gravitylover Posted Friday at 05:15 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:15 PM 8* with a spotty crusty coating. The only place it isn't spotty is our front steps, they'll probably be icy for weeks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted Friday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:34 PM It got to 8 this morning. Still holding onto a 2 inch snowpack embedded with a topping of sleet and ice. 4 days and counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted Saturday at 11:54 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:54 AM Nice solid dusting overnight. Pleasant surprise. 28f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Saturday at 03:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:26 PM Picked up .20" snowfall overnight. Melted total .02". Looks festive while it lasts. I am on a nickle and dime ride to 1" for the season. Currently .7". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 01:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:43 PM Most models have a little bit of snow on Wednesday for approx. I-84 north, favoring elevation and especially latitude. This has been trending slightly colder for several days. I think it will be tough to accumulate much with a surface low near Lake Ontario... but considering Tue night is likely to be fairly cold, if precipitation comes in a quick burst I think there could be some minor accumulations before the boundary layer quickly warms. A slight model shift colder would help, but guidance has been very consistent curling up this shortwave west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 02:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:11 PM NAM, HRRR (end of run), GFS, ECM are all pretty cold (and a little snowy) for Wed morning NWNJ and I-84 area. The Canadian and RRFS are a little warmer and pivot the steadier precipitation a little north of the area until the boundary layer warms. I'd like to see this evolve into a 1-2" deal for Sussex, Orange, Putnam with flakes (coating?) or sleet into northern Morris, Passaic, Rockland, Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 02:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:52 PM 12z NAM (12km) is a little less snowy then 6z. But the 3km is still pretty cold. It has brief snow to ZR and back to snow. I'm not sure I buy that scenario. This looks more like frozen to rain to cold/dry with flurries to me. Either way... interesting solution. As modeled, the 3km NAM is cold enough for travel impacts N&W of NYC. I'm skeptical since surface temps tend to overperform warm with a SLP to our northwest. But other guidance is pretty cold too... so we'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago 4 will do it for the low here. Sucks to see that warm up heading out way next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 50 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 4 will do it for the low here. Sucks to see that warm up heading out way next week. I don't see a high temp above 36 for the next 14 days on my weather apps. Haven't looked at any new model runs today. Is this something some of the model runs are showing not showing up in the apps yet or are you mocking the warm mongers among us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The 12z NAM family has an advisory snowfall for NW burbs (Sussex, N. Morris, Orange, Putnam) probably above 300ft or so. But there's no support from the other meso models. The NAM also keeps it going for longer. Other models are warmer and shorter duration. I'd sell the snowier outcome for now but keep an eye on the mesos tonight. The airmass is cold but the southerly flow will warm things quickly tomorrow. The multi-day trend of a higher amplitude trof has delayed the onset and pushed the initial overrunning well north of us. That hurts wintry chances outside of hill towns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I don't see a high temp above 36 for the next 14 days on my weather apps. Haven't looked at any new model runs today. Is this something some of the model runs are showing not showing up in the apps yet or are you mocking the warm mongers among us? I'm looking at the models and they've been showing above normal temps around the weekend before Christmas going into Christmas week. Its way out there, can and will change so lets hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Long way out, though a warm up is likely; can’t expect to have multiple -10 days in perpetuity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I'm looking at the models and they've been showing above normal temps around the weekend before Christmas going into Christmas week. Its way out there, can and will change so lets hope for the best. 2 hours ago, ForestHillWx said: Long way out, though a warm up is likely; can’t expect to have multiple -10 days in perpetuity. My ocean hugging coastal plain location can expect the top photos likelihood. I feel sure that the good folk of the NW & NE burbs thread will be blessed as the second photo indicates. Either way peace and joy will prevail. As always…… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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