February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.

[Carvers Gap]

Portions of Knox Co are at 11" though 222.

[tnweathernut]

So forget what the euro surface is showing in the mid range and look at 500 from hour 168 to 192.

See the shortwave in the southwest? It turns the flow across THOUSANDS of miles from the west south west. All the while we get a press from the PV, sending high pressures down the front range of the Rockies. The cold SHOULD press all the way to the Apps.

Carvers and I have been talking off the board for several days about a major overrunning event being possible. This is how it would happen, and is exactly what a 500mb map would look like if you were going to get one.

This is probably one of the best looks I have seen in a while. Hope we reel it in. If we do, someone in TN and maybe many, will get walloped.





.

[tnweathernut]

The Euro snow map will look quite localized, but moisture would likely be quite expansive under the setup shown.  Let's get through this weekend and then we can start looking for what comes next week.  Hopefully the cold will indeed press.  It's the biggest ingredient that seems to only want to flirt and tease us so far.

[Carvers Gap]

No idea if this verifies, but that is good to see the para-GFS and Euro at 12z with similar looks at 12z.  Snow accumulation maps are super similar.  Euro is a hair east on a global scale.   If we get snow, temps are going to be nuts in terms of severity.  All of this is speculation, but it is on the table as of now.

[Carvers Gap]

It is almost embarrassing to state how many degrees below normal we would be if it snows...so, I won't.  So let's just say "really cold."

[Matthew70]

4 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

It is almost embarrassing to state how many degrees below normal we would be if it snows...so, I won't.  So let's just say "really cold."

Oh don’t tease.  Show us those accumulation maps and temps.  It’s nice to dream!

[Carvers Gap]

14 minutes ago, tnweathernut said:

So forget what the euro surface is showing in the mid range and look at 500 from hour 168 to 192.

See the shortwave in the southwest? It turns the flow across THOUSANDS of miles from the west south west. All the while we get a press from the PV, sending high pressures down the front range of the Rockies. The cold SHOULD press all the way to the Apps.

Carvers and I have been talking off the board for several days about a major overrunning event being possible. This is how it would happen, and is exactly what a 500mb map would look like if you were going to get one.

This is probably one of the best looks I have seen in a while. Hope we reel it in. If we do, someone in TN and maybe many, will get walloped.





.

Yeah, I have to be honest(I know a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush), but I am looking at that Wednesday to Sunday event more than I probably should.  LOL!!!

[PowellVolz]

I think there has been something wrong with modeling for about 48 hours....have seemed way, way to benign given then pattern.

I get that euro was likely not going to happen that we saw the other day but it was also not likely for it to warm 30 degrees and move a storm a thousand miles in one 6 Hr window the very next mod that ran after the 3’ of snow it was showing.


.

[Carvers Gap]

1 minute ago, Matthew70 said:

Oh don’t tease.  Show us those accumulation maps and temps.  It’s nice to dream!

Re: 12z Euro

You asked...LOL.  There are temp anomalies (departures not actual temps) of 35-5F BN just after 200 rolling across the entire forum area.  Snow is on the ground so that is why.  Temps in the NE valleys are 10-20 degrees below zero for actual temps.  That is WAY out there...would have to see it to believe it.  

[Matthew70]

I have not needed to shovel in a long time.  I threw away my shovel.  Thinking might need to go get one tomorrow or Saturday morning this keeps showing.  Plus salt.  My driveway does not get sun. 

[Carvers Gap]

2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

I get that euro was likely not going to happen that we saw the other day but it was also not likely for it to warm 30 degrees and move a storm a thousand miles in one 6 Hr window the very next mod that ran after the 3’ of snow it was showing.


.

Yeah, something was/is off.  And honestly, I am not sure things aren't still wonky.  It is like we had this great pattern nailed, it disappeared for 48 hours, and now it is back.  I have speculated a bite with others, but not sure why.  Thing is...it may not be fixed yet.   One eye over my shoulder for sure right now........

[Matthew70]

2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Re: 12z Euro

You asked...LOL.  There are temp anomalies (departures not actual temps) of 35-5F BN just after 200 rolling across the entire forum area.  Snow is on the ground so that is why.  Temps in the NE valleys are 10-20 degrees below zero for actual temps.  That is WAY out there...would have to see it to believe it.  

