Roger Smith Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 Predict temp anomalies for nine locations (F deg relative to 1991-2020 averages) ... DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA Deadline is 06z May 1st (early Wednesday in EDT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 DCA: +1.7 NYC: +1.5 BOS: +1.0 ORD: +2.0 ATL: +1.5 IAH: +1.3 DEN: +1.5 PHX: 0.0 SEA: +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 DCA: +2.2NYC: +2.0BOS: +1.8ORD: +2.6ATL: +2.4IAH: +2.8 DEN: +1.8PHX: +0.6 SEA: -1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 DCA: +1.5NYC: +1.7BOS: +1.7ORD: +1.8ATL: +1.6IAH: +0.9DEN: +07PHX: +0.7SEA: +0.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.2 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA1.5 _ 2.0 _ 2.1 __ 0.7 _ 1.8 _ 0.6 __ 0.1 _ 1.2 _ 0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA0.8 _ 0.3 _ -0.5 __ -0.7 _ 1.1 _ 1.6 __ -0.1 _ -0.3 _ -0.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +1.2 +1 +.9 +.8 +1.2 +1.4 +1.5 +.3 -.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 DCA: +2.0 NYC: +2.1 BOS: +2.1 ORD: +2.0 ATL: +1.5 IAH: +2.0 DEN: +2.0 PHX: +1.0 SEA: +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted May 1 Author Share Posted May 1 +3.5 _ +4.0 _ +3.5 _ +3.0 _ +3.0 _ +2.5 _ +2.0 _ +1.0 _ +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 DCA: +3.0NYC: +3.2BOS: +2.8ORD: +4.0ATL: +3.0IAH: +2.4DEN: +1.6PHX: +0.5SEA: +0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 OOPS! DCA: +1.6 NYC: +1.3 BOS: +1.1 ORD: +0.9 ATL: +0.7 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +0.4 PHX: -0.5 SEA: -0.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Late! DCA: +1.6NYC: +1.8BOS: +1.7ORD: +1.1ATL: +1.1IAH: +0.5DEN: +0.5PHX: +0.5SEA: +0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted May 4 Author Share Posted May 4 Table of forecasts for May 2024 FORECASTER _____________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA Roger Smith ______________+3.5 _+4.0 _+3.5 __ +3.0 _+3.0 _+2.5 __ +2.0 _ +1.0 _ +1.0 Stormchaser Chuck ______+3.0 _+3.2 _+2.8 __ +4.0 _+3.0 _+2.4 __ +1.6 _+0.5 __ 0.0 wxallannj _________________ +2.2 _+2.0 _+1.8 __ +2.6 _+2.4 _+2.8 __ +1.8 _+0.6 _ -1.0 RJay ______________________+2.0 _+2.1 _+2.1 __ +2.0 _ +1.5 _ +2.0 __ +2.0 _+1.0 _ +1.0 Scotty Lightning __ (-1%) _+2.0 _+1.5 _+1.0 __ +1.0 _ +1.5 _ +1.5 __ +1.0 _ +1.0 __ 0.0 rainsucks _________________+1.7 _ +1.5 _ +1.0 __ +2.0 _ +1.5 _ +1.3 ___+1.5 __0.0 _ +1.0 BKViking ________(-2%) ____+1.6 _ +1.8 _ +1.7 __ +1.1 _ +1.1 _ +0.5 __ +0.5 _+0.5 _+0.5 ___ Consensus ____________ +1.6 _ +1.6 _ +1.7 __ +1.5 _+1.2 _+1.5 __ +0.9 _+0.6 _+0.5 wxdude64 _______(-1%) ____+1.6 _ +1.3 _ +1.1 __ +0.9 _+0.7 _+1.4 __ +0.4 _ -0.5 _-0.8 rhino16 ___________________ +1.5 _ +2.0 _ +2.1 __ +0.7 _+1.8 _ +0.6 __ +0.1 _+1.2 _+0.4 Tom _______________________+1.5 _ +1.7 _ +1.7 __ +1.8 _ +1.6 _+0.9 __ +0.7 _+0.7 _+0.6 so_whats_happening ______+1.2 _ +1.0 _+0.9 __ +0.8 _ +1.2 _+1.4 __ +1.5 _ +0.3 _-0.2 DonSutherland1 ___________+1.1 _ +1.2 _ +1.1 __ +0.8 _ +0.9 _ +0.9 __ +0.5 _+0.5 _+0.7 hudsonvalley21 ___________+0.9 _ +1.0 _ +1.8 __ +2.2 _ +1.3 _ +1.4 __ +0.8 _+0.3 _+1.2 RodneyS __________________+0.8 _+0.3 _ -0.5 __ -0.7 _ +1.1 _ +1.6 ___ -0.1 _ -0.3 _ -0.9 ___ Normal ________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 Persistence (Apr 2024)___+2.3 _ +1.9 _+0.2 ___+3.0 _+2.2_+2.8 ____+2.7 _+0.8 _-1.1 ___________________________________ Normal lowest for DCA, ATL, IAH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted May 16 Author Share Posted May 16 First look at anomalies and projections ... ________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA anom to 15 ______ +1.1 __ -0.4 __ -1.4 ____ +4.5 _ +3.9 _ +2.1 ____ -1.2 _ +1.4 _ +0.9 p anom (31) _____ +1.5 __ +0.5 _ -0.5 ____ +4.0 _ +3.5 _ +2.5 _____ 0.0 _ +1.0 _ -0.5 (16) Projections are based on a slight warming trend in northeast, continued warm regime central and southeast, near normal (variable) west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Preliminary scoring for May 2024 ... scores are based on latest posted projections in previous post. late penalties to be added. ... FORECASTER ____________DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ORD_ATL_IAH_cent_c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA_west___ TOTAL Roger Smith ______________60 _ 30 _ 20 __ 110 __ 80 _ 90 _100 __270 _380 _ 60 _100 _ 70 __230 ___ 610 Stormchaser Chuck ______70 _ 46 _ 34 __ 150 __100 _ 90 _ 98 __288 _438 _ 68 _ 90 _ 90 __248 ___ 686 wxallannj _________________86 _ 70 _ 54 __ 190 __ 72 _ 78 _ 94 __244 _434 _ 64 _ 92 _ 90 __246 ___ 680 RJay ______________________90 _ 68 _ 48 __ 206__ 60 _ 60 _ 90 __210 _416 _ 60 _ 100 _ 70 __230 ___646 Scotty Lightning __ (-1%) _90 _ 80 _ 70 __ 240 __ 40 _ 60 _ 80 __180 _420 _ 80 _100 _ 90 __ 270 __ 690 rainsucks _________________96 _ 80 _ 70 __ 246 __ 60 _ 60 _ 76 __196 _440 _ 70 _ 80 _ 70 __ 220 __ 660 BKViking ________(-2%) ___ 96 _ 74 _ 56 __ 226 __ 42 _ 52 _ 60 __154 _380 _ 90 _ 90 _ 80 __ 260 __ 640 ___ Consensus ____________98 _ 78 _ 56 __ 232 __ 50 _ 54 _ 80 __184 _ 416 _ 82 _ 92 _ 80 __ 254 __ 670 wxdude64 _______(-1%) ___98 _ 84 _ 68 __ 250 __ 38 _ 44 _ 78 __156 _ 406 _ 92 _ 70 _ 94 __ 256 __ 662 rhino16 ___________________100 _ 70 _ 48 __ 218 __ 34 _ 66 _ 62 __162 _ 380 _ 98 _ 96 _ 82 __ 276 __ 656 Tom ______________________100 _ 74 _ 56 __ 230 __ 56 _ 62 _ 68 __186 _ 416 _ 86 _ 94 _ 78 __ 258 __ 674 so_whats_happening _____ 94 _ 90 _ 72 __ 256 __ 36 _ 54 _ 78 __168 _ 424 _ 70 _ 86 _ 94 __ 250 __ 674 DonSutherland1 ___________92 _ 86 _ 68 __ 246 __ 36 _ 48 _ 68 __152 _398 _ 90 _ 90 _ 76 __ 256 __ 654 hudsonvalley21 ___________ 88 _ 90 _ 54 __ 232 __ 64 _ 56 _ 78 __198 _430 _ 84 _ 86 _ 66 __ 236 __ 666 RodneyS __________________86 _ 96 _100 __ 282 __ 06 _ 52 _ 82 __ 140 _422 _ 98 _ 74 _ 92 __ 264 __ 686 ___ Normal ________________ 70 _ 90 _ 90 __ 250 __ 20 _ 30 _ 50 __100 _350_ 100 _ 80 _ 90 __ 270 __ 620 Persistence (Apr 2024)___ 84 _ 72 _ 86 __ 242 __ 80 _ 74 _ 94 __ 248 _490 _ 46 _ 96 _ 88 __ 230 __ 720 =========================== will leave extreme forecasts and best scores until final results, all scores are very close and so far all are below Persistence but above Normal for all but one. ... ... annual update will follow near end of scoring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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