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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike


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9 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Actually, the coefficients of determination are very high in June: JFK: 0.51; LGA: 0.61; NYC: 0.55. For JFK and NYC, every degree increase in the June low translates into a 1.0 degree rise in the high. For LGA, every degree increase translates into a 1.1 degree rise in the high during June.

But if the low occurs at say midnight and the temperature rises after that, does it really matter Don?  Having midnight as the start of a new day is a very subjective definition, I view sunrise as the start of the new day.  It is more objective since when the sun rises is literally when the new day begins, not in the middle of the night. If we ran these numbers for the overnight low vs the temperature at sunrise, what would they show?

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3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

No, it will be in July, like it usually is.

If they hit 100+ it'll be difficult to hit that again especially if our monsoon like climate emerges in the summer. Weeklies show a flat ridge with a focus out west 

That plus peak sun angle makes me strongly feel this will be our hottest period of the summer 

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8 hours ago, jm1220 said:

We'll see how much the barrier islands and places south of Merrick Rd can heat up tomorrow. I doubt too the 65 degree water will be denied for too long. 

68 degree water temperature but it doesn't matter here, we can hit 100 degrees before 1 pm and this heat is extremely deep, it can easily overpower the ocean.  After 2 pm it doesn't matter since triple digits will already have been reached.

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Just now, LibertyBell said:

68 degree water temperature but it doesn't matter here, we can hit 100 degrees before 1 pm and this heat is extremely deep, it can easily overpower the ocean.  After 2 pm it doesn't matter since triple digits will already have been reached.

You were probably freezing this morning lol

mid 70s for you

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10 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

A little skeptical of the quality of that reading, unless it was 110 at lower elevations. 1911 has a bunch of the high readings - wonder if the station used was at a lower elevation at that time, or substandard exposure.
 

The 93F reading is a June monthly record high, however. The prior June record is 92F last set on June 26, 1952.

Having a house near there I find it extremely unlikely that 103 is even possible there.  Unless being over 2000 feet in elevation makes them closer to the sun? It rarely ever even hits 90 there....

 

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3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

If they hit 100+ it'll be difficult to hit that again especially if our monsoon like climate emerges in the summer. Weeklies show a flat ridge with a focus out west 

That would suck, I was hoping for a 1966 like pattern when it happened in both June and July.  The June 101 turned out to just be an appetizer for what happened in July.

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87 / 73 clear skies.  Century mark or bust today only clouds and seabreeze the caveat.  Tomorrow the race to 100 likely a close call in the hotter areas with  clouds/storms popping.  Storms Thursday could drop locally 1-2 inches with Thu/Fri 70s with onshore E/ENE flow.  The weekend looks hot/humid with some scattered storms upper 80s / low 90s.  Hot Mon -  Fri next week upper 80s low-,mid 90s hot spot but continued storm chances keeping it wet.  Beyond there ridge looks to build back and heat build north and west towards the 7th.

Jul 4th forecast in other thread.

6/24-25: Strong heat (100s possible)
6/26-6/27 : Onshore cooler 70s storms Thu focus/scattered Fri
6/28 - 7/4 : Overall warm - hot - humid wetter with storms
7/5-7/6 : ridge west - trough into the east
7/7 - beyond : ridge and heat building east /north


GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (1966)
NYC: 96 (1888)
LGA: 96 (2013)
JFK: 97 (2010)


Lows:

EWR: 49 (1932)
NYC: 52 (1932)
LGA: 53 (1947)
JFK: 57 (2021)

Historical:

 

1816 - The cold weather of early June finally gave way to several days of 90 degree heat in Massachusetts, including a reading of 99 degrees at Salem. (David Ludlum)

1924 - Six men at a rock quarry south of Winston-Salem, NC, sought shelter from a thunderstorm. The structure chosen contained a quantity of dynamite. Lightning struck a near-by tree causing the dynamite to explode. The men were killed instantly. (The Weather Channel)

 

1946: 11.72 inches of rain fell at Mellen, WI during a 24 hour period. This is the greatest 24-hour precipitation total ever recorded in the state. There was flooding on the Bad and White Rivers. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1951 - Twelve inches of hail broke windows and roofs, and dented automobiles, causing more than fourteen million dollars damage. The storm plowed 200 miles from Kingmand County KS into Missouri, with the Wichita area hardest hit. It was the most disastrous hailstorm of record for the state of Kansas. (David Ludlum)

1952 - Thunderstorms produced a swath of hail 60 miles long and 3.5 miles wide through parts of Hand, Beadle, Kingsbury, Miner and Jerauld counties in South Dakota. Poultry and livestock were killed, and many persons were injured. Hail ten inches in circumference was reported at Huron SD. (The Weather Channel)

 

1957: On the basis of meteorological data and a radio report from a shrimp boat, the Weather Bureau in New Orleans issued the first advisory on a tropical depression in the Bay of Campeche at 10:30pm. The depression was located 300 miles south of Brownsville, TX. The storm would become Hurricane Audrey, moving northward over the next three days and striking near the Louisiana/Texas border causing extreme damage and loss of life.