That’s 1985 type temps.

[Carvers Gap]

6 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

That’s 1985 type temps.

Probably closer to 95-96, because it is driven by snow cover.  85 was the PV just settling in over NE TN.  I will have to look closer...that could be happening but seems more like bitterly cold air over OH that just banks up over a snowpack west of the Apps.  That is probably splitting hairs, because it is really cold either way in terms of what is being modeled.  Still a long ways to go, but was interesting.  Modeling for several days has shown pipe cracking cold over the Lower 48 though.

[Dsty2001]

I've always wondered how much snow pack influences the temperatures, I know when I lived in Delaware 09-10, there was snow continuously on the ground all winter and it was COLD

[jaxjagman]

 

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS    LAT=  35.82 LON=  -83.98 ELE=   981

                                            12Z FEB04
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
THU 12Z 04-FEB                  26.1    17.9    10002                     97    
THU 18Z 04-FEB  43.2    25.6    43.2    21.8    21003                    100    
FRI 00Z 05-FEB  47.4    40.8    45.2    17.9    18010   0.00    0.00      93    
FRI 06Z 05-FEB  46.1    42.3    44.5    42.8    22010   0.11    0.00     100    
FRI 12Z 05-FEB  45.0    33.4    33.2    31.9    28006   0.12    0.00      94    
FRI 18Z 05-FEB  41.4    31.4    41.7    22.9    25004   0.00    0.00      10    
SAT 00Z 06-FEB  45.0    37.9    37.7    22.6    23005   0.00    0.00      95    
SAT 06Z 06-FEB  37.8    31.0    31.2    21.1    21004   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 12Z 06-FEB  31.3    28.0    28.0    22.4    20003   0.00    0.00       6    
SAT 18Z 06-FEB  48.7    27.7    48.8    25.3    23002   0.00    0.00      63    
SUN 00Z 07-FEB  50.1    41.9    41.7    26.0    11004   0.00    0.00      94    
SUN 06Z 07-FEB  41.7    36.4    36.9    31.5    26001   0.06    0.01     100    
SUN 12Z 07-FEB  37.3    33.0    32.9    32.7    15001   0.36    0.24     100    
SUN 18Z 07-FEB  40.9    32.9    40.4    33.0    01004   0.02    0.01      91    
MON 00Z 08-FEB  42.9    36.6    36.7    29.2    05004   0.00    0.00      24    
MON 06Z 08-FEB  36.7    26.9    27.6    23.8    08003   0.00    0.00       1    
MON 12Z 08-FEB  28.8    25.8    27.2    25.0    12004   0.00    0.00       9    
MON 18Z 08-FEB  49.5    27.1    49.8    34.4    23002   0.00    0.00      62    
TUE 00Z 09-FEB  53.2    40.6    40.2    34.4    12006   0.00    0.00      61    
TUE 06Z 09-FEB  40.8    37.6    38.8    34.3    18004   0.00    0.00      90    
TUE 12Z 09-FEB  43.7    38.7    42.7    39.7    16003   0.02    0.00      96    
TUE 18Z 09-FEB  53.1    42.4    53.3    49.1    25006   0.05    0.00     100    
WED 00Z 10-FEB  53.4    47.5    47.3    47.0    35005   0.06    0.00     100    
WED 06Z 10-FEB  47.5    38.9    38.8    38.2    02005   0.03    0.00      97    
WED 12Z 10-FEB  38.8    34.4    34.2    32.8    02006   0.00    0.00     100    
WED 18Z 10-FEB  44.5    34.0    44.5    34.8    01003   0.00    0.00      89    
THU 00Z 11-FEB  46.5    40.8    40.8    29.5    02004   0.00    0.00      98    
THU 06Z 11-FEB  40.9    36.3    36.2    26.7    01003   0.00    0.00     100    
THU 12Z 11-FEB  37.3    35.8    36.1    29.7    00003   0.02    0.00     100    
THU 18Z 11-FEB  38.3    35.7    37.7    32.2    02004   0.02    0.00     100    
FRI 00Z 12-FEB  38.6    32.5    32.3    26.6    01006   0.03    0.00     100    
FRI 06Z 12-FEB  32.3    28.9    28.9    19.8    02006   0.02    0.01     100    
FRI 12Z 12-FEB  29.0    22.9    22.7    18.1    02009   0.37    0.18     100    
FRI 18Z 12-FEB  22.7    19.7    20.3    14.3    02008   0.33    0.29     100    
SAT 00Z 13-FEB  20.6    16.7    16.7    10.7    02007   0.03    0.03     100    
SAT 06Z 13-FEB  16.7    14.8    15.2     7.4    03006   0.03    0.03      99    
SAT 12Z 13-FEB  15.4    10.5    10.3     2.5    01008   0.01    0.01      86    
SAT 18Z 13-FEB  15.0     8.2    15.3    -0.5    36005   0.00    0.00       4    
SUN 00Z 14-FEB  17.7     9.2     8.9    -2.0    32005   0.00    0.00       2    
SUN 06Z 14-FEB   9.0    -3.3    -0.3    -8.6    02000   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 12Z 14-FEB   0.1    -6.3    -5.5   -13.2    11002   0.00    0.00       5    

