Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Ukie

[wncsnow]

Euro looks similar, a little light on the precip though 

[wncsnow]

[wncsnow]

Meh. 

[wncsnow]

Round 2 on the Euro for Sat night but its mostly rain outside the mountains 

[BooneWX]

This is a good example of how blocking isn’t required but it only helps and makes it a hell of a lot easier to score. 

[BornAgain13]

12z CMC Ensembles increased for the Friday event.  12z EPS similar to 6z. Most models have at least something light for Friday except GFS/GEFS.

[Buddy1987]

@BornAgain13 I feel like with as many times as the models have let me down in the medium to long range I won’t believe this actually happens until everything is still onboard Thursday night. Monday actually looked super interesting on the GFS. 

[NorthHillsWx]

It’s before Christmas and we’re on our second and possibly third threat. (First being early November snow to the coast). Maybe we don’t all see flakes but that’s a heck of a start compared to last 7 winters 

[Upstate Tiger]

3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s before Christmas and we’re on our second and possibly third threat. (First being early November snow to the coast). Maybe we don’t all see flakes but that’s a heck of a start compared to last 7 winters 

He ain't lyin.

[olafminesaw]

December climo for 1" snowfalls before 2005 and after 2005. Even before 2005 they were a 10-30% chance outside the mountains in any given year. We are fortunate to be even talking about the possibility of snow

Mountains are a different matter

[CentralNC]

33 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s before Christmas and we’re on our second and possibly third threat. (First being early November snow to the coast). Maybe we don’t all see flakes but that’s a heck of a start compared to last 7 winters 

At this point, just glad to see some kind, any kind, of precip come our way.  Incredibly dry here.