1957: Palm Springs, CA hit 121°, equaling their highest temperature for June (6/26/1957 & 6/29/1994).

 

1960: A tornado at Schenectady, NY destroyed 16 homes with over 300 homes suffering major damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1967: Sheridan, WY fell to 32°, their latest freeze on record; the high temperature the previous day was only 47°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1975: An Eastern Airlines Boeing 727 crashed at JFK airport in New York City. 113 of the 124 people on board the aircraft died. Researcher Theodore Fujita studied the incident and discovered that the crash was caused by a microburst. His research lead to improved air safety. The tower never experienced the microburst, which was held back by a seabreeze front. The plane crashed 2,400 feet short of the runway. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: Not even a desert location. For 11 straight days (6/24 - /05) Wichita Falls, TX, set daily record high temperatures; 7 days had highs greater or equal to 113 degrees. Its all-time record high of 117 degrees was set on the 28th, and its all-time record high low of 85 degrees was set on 7/02.

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes in eastern Colorado. Baseball size hail was reported near Yoder, CO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 92 mph derailed a train near Pratt, KS. The town of Gould, OK, was soaked with nearly an inch and a half of rain in just ten minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Forty-three cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Valentine NE reported an all-time record high of 110 degrees, and highs of 102 degrees at Casper, WY, 103 degrees at Reno, NV, and 106 degrees at Winnemucca, NV, were records for the month of June. Highs of 98 degrees at Logan, UT, and 109 degrees at Rapid City, SD, equalled June records. Lightning killed twenty-one cows near Conway, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from Colorado and New Mexico to Kansas and Nebraska. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes, and produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Wood River, NE, and hail three inches in diameter at Wheeler, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1991: 3.50 inches of rain fell in 28 minutes at Scranton, ND. There were also 1.5 foot drifts of marble size hail. Front end loaders were needed to clear the streets. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1992: A tropical depression in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico produced periods of heavy rainfall over southwest and west central Florida from this date through the 30th. Four-day rainfall totals (25th-28th) of as much as 25 inches were recorded, with 8 to 14 inches common. 70 homes were destroyed by floodwaters, and the combination of winds, waves and tides led to significant beach erosion and undermining of seawalls in some locations. Two flood-related deaths occurred on the 29th - a man drowned in his flooded front yard in Manatee County and a man was crushed to death between two gasoline storage tanks dislodged by floodwaters at an auto service shop in Charlotte County. All-time record flood crest on the 29th at Myakka St. Park on the Myakka River. Flood waters did not fully recede in some areas until the end of June. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

 

1996: A woman was checking the circuit breaker box in her garage when lightning struck. The ensuing power surge slammed the woman against a vehicle, knocking her unconscious for a short period of time.(Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)


1996: Severe weather pounded much of the Mid Atlantic Coast with Washington, DC especially hard hit. Numerous reports of tornadoes, funnel clouds, damaging winds, large hail and heavy rain were reported. Tornadoes were reported in Upperville, Middleburg, Manassas, Centreville and Fairfax City, VA. There were numerous reports of downed trees and damage to structures across Northern Virginia and the Eastern Shore area of Maryland. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1997: Charleston, WV, finally hit 90° for the first time this year. The last 90-degree day was back on 5/19/1996, totaling 400 days in which it stayed below 90°. That is their longest stretch this century between 90 degree days. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1998: In Grayson County, VA about 3.5 miles northeast of Whitetop, at 5:15 pm, Three youths were injured by lightning. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