[jaxjagman]

This deserves a 

 

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TRI    LAT=  36.47 LON=  -82.40 ELE=  1519

                                            12Z FEB04
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
THU 12Z 04-FEB                  23.2    16.5    09004                     96    
THU 18Z 04-FEB  47.9    23.2    48.1    14.9    20002                     99    
FRI 00Z 05-FEB  49.0    40.8    41.3    22.1    15007   0.00    0.00      99    
FRI 06Z 05-FEB  42.2    40.0    40.1    35.3    18006   0.05    0.01     100    
FRI 12Z 05-FEB  40.8    35.6    35.2    34.7    28008   0.16    0.00      83    
FRI 18Z 05-FEB  37.3    30.3    36.9    20.5    26008   0.00    0.00      17    
SAT 00Z 06-FEB  41.5    34.3    34.2    19.5    23005   0.00    0.00      63    
SAT 06Z 06-FEB  34.2    28.4    28.3    21.0    23004   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 12Z 06-FEB  28.4    26.8    27.1    19.3    21003   0.00    0.00      35    
SAT 18Z 06-FEB  46.3    26.9    46.5    23.1    24004   0.00    0.00      89    
SUN 00Z 07-FEB  47.0    37.8    37.7    23.7    10005   0.00    0.00      95    
SUN 06Z 07-FEB  38.2    35.4    35.6    25.5    14004   0.01    0.00     100    
SUN 12Z 07-FEB  35.7    31.5    31.6    31.2    28003   0.22    0.21      99    
SUN 18Z 07-FEB  41.2    31.6    41.3    30.5    32006   0.04    0.04      89    
MON 00Z 08-FEB  42.6    33.7    33.4    26.2    01005   0.00    0.00       9    
MON 06Z 08-FEB  33.4    22.2    22.2    18.8    08003   0.00    0.00       1    
MON 12Z 08-FEB  23.8    20.4    22.1    19.8    11003   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 18Z 08-FEB  48.0    22.0    48.8    31.3    25002   0.00    0.00      50    
TUE 00Z 09-FEB  51.4    39.1    38.8    30.8    14008   0.00    0.00      53    
TUE 06Z 09-FEB  39.5    34.5    35.9    31.3    14005   0.00    0.00      92    
TUE 12Z 09-FEB  40.9    35.7    41.0    37.3    14005   0.02    0.00      86    
TUE 18Z 09-FEB  52.1    40.5    50.9    44.6    28005   0.01    0.00      96    
WED 00Z 10-FEB  51.2    45.2    45.1    45.0    29004   0.07    0.00     100    
WED 06Z 10-FEB  45.1    37.4    37.3    36.6    02005   0.02    0.00      98    
WED 12Z 10-FEB  37.3    31.3    31.2    29.3    03005   0.00    0.00     100    
WED 18Z 10-FEB  44.4    30.5    44.6    27.2    02003   0.00    0.00      82    
THU 00Z 11-FEB  44.9    37.0    36.9    23.9    02004   0.00    0.00     100    
THU 06Z 11-FEB  36.9    35.8    36.0    26.0    05002   0.00    0.00     100    
THU 12Z 11-FEB  36.2    35.1    35.5    34.4    02001   0.03    0.00     100    
THU 18Z 11-FEB  40.1    35.4    40.0    38.0    31002   0.08    0.00     100    
FRI 00Z 12-FEB  40.3    32.9    32.7    30.3    01005   0.04    0.01     100    
FRI 06Z 12-FEB  32.7    27.9    27.8    21.6    02005   0.02    0.02     100    
FRI 12Z 12-FEB  27.8    21.5    21.4    14.3    02007   0.18    0.17     100    
FRI 18Z 12-FEB  21.4    18.1    19.4    12.6    01006   0.43    0.43     100    
SAT 00Z 13-FEB  19.4    14.8    14.7     8.7    01006   0.05    0.05     100    
SAT 06Z 13-FEB  14.7    12.7    13.2     6.1    01004   0.04    0.04      99    
SAT 12Z 13-FEB  13.3     9.2     9.1     1.5    35005   0.01    0.01      96    
SAT 18Z 13-FEB  15.0     8.2    15.2     1.3    31004   0.00    0.00       1    
SUN 00Z 14-FEB  17.3     8.1     7.7    -1.5    31006   0.00    0.00       2    
SUN 06Z 14-FEB   7.7    -5.6    -5.9   -13.9    29006   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 12Z 14-FEB  -4.3   -12.6   -11.9   -19.6    25002   0.00    0.00       0    

