Spring 2025 Med/Long Range Discussion

[dwagner88]

Finally got a real frog strangler last night. Over 2" of rain between 9-11 PM. Getting hit again this afternoon also.

[nrgjeff]

Lightning was impressive both times here in Chattanooga. Today it was vivid enough to be noticeable during daylight along with crashing thunder. Wednesday night was the more traditional summer evening light show and (mostly) rolling thunder. We had one crash boom last night too that made the normally oblivious cat jump!

[John1122]

Very rowdy storm going currently. Tons of cloud to ground lightning hitting close and extremely heavy rain.  

[Carvers Gap]

The August CANSIPS is out.  Normal to BN temps through December.  AN temps Dec/Jan w/ a gradient type of cold centered over the Great Lakes.  Feb is BN.  There is definitely room for cold intrusions w/ most of the intense warmth centered out West through Feb.  The ridge will slide eastward at times, but the key feature is a trough over the EC.  I still have my doubts as endless summer seems to be a recent and nasty weather trend during fall.  The CANSIPS seems to imply that the worst of summer is behind us with the exception of a 2-3 weeks of near certain return of summer temps.  Is it right, IDK but the CFSv2 seems in agreement about normal to BN temps over the forum area for Fall.  

[Carvers Gap]

Man, it feels freaking awesome outside.  After weeks and weeks of serious humidity, it feels like fall out there.  Winds are out of the north and it feels glorious.  

[John1122]

Late September or early October out there today. 

 

 

[Carvers Gap]

A steady light rain is falling.  Temps are cool.  It is so surreal.  It is like someone flipped a switch.  Very thankful for the blessing of cooler weather.

[Jed33]

Yesterday we picked up 4 rounds of heavy rain. Almost tropical like. Everytime it looked like it was going to let up, it would come right back again in buckets! We ended up with 2.48in for the day along with the cooler weather as well. So thankful for that!

I did see where the rain ultimately won out last night in Bristol at the Braves v Reds game. Hopefully they get it in today.

[Matthew70]

Moved daughter into Bryan College Friday. Perfect timing for the fall temps.  It looked like fall most of day with the clouds & fog. Yesterday was perfect with mostly cloudy most of the day.  Finally got some good rains which helped settle the dust.  Unfortunately I have come down with a bug & have slept most of day.  Hopefully this fall wx continues. 
 

 

[John1122]

71 for the high today with around .39 inches of rain. The rest of the week looks pretty good too. 

[Carvers Gap]

Record high min at TRI yesterday.  One thing I have noticed is that the point-and-click forecasts have been way too high all summer(at range) for MBY.  I had mid-upper 90s forecast for much of last week(early and middle).  If I remember correctly, 93 was as high as it got.  The Apple wx app has been more accurate.

[Daniel Boone]

3 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

Record high min at TRI yesterday.  One thing I have noticed is that the point-and-click forecasts have been way too high all summer(at range) for MBY.  I had mid-upper 90s forecast for much of last week(early and middle).  If I remember correctly, 93 was as high as it got.  The Apple wx app has been more accurate.

Yeah, guidance as well as local NWS Forecasts have constantly been too high . Not just to the tune of a couple degrees but, 5-7.