1998: An unusually damaging wind event occurred during the late night and early morning hours in southwestern Iowa. Winds were sustained at 30-50 mph for over an hour at several locations, including Creston, Shenandoah, Clarinda and Red Oak, IA. Shenandoah, IA reported a gust to 80 mph. Two factors are surmised to have caused the event. First, light showers had moved through the area left lots of hot, dry air aloft between 4,000-10,000 feet. When rain fell through the dry air, it cooled, which made it heavier and resulted in strong downdrafts and high winds. Secondly, winds between 600-5,000 feet were quite strong and the momentum of these winds dropped to the surface causing higher winds. The wind event was accompanied by dramatic rises in temperature. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2003: A large F4 tornado destroyed the community of Manchester, SD. It was part of a swarm of nearly 60 tornadoes that touched down across eastern South Dakota. An armored camera placed in the path of the tornado by the National Geographic Society was blown nearly 500 feet and destroyed. Very little usable video was recorded. Meanwhile, researcher Tim Samaras deployed a measurement probe just 70 seconds before the twister struck it. The probe measured a pressure drop of 100 millibars, the largest ever recorded. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2010: The maximum temperature today at the Richmond International Airport was 102 °F which not only broke the record high temperature for the date, but was close to the 104 °F record maximum for the month of June set in 1952. Only three June days have been hotter: (June 30, 1937 103 °F) (June 19, 1944 103 °F) (June 26, 1952 104 °F ) June 2010 also had 19 days of 90 °F or hotter temperatures the record was 20 in 1943. The Richmond International Airport reported the mean temperature for June was 81.1 °F which was a new 113 year record. This breaks the old record of 79.2 °F set in 1943 and was a +8.7 °F departure from average. June had 8 new daily temperature records and all were for heat. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC)

2011: The 2011 Souris River flood in Minot, already predicted to be the biggest in recorded history, was predicted Thursday to get even bigger. According to the latest estimate, there will be some 29,000 cfs moving through Minot by Saturday (Ref. Grand Forks Herald Newspaper)

2016: June 22-24. Part of a severe weather outbreak that produced over two dozen tornadoes from Illinois to West Virginia, up to 10 inches of rain fell in just 12-24 hours on June 23, setting off West Virginia's third deadliest flood. Twenty-three people lost their lives.

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8 minutes ago, SACRUS said:



Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (1966)
NYC: 96 (1888)
LGA: 96 (2013)
JFK: 97 (2010)


Lows:

EWR: 49 (1932)
NYC: 52 (1932)
LGA: 53 (1947)
JFK: 57 (2021)

Historical:

 

1816 - The cold weather of early June finally gave way to several days of 90 degree heat in Massachusetts, including a reading of 99 degrees at Salem. (David Ludlum)

1924 - Six men at a rock quarry south of Winston-Salem, NC, sought shelter from a thunderstorm. The structure chosen contained a quantity of dynamite. Lightning struck a near-by tree causing the dynamite to explode. The men were killed instantly. (The Weather Channel)

 

1946: 11.72 inches of rain fell at Mellen, WI during a 24 hour period. This is the greatest 24-hour precipitation total ever recorded in the state. There was flooding on the Bad and White Rivers. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1951 - Twelve inches of hail broke windows and roofs, and dented automobiles, causing more than fourteen million dollars damage. The storm plowed 200 miles from Kingmand County KS into Missouri, with the Wichita area hardest hit. It was the most disastrous hailstorm of record for the state of Kansas. (David Ludlum)

1952 - Thunderstorms produced a swath of hail 60 miles long and 3.5 miles wide through parts of Hand, Beadle, Kingsbury, Miner and Jerauld counties in South Dakota. Poultry and livestock were killed, and many persons were injured. Hail ten inches in circumference was reported at Huron SD. (The Weather Channel)

 

1957: On the basis of meteorological data and a radio report from a shrimp boat, the Weather Bureau in New Orleans issued the first advisory on a tropical depression in the Bay of Campeche at 10:30pm. The depression was located 300 miles south of Brownsville, TX. The storm would become Hurricane Audrey, moving northward over the next three days and striking near the Louisiana/Texas border causing extreme damage and loss of life.

1957: Palm Springs, CA hit 121°, equaling their highest temperature for June (6/26/1957 & 6/29/1994).

 

1960: A tornado at Schenectady, NY destroyed 16 homes with over 300 homes suffering major damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1967: Sheridan, WY fell to 32°, their latest freeze on record; the high temperature the previous day was only 47°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1975: An Eastern Airlines Boeing 727 crashed at JFK airport in New York City. 113 of the 124 people on board the aircraft died. Researcher Theodore Fujita studied the incident and discovered that the crash was caused by a microburst. His research lead to improved air safety. The tower never experienced the microburst, which was held back by a seabreeze front. The plane crashed 2,400 feet short of the runway. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: Not even a desert location. For 11 straight days (6/24 - /05) Wichita Falls, TX, set daily record high temperatures; 7 days had highs greater or equal to 113 degrees. Its all-time record high of 117 degrees was set on the 28th, and its all-time record high low of 85 degrees was set on 7/02.