[jaxjagman]

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA    LAT=  36.12 LON=  -86.68 ELE=   591

                                            12Z FEB04
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
THU 12Z 04-FEB                  33.7    22.5    16006                     99    
THU 18Z 04-FEB  45.3    33.5    45.2    28.6    17011                    100    
FRI 00Z 05-FEB  50.6    44.8    48.1    45.6    19014   0.09    0.00     100    
FRI 06Z 05-FEB  50.0    36.2    35.9    34.1    30009   0.26    0.00      78    
FRI 12Z 05-FEB  35.9    27.7    27.4    23.0    28004   0.00    0.00       1    
FRI 18Z 05-FEB  43.2    25.8    43.5    22.3    23005   0.00    0.00      49    
SAT 00Z 06-FEB  47.7    38.5    38.4    24.0    22005   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 06Z 06-FEB  38.4    33.6    33.7    23.8    21006   0.00    0.00      50    
SAT 12Z 06-FEB  34.3    31.6    33.0    25.5    22001   0.00    0.00      76    
SAT 18Z 06-FEB  47.9    30.2    48.1    30.4    13003   0.00    0.00      97    
SUN 00Z 07-FEB  50.5    43.1    43.2    32.9    07003   0.00    0.00      73    
SUN 06Z 07-FEB  43.2    37.9    37.9    36.0    27001   0.05    0.00     100    
SUN 12Z 07-FEB  38.0    34.4    34.3    33.4    36007   0.06    0.00      89    
SUN 18Z 07-FEB  38.7    32.0    38.9    29.8    35004   0.00    0.00      83    
MON 00Z 08-FEB  42.6    36.7    36.6    28.3    04002   0.00    0.00       9    
MON 06Z 08-FEB  36.6    27.7    27.6    23.7    05003   0.00    0.00       4    
MON 12Z 08-FEB  28.2    25.8    26.4    23.5    13003   0.00    0.00       6    
MON 18Z 08-FEB  49.7    26.1    50.0    34.4    15003   0.00    0.00      28    
TUE 00Z 09-FEB  54.5    45.8    45.7    37.2    14006   0.00    0.00      91    
TUE 06Z 09-FEB  46.7    44.3    46.1    38.3    18009   0.00    0.00      93    
TUE 12Z 09-FEB  46.8    45.1    46.6    44.4    20008   0.03    0.00      99    
TUE 18Z 09-FEB  50.0    46.4    48.7    47.0    32007   0.04    0.00     100    
WED 00Z 10-FEB  49.2    40.1    40.0    33.9    35005   0.00    0.00      12    
WED 06Z 10-FEB  40.0    31.4    31.2    24.2    36007   0.00    0.00      95    
WED 12Z 10-FEB  31.3    26.2    26.1    19.6    01007   0.00    0.00      86    
WED 18Z 10-FEB  38.0    26.0    38.2    21.7    02006   0.00    0.00      81    
THU 00Z 11-FEB  40.3    37.3    37.1    20.8    00006   0.00    0.00      99    
THU 06Z 11-FEB  37.1    32.6    32.5    14.3    01005   0.00    0.00      98    
THU 12Z 11-FEB  32.6    30.2    30.2    11.1    36006   0.01    0.01     100    
THU 18Z 11-FEB  30.2    28.9    29.7    13.0    36007   0.00    0.00     100    
FRI 00Z 12-FEB  30.4    29.1    29.2     5.7    00008   0.00    0.00     100    
FRI 06Z 12-FEB  29.6    24.7    24.5     5.5    36011   0.01    0.01     100    
FRI 12Z 12-FEB  24.5    15.5    15.4     3.4    00011   0.11    0.11     100    
FRI 18Z 12-FEB  20.5    14.9    20.7    -7.1    01011   0.03    0.03      99    
SAT 00Z 13-FEB  22.7    19.5    20.0    -9.2    36011   0.00    0.00      99    
SAT 06Z 13-FEB  20.0     8.9     8.7   -14.9    35012   0.00    0.00      39    
SAT 12Z 13-FEB   8.7     1.6     1.6   -18.5    35010   0.00    0.00       6    
SAT 18Z 13-FEB  11.5     1.2    11.7   -21.1    34009   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 00Z 14-FEB  14.7    10.5    10.4   -19.3    33008   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 14-FEB  10.4     7.0     7.0   -17.7    34006   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 12Z 14-FEB   7.0     6.3     6.3   -16.6    33003   0.00    0.00       0   

