40. Think it’s the first time I’ve been colder than you guys which shows just how amazing the weather has been for you guys this Fall temp wise! Send pics bro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Tuesday at 04:03 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:03 AM We've had a nice stretch of amazing weather the last several days. Another cool front arrives Wednesday providing additional pleasant cool temperatures with a stronger shot of cool air and perhaps a shower or two this weekend. The fronts are becoming more frequent and progressive. The days are getting shorter and winter will be here before we know it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Wednesday at 12:25 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:25 PM Looks amazing for my foliage excursion up there tomorrow! All indications are it has been pretty solid so far. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Wednesday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:05 PM We had a chilly low this morning of 40. A backdoor front arrives overnight will reinforce cooler temperatures and a chance of some showers Sunday with the arrival of a stronger front. The leaves in the Valley should be near peak this weekend. I'm seeing a trend in the longer range guidance suggesting stronger cold fronts pushing through until the end of October. Even some hints a snow showers in the longer range! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM This weather is ok but im ready to start seeing some changes towards the end of the month. Only had a low of 44. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted Wednesday at 08:48 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:48 PM 50 minutes ago, Met1985 said: This weather is ok but im ready to start seeing some changes towards the end of the month. Only had a low of 44. It's coming! Of note, one of the analog years I keep seeing being mentioned for this upcoming winter is 2013-2014. That ended up being a good winter for us. KAVL temperatures for that October were relatively warm with mid-70's all the way into late October. Just something to keep an eye on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:51 PM 3 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: It's coming! Of note, one of the analog years I keep seeing being mentioned for this upcoming winter is 2013-2014. That ended up being a good winter for us. KAVL temperatures for that October were relatively warm with mid-70's all the way into late October. Just something to keep an eye on. Oh yeah I think it is coming for sure. Im not worried at all about a warm October. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago The WPC just released their 3 month forecast for winter and it doesn't look good for us. https://x.com/NWSGSP/status/1978840883098202131 However, just out of curiosity and went back and looked at their forecast for the 2013-2014 since that seems to be the winter that is getting the most comparisons and the similarities are striking. Below is also how that winter faired for us. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Colors are starting to pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Frost in the mountains next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The models are going to be catching onto this and yes we are in the latter part of the season when this matters. Im already seeing multiple cold fronts on the GFS and the Euro. The NAO in particularly is impressive for any time of the year. We will see what happens but all good signs to turning colder, getting our first frost, first freeze, and especially getting towards the end of the month possibly our first flakes. Stay tuned. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Also to note the Eurasia SCE is looking really really good through mid month so far in October. From Mark Margavage meteorologist, Winter Feedback MechanismAn Extremely Prominent Dipole Pattern has developed in Eurasian Autumnal Snow Cover Extent as of October 15th.IF IT HOLDS, this pattern of Autumnal Eurasian SCE puts a lot of pressure on the Polar Vortex resulting in frequent wave reflections causing arctic outbreaks into Eastern North America during winter.Also the PV being weak is a great sign for this winter that is why we are seeing some impressive dips with the AO and NAO already. If things continue this would be a big positive for our Winter around here.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 8 hours ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: The WPC just released their 3 month forecast for winter and it doesn't look good for us. https://x.com/NWSGSP/status/1978840883098202131 However, just out of curiosity and went back and looked at their forecast for the 2013-2014 since that seems to be the winter that is getting the most comparisons and the similarities are striking. Below is also how that winter faired for us. They're going standard canonical La nina Pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: They're going standard canonical La nina Pattern. Always climo. That keeps them 'safe'...wink... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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