Tropical Storm Erin - NOW AT 45 KTS @ 18Z!

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I lost my mind with Edouard....I was a HS kid and didn't know any better. I was so excited and ended up absolutely despondent.

In fairness, it was a pretty good hit for ACK. 90mph gust iirc

[NorthHillsWx]

44 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Let’s just add the entire western basin into the cone…

[40/70 Benchmark]

26 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

In fairness, it was a pretty good hit for ACK. 90mph gust iirc

In fairness, that isn't too rare in major nor' easters. It wasn't a huge deal.

[olafminesaw]

I knew climo favored a recurve, but my goodness...

[wthrmn654]

[wthrmn654]

Interesting to see the euro AI model keep shifting west past few runs.  No idea what it is seeing though.

 

Hitting the east coast. 

[wthrmn654]

Of oddity, the euro AI and the icon have nearly identical low placement at 00z thursday hour 180...

How did AI models do last hurricane season? ? 

[olafminesaw]

The GFS is trending a bit towards a trough capture. Certainly too late for a New England landfall, but brings Atlantic Canada back into the conversation 

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

The GFS is trending a bit towards a trough capture. Certainly too late for a New England landfall, but brings Atlantic Canada back into the conversation 

Newfoundland in particular. They’ve been getting either glancing blows or direct hits sporadically on the op Euro and GFS.

[GaWx]

12Z Euro: it doesn’t recurve til 75W and thus comes within 150 miles of NC! The OB are directly affected by its NW side. Gary Slezak, is that you?

[wthrmn654]

And that would be similar to the euro ai and icon solution.

[olafminesaw]

24 minutes ago, GaWx said:

12Z Euro: it doesn’t recurve til 75W and thus comes within 150 miles of NC! The OB are directly affected by its NW side. Gary Slezak, is that you?

Big shift West on the EPS as well

[TriPol]

Come on Erin, you can do this! We’re in another drought up here in the northeast and it’s almost the 30th anniversary of Hurricane Gloria!

[TriPol]

Just now, TriPol said:

Come on Erin, you can do this! We’re in another drought up here in the northeast and it’s almost the 30th anniversary of Hurricane Gloria!

Err…40th. God I’m getting old.

[BarryStantonGBP]

AL, 05, 2025081318, , BEST, 0, 163N, 443W, 45, 1002, TS

[BarryStantonGBP]

COME ON ERIN

 BAM BAM BAM