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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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10 minutes ago, Benjamn3 said:

I personally don’t see it. Especially a day 16 run. I think more seasonal temps but not a full blown torch. Who knows it may end up being cold. I wasn’t supposed to putting in hay in my thickest coat and muck boots today. 

I put as much stock in the day 16 GFS as I put in a preseason college football ranking… That being said there is a signal for a warmup that week but with MJO stuck in phase 8 I would be shocked if it was anything but a brief warmup before a front. We will see

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1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I put as much stock in the day 16 GFS as I put in a preseason college football ranking… That being said there is a signal for a warmup that week but with MJO stuck in phase 8 I would be shocked if it was anything but a brief warmup before a front. We will see

Yeah.  It is a different look in the long range from the overnight runs.  GFS ops looks to dump the cold more in the west versus locked up in Canada.  But teleconnections show the NAO heading negative during that time while the PNA looks like its headed positive.  Who knows?

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