Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[overcautionisbad]

Look at the GFS standing firm like a stonewall! Bring on the 7 inches.

 

Hey and Zach Daniel at WTVR sticks with 4-8. I do believe he is including sleet

[wasnow215]

16 minutes ago, TampaMan said:

Man I was really rooting for you guys on this one. I was jealous for a good while since we moved 3 months ago down here. Starting to look like maybe even 2 inches is a stretch followed by a buttload of ice. I guess it really cannot snow huge amounts there anymore... I was telling my mom to stock up on a bunch of stuff earlier this week, now I'm glad I did for the ice that will happen but dang...

3-6"-Then hopefully more sleet than frz rain. Super cold too.

[Conway7305]

Does  Kuchea include sleet.  I thought it removed it. 

[wasnow215]

15 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

Does  Kuchea include sleet.  I thought it removed it. 

It includes sleet

[overcautionisbad]

Probably looking at 4.5 is my guess right now. Hard to say. If changeover is later or sooner all models could be wrong. That could change a lot of stuff. I mean I can see one inch or 8 at this point. Lol

 

0z Euro was worse for Richmond vs 18z. Shame. Honestly, best scenario might be the NAM sleet over ice

[Rvarookie]

4-6 with the cold air and coming over night. Sprinkle in some sleet and ice to mash it down 

[ldub23]

GFS and EURO have the  Thurs clipper

[jlewis1111]

why look at anything 2 days out on models? They all a joke

[ldub23]

NWS mentions snow

 

Wednesday Night

A chance of snow after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday

A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

[SoCoWx]

The NWS ticked down the ice totals for Richmond, down to a range of .25”—.50”.

That’s not for nothing, and could be the difference between a few days of recovery in the city and a week.

Hoping that’s a trend that continues now that we’re basically in nowcasting mode.


.

[CavalierHoo]

Radar sure does look like the snow may be ahead of schedule in SW Va.  Maybe just virga but it has a promising look.

[Stormpc]

5 hours ago, ldub23 said:

GFS and EURO have the  Thurs clipper

I've been keeping my eye on that. It appears we get a little Coastal enhancement once it rounds the base.

[Sernest14]

Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow

[Siberian-Snowcover-Myth]

19 minutes ago, Sernest14 said:

Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow

I remember years ago Bernier said, what happens in Nashville, will happen in Richmond. I’ve always remembered him saying that. 

[Rhino16]

39 minutes ago, Sernest14 said:

Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow

The sleet line looks like it’s just south of Murfreesboro, TN right now. Can’t tell if it’s slowly drifting north or just sliding east.

[overcautionisbad]

Dude, it's cold out there. Like 21. I just can't imagije anything other than snow can fall at such temps.

 

33 years of life here. The thing I can't get past is the snow falling at night. That's the thing that makes me question a changeover at like 3 or 4 am.

 

A computer tells you it will rain while temps are 25. Are you going to believe it? I don't. I would have to see it with my own eyes. Until then I assume there has been a flaw or error. That's my gut here.

[mikeeng92]

Models look to be targeting the east end of the metro for the worst of the ice. That is .50-.75" of FRAM accretion in the blue. Matches up with other models. 

[eaglesin2011]

1 hour ago, overcautionisbad said:

Dude, it's cold out there. Like 21. I just can't imagije anything other than snow can fall at such temps.

 

33 years of life here. The thing I can't get past is the snow falling at night. That's the thing that makes me question a changeover at like 3 or 4 am.

 

A computer tells you it will rain while temps are 25. Are you going to believe it? I don't. I would have to see it with my own eyes. Until then I assume there has been a flaw or error. That's my gut here.

lol allot of people can’t imagine it.. It’s why most are so wrong & the computer is right.  
Again, it’s what is going on aloft… (not just the temperature at the surface)

Cold air damming (between the mountains & our area is what we want to rout for.. The longer that happens the less chance we have in getting the freezing rain & having the warm air rush in more and cause freezing rain… 

sleet is 100% certain in this area… How long we have that (just sleet) is the million $ question…