jbenedet Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Probably because of the reason I was below freezing the other day with SE winds. Airmass. It’s different story when they rip. Light east winds with no fetch; no big deal. This ain’t that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, jbenedet said: It’s different story when they rip. Light east winds with no fetch; no big deal. This ain’t that. They aren’t going to be rain at 12z even if it was 32. It’s like -6 at 925 and -4 at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, CoastalWx said: They aren’t going to be rain at 12z even if it was 32. It’s like -6 at 925 and -4 at 850 Yeah exactly. I could see the immediate tarmac at Pease being 32-33 and snowing, but not rain at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Most models show that. Will be rain in srn CT at that time and not just at the coast. It’s showing 32 in the heart of the state, @12z pretty close to my location. Doesn’t seem like guaranteed flooding warmth and rain, at least at that time stamp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, Kitz Craver said: It’s showing 32 in the heart of the state, @12z pretty close to my location. Doesn’t seem like guaranteed flooding warmth and rain, at least at that time stamp. Well not at 12z. Definitely not then for that stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: It’s different story when they rip. Light east winds with no fetch; no big deal. This ain’t that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: Just saw the euro for tomorrow afternoon. 34° for @CT Rain in WeHa while it’s 50° for @Damage In Tolland ? It had 40’s shown there for here on Thursday. We know how that turned out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It had 40’s shown there for here on Thursday. We know how that turned out Stronger storm this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, CoastalWx said: Stronger storm this time I’m still waiting for an official forecast from Dendy. I asked yesterday and he disappeared . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 My thought is the warmest it gets here is mid 30’s briefly near or after fropa. And if the SE Messenger ticks Mets are expecting today happen ,that will be good for everyone on this forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 What SE ticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, CoastalWx said: What SE ticks. The ones you’ve been talking about since Thursday . You’re expecting flatter, cooler SE tics with mesolow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 HRRR coming in colder so far at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 6z had 33 at Hartford at 5am.. 12z has 29 at 5am 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m still waiting for an official forecast from Dendy. I asked yesterday and he disappeared . What am I forecasting for? A rando 990ft hill? I think you glaze decently for awhile and then go above freezing. Most of it melts off before the refreeze and wind Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Good front end on hrrr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 1 minute ago, dendrite said: What am I forecasting for? A rando 990ft hill? I think you glaze decently for awhile and then go above freezing. Most of it melts off before the refreeze and wind Monday. You broke his heart. The day after Valentines Day too. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 HRRR definitely keeping the cold around longer this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: What am I forecasting for? A rando 990ft hill? I think you glaze decently for awhile and then go above freezing. Most of it melts off before the refreeze and wind Monday. I see we differ. But thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 6z had 33 at Hartford at 5am.. 12z has 29 at 5am There we go, starting to see the syrup perhaps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Who let Kevin hack into the HRRR / extremely high impact before the torch.. several inches of storm then Kevin's icestorm even down here.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Who let Kevin hack into the HRRR He's still at freezing at 12pm this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Hrrr makes sense with a weak meso. Still warms up as it torches aloft. We’ll see what Nam shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 HRRR is a hell of a ice storm here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 6z 51 in Norwich. 12z 37. At 4pm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You broke his heart. The day after Valentines Day too. Sorry Ditty. I got you a card. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr makes sense with a weak meso. Still warms up as it torches aloft. We’ll see what Nam shows. I'd take that and run all day, I've never wanted to be wrong and Kevin right this much before.. Big torch is only 3 hours that run.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Just now, ineedsnow said: We zr and we damage Doubtful on big ZR and big damage. Not enough QPF falls as ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 Now Will broke his heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2025 Share Posted February 15, 2025 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: HRRR is a hell of a ice storm here Looks like mostly snow and sleet for you to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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