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes in eastern Colorado. Baseball size hail was reported near Yoder, CO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 92 mph derailed a train near Pratt, KS. The town of Gould, OK, was soaked with nearly an inch and a half of rain in just ten minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Forty-three cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Valentine NE reported an all-time record high of 110 degrees, and highs of 102 degrees at Casper, WY, 103 degrees at Reno, NV, and 106 degrees at Winnemucca, NV, were records for the month of June. Highs of 98 degrees at Logan, UT, and 109 degrees at Rapid City, SD, equalled June records. Lightning killed twenty-one cows near Conway, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from Colorado and New Mexico to Kansas and Nebraska. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes, and produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Wood River, NE, and hail three inches in diameter at Wheeler, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1991: 3.50 inches of rain fell in 28 minutes at Scranton, ND. There were also 1.5 foot drifts of marble size hail. Front end loaders were needed to clear the streets. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1992: A tropical depression in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico produced periods of heavy rainfall over southwest and west central Florida from this date through the 30th. Four-day rainfall totals (25th-28th) of as much as 25 inches were recorded, with 8 to 14 inches common. 70 homes were destroyed by floodwaters, and the combination of winds, waves and tides led to significant beach erosion and undermining of seawalls in some locations. Two flood-related deaths occurred on the 29th - a man drowned in his flooded front yard in Manatee County and a man was crushed to death between two gasoline storage tanks dislodged by floodwaters at an auto service shop in Charlotte County. All-time record flood crest on the 29th at Myakka St. Park on the Myakka River. Flood waters did not fully recede in some areas until the end of June. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

 

1996: A woman was checking the circuit breaker box in her garage when lightning struck. The ensuing power surge slammed the woman against a vehicle, knocking her unconscious for a short period of time.(Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)


1996: Severe weather pounded much of the Mid Atlantic Coast with Washington, DC especially hard hit. Numerous reports of tornadoes, funnel clouds, damaging winds, large hail and heavy rain were reported. Tornadoes were reported in Upperville, Middleburg, Manassas, Centreville and Fairfax City, VA. There were numerous reports of downed trees and damage to structures across Northern Virginia and the Eastern Shore area of Maryland. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1997: Charleston, WV, finally hit 90° for the first time this year. The last 90-degree day was back on 5/19/1996, totaling 400 days in which it stayed below 90°. That is their longest stretch this century between 90 degree days. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1998: In Grayson County, VA about 3.5 miles northeast of Whitetop, at 5:15 pm, Three youths were injured by lightning. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

1998: An unusually damaging wind event occurred during the late night and early morning hours in southwestern Iowa. Winds were sustained at 30-50 mph for over an hour at several locations, including Creston, Shenandoah, Clarinda and Red Oak, IA. Shenandoah, IA reported a gust to 80 mph. Two factors are surmised to have caused the event. First, light showers had moved through the area left lots of hot, dry air aloft between 4,000-10,000 feet. When rain fell through the dry air, it cooled, which made it heavier and resulted in strong downdrafts and high winds. Secondly, winds between 600-5,000 feet were quite strong and the momentum of these winds dropped to the surface causing higher winds. The wind event was accompanied by dramatic rises in temperature. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2003: A large F4 tornado destroyed the community of Manchester, SD. It was part of a swarm of nearly 60 tornadoes that touched down across eastern South Dakota. An armored camera placed in the path of the tornado by the National Geographic Society was blown nearly 500 feet and destroyed. Very little usable video was recorded. Meanwhile, researcher Tim Samaras deployed a measurement probe just 70 seconds before the twister struck it. The probe measured a pressure drop of 100 millibars, the largest ever recorded. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2010: The maximum temperature today at the Richmond International Airport was 102 °F which not only broke the record high temperature for the date, but was close to the 104 °F record maximum for the month of June set in 1952. Only three June days have been hotter: (June 30, 1937 103 °F) (June 19, 1944 103 °F) (June 26, 1952 104 °F ) June 2010 also had 19 days of 90 °F or hotter temperatures the record was 20 in 1943. The Richmond International Airport reported the mean temperature for June was 81.1 °F which was a new 113 year record. This breaks the old record of 79.2 °F set in 1943 and was a +8.7 °F departure from average. June had 8 new daily temperature records and all were for heat. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC)

2011: The 2011 Souris River flood in Minot, already predicted to be the biggest in recorded history, was predicted Thursday to get even bigger. According to the latest estimate, there will be some 29,000 cfs moving through Minot by Saturday (Ref. Grand Forks Herald Newspaper)

2016: June 22-24. Part of a severe weather outbreak that produced over two dozen tornadoes from Illinois to West Virginia, up to 10 inches of rain fell in just 12-24 hours on June 23, setting off West Virginia's third deadliest flood. Twenty-three people lost their lives.

