overcautionisbad Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Look at the GFS standing firm like a stonewall! Bring on the 7 inches. Hey and Zach Daniel at WTVR sticks with 4-8. I do believe he is including sleet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 16 minutes ago, TampaMan said: Man I was really rooting for you guys on this one. I was jealous for a good while since we moved 3 months ago down here. Starting to look like maybe even 2 inches is a stretch followed by a buttload of ice. I guess it really cannot snow huge amounts there anymore... I was telling my mom to stock up on a bunch of stuff earlier this week, now I'm glad I did for the ice that will happen but dang... 3-6"-Then hopefully more sleet than frz rain. Super cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Does Kuchea include sleet. I thought it removed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Does Kuchea include sleet. I thought it removed it. It includes sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Probably looking at 4.5 is my guess right now. Hard to say. If changeover is later or sooner all models could be wrong. That could change a lot of stuff. I mean I can see one inch or 8 at this point. Lol 0z Euro was worse for Richmond vs 18z. Shame. Honestly, best scenario might be the NAM sleet over ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 4-6 with the cold air and coming over night. Sprinkle in some sleet and ice to mash it down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago GFS and EURO have the Thurs clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago why look at anything 2 days out on models? They all a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago NWS mentions snow Wednesday Night A chance of snow after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago The NWS ticked down the ice totals for Richmond, down to a range of .25”—.50”.That’s not for nothing, and could be the difference between a few days of recovery in the city and a week.Hoping that’s a trend that continues now that we’re basically in nowcasting mode.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Radar sure does look like the snow may be ahead of schedule in SW Va. Maybe just virga but it has a promising look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 hours ago, ldub23 said: GFS and EURO have the Thurs clipper I've been keeping my eye on that. It appears we get a little Coastal enhancement once it rounds the base. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 19 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow I remember years ago Bernier said, what happens in Nashville, will happen in Richmond. I’ve always remembered him saying that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 39 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow The sleet line looks like it’s just south of Murfreesboro, TN right now. Can’t tell if it’s slowly drifting north or just sliding east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Dude, it's cold out there. Like 21. I just can't imagije anything other than snow can fall at such temps. 33 years of life here. The thing I can't get past is the snow falling at night. That's the thing that makes me question a changeover at like 3 or 4 am. A computer tells you it will rain while temps are 25. Are you going to believe it? I don't. I would have to see it with my own eyes. Until then I assume there has been a flaw or error. That's my gut here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Models look to be targeting the east end of the metro for the worst of the ice. That is .50-.75" of FRAM accretion in the blue. Matches up with other models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, overcautionisbad said: Dude, it's cold out there. Like 21. I just can't imagije anything other than snow can fall at such temps. 33 years of life here. The thing I can't get past is the snow falling at night. That's the thing that makes me question a changeover at like 3 or 4 am. A computer tells you it will rain while temps are 25. Are you going to believe it? I don't. I would have to see it with my own eyes. Until then I assume there has been a flaw or error. That's my gut here. lol allot of people can’t imagine it.. It’s why many are so wrong & the computer is right. Again, it’s what is going on aloft… (not just the temperature at the surface) Cold air damming (between the mountains & our area is what we want to rout for.. The longer that happens the less chance we have in getting a prolonged freezing rain event… Sleet is 100% certain in this area at this point… How long we have the (just sleet) is the million $ dollar $ question? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 40 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: lol allot of people can’t imagine it.. It’s why many are so wrong & the computer is right. Again, it’s what is going on aloft… (not just the temperature at the surface) Cold air damming (between the mountains & our area is what we want to rout for.. The longer that happens the less chance we have in getting a prolonged freezing rain event… Sleet is 100% certain in this area at this point… How long we have the (just sleet) is the million $ dollar $ question? We'll see. Models get a lot wrong around here though. If it rains surface temps will be warmer than what they say. Anyone know how Tennessee is looking compared to the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Let me clarify myself… The computer models aren’t in agreement with the total amount of snow in our surrounding area… It’s clear they are in agreement that it wont be all snow. (In the RVA area) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago light flurries in chesterfield under these light returns. 20/20. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, CavalierHoo said: light flurries in chesterfield under these light returns. 20/20. Are you sure that dew point is right? Mine is -5 right now lol Also... LET'S GO!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Hmm definitely no sign of flurries yet where I am.. Short pump not even totally cloudy here yet…dew -4 30% cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 15 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: Are you sure that dew point is right? Mine is -5 right now lol Also... LET'S GO!! By my weather station it was. Now shows 20/14 but still very light flakes falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Wow. Yeh. My local weather service says DP is -8. Time for a reset maybe 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Creek Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, CavalierHoo said: Wow. Yeh. My local weather service says DP is -8. Time for a reset maybe Ha, yea. I’m showing 20/-3 here in North Chesterfield. NGL, while I’m nervous about the freezing rain potential tomorrow, I’m kinda excited about not really knowing how tomorrow will play out and just seeing what falls… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 36 minutes ago, CavalierHoo said: light flurries in chesterfield under these light returns. 20/20. bro Im midlo and def no flurries. I think you seeing shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago 1 minute ago, jlewis1111 said: bro Im midlo and def no flurries. I think you seeing shit Ok. Im not here to impress you. Just telling you what's happening. I'll keep it to myself from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, CavalierHoo said: Ok. Im not here to impress you. Just telling you what's happening. I'll keep it to myself from here on out. Bro we not getting anything falling from the sky with a - dewpoint. Come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago Got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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