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2025 summer max contest -- THURSDAY JUNE 19 LAST DAY FOR ENTRIES -- enter by 06z June 20


Roger Smith
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Current scoring as of June 24th

 

Actual values ___________________ 99 __ 97 __ 98 __ 99

FORECASTER _________________ DCA _IAD _BWI _RIC ___ errors ____ TOTAL (rank) __ error points baked in

gopper (16) ____________________ 103 _ 102 _ 102 _ 102 ___ 4 5 4 3 __ 16 (rank 19) ____ 0

batmanbrad (19) _______________ 103 _ 101 _ 102 _ 100 ___ 4 4 4 1 __ 13 (rank 18) ____ 0

Roger Ramjet (20) _____________ 102 _ 101 _ 103 _ 103 ___ 3 4 5 4 __ 16 (rank 20)____ 0

tplbge (14) _____________________ 102 _ 100 _ 101 _ 101 ___ 3 3 3 2 __ 11 (rank 15) ____ 0

DanTheMan (8) ________________ 101 _ 103 _ 104 _ 103 ___ 2 6 6 4 __ 18 (rank 21)____ 0

Roger Smith (1) _________________ 101 _ 101 _ 102 _ 100 ___ 2 4 4 1 __ 11 (rank 16) ____ 0

GramaxRefugee (18) ____________100 _ 101 _ 102 _ 101 ___ 1 4 4 2 __ 11 (rank 17) ____ 0

biodhokie (17) __________________ 100 _ 101 _ 101 _ 100 ___ 1 4 3 1 ___ 9 (rank 14) ____ 0

wxdude64 (13) _________________ 100 _ 100 _ 102 _ 100 ___1 3 4 1 ___ 9 (rank 13) ____ 0

George BM (2) _________________ 100 __ 99 _ 101 _ 101 ___ 1 2 3 2 ___ 8 (rank 12) ____ 0

___ consensus _________________ 99  __ 99 _ 100 _ 100 __ 0 2 2 1 ___ 5 (rank 9) ____ 0

MillvilleWx (7) ___________________ 99 __ 99 _ 100 _ 102 ___ 0 2 2 3 ___ 7 (rank 11)____ 0

Rhino16 (5) ______________________ 99 __ 99 __ 99 _ 101 ___ 0 2 1 2 ___ 5 (rank 9) ____ 0

Jenkins Jinkies (9) ______________ 99 __ 99 __ 99 _ 100 ___ 0 2 1 1 ___ 4 (rank 8) ____ 0

NorthArlington101 (6) ____________99 __ 99 __ 99 __ 99 ___ 0 2 1 0 ___ 3 (rank 6) ____ 0

RickinBaltimore (10) _____________ 99 __ 98 __ 98 __ 99 ___ 0 1 0 0 ___ 1 (rank 1) ____ 0

WxUSAF (4) _____________________ 99 __ 97 _ 100 __ 99 ___0 0 2 0 ___ 2 (rank 4) ____ 0

toolsheds (12) ___________________ 99 __ 97 __ 99 _ 101 ___ 0 0 1 2 ___ 3 (rank 7) ____ 0

Weather53 (21) __________________ 98 __ 99 _ 100 __ 99 ___1 2 2 0 ___ 5 (rank 10)____ 1

nw baltimore wx (3) _____________ 98 __ 98 __ 99 __ 99 ___ 1 1 1 0 ___ 3 (rank 5) ____ 1

Its A Breeze (11) _________________ 98 __ 98 __ 98 __ 99 ___ 1 1 0 0 ___ 2 (rank 2) ____ 1

Prince Frederick Wx (15) ________ 98 __ 97 __ 98 __ 98 ___ 1 0 0 1 ___ 2 (rank 3) ____ 2

____________________________

see original post for tie-breaker protocols ... error points "baked in" are those from forecasts below actual values, these error points cannot now be reduced.

Consensus is median of forecasts. The mean of forecasts is 99.9, 99.5, 100.4, 100.3 or 100 _ 100 _ 100 _ 100,

Of 21 forecasts, nine have all locations at 100 or higher, five have no locations reaching 100F, seven have a blend. 

Ranges are 98-103, 97-103, 98-104, 98-103

 

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