EWR: 97 (1966)
NYC: 96 (1888)
LGA: 96 (2013)
JFK: 97 (2010)

 

Wild how hot EWR and JFK and LGA already were in 1966 and 2010 and 2013 around this time and it only got hotter in July.

Wow, did this plane on a road near here?

 

1975: An Eastern Airlines Boeing 727 crashed at JFK airport in New York City. 113 of the 124 people on board the aircraft died. Researcher Theodore Fujita studied the incident and discovered that the crash was caused by a microburst. His research lead to improved air safety. The tower never experienced the microburst, which was held back by a seabreeze front. The plane crashed 2,400 feet short of the runway. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

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21 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

EWR: 97 (1966)
NYC: 96 (1888)
LGA: 96 (2013)
JFK: 97 (2010)

 

Wild how hot EWR and JFK and LGA already were in 1966 and 2010 and 2013 around this time and it only got hotter in July.

Wow, did this plane on a road near here?

 

1975: An Eastern Airlines Boeing 727 crashed at JFK airport in New York City. 113 of the 124 people on board the aircraft died. Researcher Theodore Fujita studied the incident and discovered that the crash was caused by a microburst. His research lead to improved air safety. The tower never experienced the microburst, which was held back by a seabreeze front. The plane crashed 2,400 feet short of the runway. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

June wasnt that hot in 2013 it was a 2 day heat spike.  The heat was concentrated in a 3 week period in July 7/4 - 7/23

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43 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

EWR: 97 (1966)
NYC: 96 (1888)
LGA: 96 (2013)
JFK: 97 (2010)

 

Wild how hot EWR and JFK and LGA already were in 1966 and 2010 and 2013 around this time and it only got hotter in July.

Wow, did this plane on a road near here?

 

1975: An Eastern Airlines Boeing 727 crashed at JFK airport in New York City. 113 of the 124 people on board the aircraft died. Researcher Theodore Fujita studied the incident and discovered that the crash was caused by a microburst. His research lead to improved air safety. The tower never experienced the microburst, which was held back by a seabreeze front. The plane crashed 2,400 feet short of the runway. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

Rockaway Blvd

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastern_Air_Lines_Flight_66

 

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

But if the low occurs at say midnight and the temperature rises after that, does it really matter Don?  Having midnight as the start of a new day is a very subjective definition, I view sunrise as the start of the new day.  It is more objective since when the sun rises is literally when the new day begins, not in the middle of the night. If we ran these numbers for the overnight low vs the temperature at sunrise, what would they show?

Timing has an impact.

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Up to 98 now, ahead of yesterday at this time, today’s low of 72 was cooler than yesterday’s, so it’s interesting that today is already hotter.

Don’t think I’ve ever seen 100 degree conditions after a low in the low 70’s. But in my experience, anytime it’s been this hot around 10 AM the ceiling has been higher than 100.

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Just now, Cfa said:

Up to 98 now, ahead of yesterday at this time, today’s low of 72 was cooler than yesterday’s, so it’s interesting that today is already hotter.

Don’t think I’ve ever seen 100 degree conditions after a low in the low 70’s.

yes it's drier today with very blue skies so temperatures will rise quicker

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2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Having a house near there I find it extremely unlikely that 103 is even possible there.  Unless being over 2000 feet in elevation makes them closer to the sun? It rarely ever even hits 90 there....

 

Of course, it's theoretically possible, but would require widespread 108-112F in the coastal plain with typical warm spots pushing 114, 115F. Which is to say that's a temperature record we know will never be beaten, not with modern equipment and current location.

No doubt there was a significant heat wave at the time, but not really a believable spread here (see attached image). The observation was taken a little lower in elevation at the time, but not enough for that big of a discrepancy. Incidentally, the official tally for monthly mean is 70.6F, but it was originally published as 65.6F. Looks like it was italicized, maybe an adjustment was made at the time for the high daily maximum temperatures that month. By contrast, during the epic 1936 heat wave, Mount Pocono only managed two days at or above 90: 92F on the 9th & 90F on the 14th. It also reached 90F on August 23rd of that summer. Yesterday's reading actually surpassed any date from that heat wave.

YFDQkqd.png

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