2025-2026 ENSO

[bluewave]

22-23 was a little lower for snowfall around NYC than 01-02. But 01-02 remains a little warmer. If the 01-02 snowfall and temperature departures occurred again in this much warmer climate, then NYC would probably finish up with only around 1” or less of snow and a winter average temperature close to 43.0°.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Oct through Sep Top 10 lowest snowfall seasons 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2022-2023	2.3	0
2	1972-1973	2.8	0
3	2001-2002	3.5	0
4	1918-1919	3.8	0
5	2019-2020	4.8	0
6	1931-1932	5.3	0
7	1997-1998	5.5	0
8	2011-2012	7.4	0
9	2023-2024	7.5	0
10	1988-1989	8.1	0
-	1877-1878	8.1	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Top 10 Warmest Winters 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2001-2002	41.5	0
2	2022-2023	41.0	0
-	2015-2016	41.0	0
3	2023-2024	40.6	0
4	2011-2012	40.5	0
5	1931-1932	40.1	0
6	1997-1998	39.6	0
7	2016-2017	39.3	0
8	2019-2020	39.2	0
9	1990-1991	39.1	0
10	1998-1999	38.6	0

[snowman19]

[Stormchaserchuck1]

^Man what a horrible SSTA map, lol

Best thing is northern Indian Ocean isn't that warm. 

[GaWx]

5 hours ago, snowman19 said:

As bad as 97-98 and 11-12 were, I think the worst of all time was 01-02. If there was ever a winter that was over before it even began, that was the one. Not only was it an absolute torch from November through March, it was also dry as all hell

But not in Atlanta, where they had a ~4.5” (major) snowstorm in early Jan, the biggest since the 3/1993 blizzard.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

The 20 most recent warm minus cold CONUS Winter's.. 1993-2025. This is SSTA's Sept-Nov before. east-based El Nino hugging the American coast is the biggest signal

July before.. +2c off of Peru there is really strong for most recent 20 years/33. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

^Switching to more El Nino's in the coming time may not mean colder US Winter's.  I've always contended that La Nina is the colder pattern anyway if you take the static of NAO out of the equation. 

[snowman19]

^Man what a horrible SSTA map, lol
Best thing is northern Indian Ocean isn't that warm. 

Speaking of the IO….the new EURO guidance is insisting on a solid negative IOD

[GaWx]

 The WCS version of the PDO has fallen quite a bit more since July 2nd. As of July 6th, it’s way down to -3.29! It was actually down to ~-3.30 on July 5th. I’ve never seen this so negative. The NOAA daily PDO is likely down to sub -4!

[George BM]

3 hours ago, GaWx said:

 The WCS version of the PDO has fallen quite a bit more since July 2nd. As of July 6th, it’s way down to -3.29! It was actually down to ~-3.30 on July 5th. I’ve never seen this so negative. The NOAA daily PDO is likely down to sub -4!

Since the daily index hit -2.00 nearly 3 weeks ago I've been waiting for a bounce up that, thus far, refuses to commence. It OBVIOUSLY will bounce back up a bit sooner rather than later but this has been impressive to track.