mahantango#1 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: GREAT pics man. You have a good eye for the camera. Not my pics they were taken from the Schlegel fruit farm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 54 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: I have no inside scoop...but were way overdue for a bad winter. MDT has had 6 of the last 10 Winters with Above normal snow. 2010 was the last well above snow Winter with over 50 inches at MDT. This was thanks to 3 major storms, but there was next to nothing in between the December storm & then the 2 major snowstorms in early February. After that, the late February snowicane that hit NJ & NY only gave minor amounts to the LSV-we were just a bit too far west. March 2010 was snowless. In my opinion, 2013-14 with the 44 inch total at MDT was a worse Winter in terms of cold & snow, with several events from December through February. It could have been even better if the 3 events in March that hit Maryland could have tracked slightly further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said: Who knows...maybe next year is our turn to get record breaking seasonal snowfall. The mountains of California have had 13 major storms this season that delivered their historic snow. Maybe some year will be our turn? I would love if MDT could see a 100 inch snow season some year. I think the record best season is near 80 inches. Lol, we would just need about 7 major coastal snowstorms that deliver around 15 inches of snow per storm. We would need the Gulf to VA coastal track to lock in for the whole Winter. Lol, never say never! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Meso's really heating the LSV up tomorrow afternoon...some mid to upper 70's readings. Very possible the high and low tomorrow are close to 40 degrees apart for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Storm Prediction Center has virtually the entire region (far SE excluded) in slight risk for tomorrow. My grid high for tomorrow is 73, sustained 20-29 mp winds with max gust to 47. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP has virtually the entire region (far SE looks excluded) in slight risk for tomorrow. My grid high for tomorrow is 73, sustained 20-29 mp winds with max gust to 47. Most of the model gust maps shown on MA seem a bit higher. The lack of rain is a major disappointment if it happens as portrayed by the Meso's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Most of the model gust maps shown on MA seem a bit higher. The lack of rain is a major disappointment if it happens as portrayed by the Meso's. I think winds will be stronger - if we did a wind contest I'd put MDT at 58 max gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 1 minute ago, canderson said: I think winds will be stronger - if we did a wind contest I'd put MDT at 58 max gust. I will go with 52 for MDT, 59 for LNS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I will go with 52 for MDT, 59 for LNS. Is it just my dumb eyes or is tomorrow playing out a big more like the big winds are fairly confined just in front and behind the line and otherwise nothing too outrageous? Instead of it blowing 40+ for 12+ hours? FWIW a single 55 mpg wind gust will absolutely do damage to siding, shingles, etc. on homes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Just now, canderson said: Is it just my dumb eyes or is tomorrow playing out a big more like the big winds are fairly confined just in front and behind the line and otherwise nothing too outrageous? Instead of it blowing 40+ for 12+ hours? FWIW a single 55 mpg wind gust will absolutely do damage to siding, shingles, etc. on homes. Yes, that was what I posted this AM as to what the Meso's were showing. A bit windy weather most of tomorrow than a 2-3 hour period of heavier winds then back down again. I think gusts can do damage, but we get over 50MPH gusts here quite often over the year due to the elevation and, when positioned right, being upslope when winds careen in from the west. Lots of branches and such and risk of power outages but not much house damage. A constant/sustained wind in the 50's and 60's will definitely wear on and pull up loose shingles if it goes on too long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yes, that was what I posted this AM as to what the Meso's were showing. A bit windy weather most of tomorrow than a 2-3 hour period of heavier winds then back down again. I think gusts can do damage, but we get over 50MPH gusts here quite often over the year due to the elevation and, when positioned right, being upslope when winds careen in from the west. Lots of branches and such and risk of power outages but not much house damage. A constant/sustained wind in the 50's and 60's will definitely wear on and pull up loose shingles if it goes on too long. It'd help if I'd read. I've just been looking at model outputs for the midwest storms today. That mod risk has like 15 million people in - Chicago included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 11 minutes ago, canderson said: It'd help if I'd read. I've just been looking at model outputs for the midwest storms today. That mod risk has like 15 million people in - Chicago included. Oh, I was not bashing, sorry if it came across that way. Yea, scary out there. Rain just entering Franklin county right now. Hope some of the heavier stuff can make it here but HRRR has it faltering as it downslopes. A raw 45 out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Oh, I was not bashing, sorry if it came across that way. Yea, scary out there. Rain just entering Franklin county right now. Hope some of the heavier stuff can make it here. A raw 45 out. Nope, didn't come across that way - we're good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Max winds tomorrow- I'll go with 47 at MDT and 44 at LNS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Two areas of high risk today issued by SPC - mid-south and the Quad Cities region. That’s pretty rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 LSV adjoining counties in MD have the high wind watch now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, canderson said: Two areas of high risk today issued by SPC - mid-south and the Quad Cities region. That’s pretty rare. I like their summaries at the bottom...listing the big cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I like their summaries at the bottom...listing the big cities Me too - not sure when it was added but it’s very helpful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 So Chicago is not under a moderate risk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: So Chicago is not under a moderate risk? Nope, just enhanced. A slight shift in the risk - notably east as you go south too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Wind advisory for tomorrow?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Thats a big PDS area SPC popped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Wind advisory for tomorrow?? Issuing in n the afternoon disco. They’ve been pretty late with those the past few weeks imo - wonder if they’re understaffed currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 FWIW, Elliott really ramped up his wind talk for tomorrow. Up to 60 mph with roof damage and widespread power outages. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 6 hours ago, pasnownut said: GREAT pics man. You have a good eye for the camera. I don't see cellular damage on a single flower, all looks great, In fact those trees have way to many flowers and will probably be mechanically or chemically pinched to increase fruit size and to prevent apples bumping into each other and bruising in the wind. That is a very nice orchard . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Where's Blizz at, he's slacking LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Huge tornado ripping through Little Rock while storms in Illinois get warned too as one is on the ground nearing Peoria. This day I think is going to be remembered for years. Chicago added to TOR watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 17 minutes ago, Porsche said: Where's Blizz at, he's slacking LOL The people that gave up following weather and models will not like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 CTP went with a wind advisory, not warning, for everyone not already in the warning. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 322 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-027-028-037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-011200- /O.NEW.KCTP.WI.Y.0008.230401T1200Z-230402T0600Z/ Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Mifflin-Juniata-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming- Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin- Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 322 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 8 AM Saturday to 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 18Z Nam and HRRR both downplayed tomorrow a bit in LSV wise vs. 12Z ...both winds and storms. Line of storms a bit beefier Central (Burg and North) and N PA on 3K while it is really nothing on the HRRR. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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