[Matthew70]

21 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA    LAT=  36.12 LON=  -86.68 ELE=   591

                                            12Z FEB04
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
THU 12Z 04-FEB                  33.7    22.5    16006                     99    
THU 18Z 04-FEB  45.3    33.5    45.2    28.6    17011                    100    
FRI 00Z 05-FEB  50.6    44.8    48.1    45.6    19014   0.09    0.00     100    
FRI 06Z 05-FEB  50.0    36.2    35.9    34.1    30009   0.26    0.00      78    
FRI 12Z 05-FEB  35.9    27.7    27.4    23.0    28004   0.00    0.00       1    
FRI 18Z 05-FEB  43.2    25.8    43.5    22.3    23005   0.00    0.00      49    
SAT 00Z 06-FEB  47.7    38.5    38.4    24.0    22005   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 06Z 06-FEB  38.4    33.6    33.7    23.8    21006   0.00    0.00      50    
SAT 12Z 06-FEB  34.3    31.6    33.0    25.5    22001   0.00    0.00      76    
SAT 18Z 06-FEB  47.9    30.2    48.1    30.4    13003   0.00    0.00      97    
SUN 00Z 07-FEB  50.5    43.1    43.2    32.9    07003   0.00    0.00      73    
SUN 06Z 07-FEB  43.2    37.9    37.9    36.0    27001   0.05    0.00     100    
SUN 12Z 07-FEB  38.0    34.4    34.3    33.4    36007   0.06    0.00      89    
SUN 18Z 07-FEB  38.7    32.0    38.9    29.8    35004   0.00    0.00      83    
MON 00Z 08-FEB  42.6    36.7    36.6    28.3    04002   0.00    0.00       9    
MON 06Z 08-FEB  36.6    27.7    27.6    23.7    05003   0.00    0.00       4    
MON 12Z 08-FEB  28.2    25.8    26.4    23.5    13003   0.00    0.00       6    
MON 18Z 08-FEB  49.7    26.1    50.0    34.4    15003   0.00    0.00      28    
TUE 00Z 09-FEB  54.5    45.8    45.7    37.2    14006   0.00    0.00      91    
TUE 06Z 09-FEB  46.7    44.3    46.1    38.3    18009   0.00    0.00      93    
TUE 12Z 09-FEB  46.8    45.1    46.6    44.4    20008   0.03    0.00      99    
TUE 18Z 09-FEB  50.0    46.4    48.7    47.0    32007   0.04    0.00     100    
WED 00Z 10-FEB  49.2    40.1    40.0    33.9    35005   0.00    0.00      12    
WED 06Z 10-FEB  40.0    31.4    31.2    24.2    36007   0.00    0.00      95    
WED 12Z 10-FEB  31.3    26.2    26.1    19.6    01007   0.00    0.00      86    
WED 18Z 10-FEB  38.0    26.0    38.2    21.7    02006   0.00    0.00      81    
THU 00Z 11-FEB  40.3    37.3    37.1    20.8    00006   0.00    0.00      99    
THU 06Z 11-FEB  37.1    32.6    32.5    14.3    01005   0.00    0.00      98    
THU 12Z 11-FEB  32.6    30.2    30.2    11.1    36006   0.01    0.01     100    
THU 18Z 11-FEB  30.2    28.9    29.7    13.0    36007   0.00    0.00     100    
FRI 00Z 12-FEB  30.4    29.1    29.2     5.7    00008   0.00    0.00     100    
FRI 06Z 12-FEB  29.6    24.7    24.5     5.5    36011   0.01    0.01     100    
FRI 12Z 12-FEB  24.5    15.5    15.4     3.4    00011   0.11    0.11     100    
FRI 18Z 12-FEB  20.5    14.9    20.7    -7.1    01011   0.03    0.03      99    
SAT 00Z 13-FEB  22.7    19.5    20.0    -9.2    36011   0.00    0.00      99    
SAT 06Z 13-FEB  20.0     8.9     8.7   -14.9    35012   0.00    0.00      39    
SAT 12Z 13-FEB   8.7     1.6     1.6   -18.5    35010   0.00    0.00       6    
SAT 18Z 13-FEB  11.5     1.2    11.7   -21.1    34009   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 00Z 14-FEB  14.7    10.5    10.4   -19.3    33008   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 14-FEB  10.4     7.0     7.0   -17.7    34006   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 12Z 14-FEB   7.0     6.3     6.3   -16.6    33003   0.00    0.00       0   

Well that’s the snow dome 

[Carvers Gap]

Euro operational appears supported by the EPS.

[Stovepipe]

Waiting on those Euro clown maps like....

[PowellVolz]

 

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS    LAT=  35.82 LON=  -83.98 ELE=   981                                           12Z FEB04                2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL                MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD                (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)THU 12Z 04-FEB                  26.1    17.9    10002                     97    THU 18Z 04-FEB  43.2    25.6    43.2    21.8    21003                    100    FRI 00Z 05-FEB  47.4    40.8    45.2    17.9    18010   0.00    0.00      93    FRI 06Z 05-FEB  46.1    42.3    44.5    42.8    22010   0.11    0.00     100    FRI 12Z 05-FEB  45.0    33.4    33.2    31.9    28006   0.12    0.00      94    FRI 18Z 05-FEB  41.4    31.4    41.7    22.9    25004   0.00    0.00      10    SAT 00Z 06-FEB  45.0    37.9    37.7    22.6    23005   0.00    0.00      95    SAT 06Z 06-FEB  37.8    31.0    31.2    21.1    21004   0.00    0.00       0    SAT 12Z 06-FEB  31.3    28.0    28.0    22.4    20003   0.00    0.00       6    SAT 18Z 06-FEB  48.7    27.7    48.8    25.3    23002   0.00    0.00      63    SUN 00Z 07-FEB  50.1    41.9    41.7    26.0    11004   0.00    0.00      94    SUN 06Z 07-FEB  41.7    36.4    36.9    31.5    26001   0.06    0.01     100    SUN 12Z 07-FEB  37.3    33.0    32.9    32.7    15001   0.36    0.24     100    SUN 18Z 07-FEB  40.9    32.9    40.4    33.0    01004   0.02    0.01      91    MON 00Z 08-FEB  42.9    36.6    36.7    29.2    05004   0.00    0.00      24    MON 06Z 08-FEB  36.7    26.9    27.6    23.8    08003   0.00    0.00       1    MON 12Z 08-FEB  28.8    25.8    27.2    25.0    12004   0.00    0.00       9    MON 18Z 08-FEB  49.5    27.1    49.8    34.4    23002   0.00    0.00      62    TUE 00Z 09-FEB  53.2    40.6    40.2    34.4    12006   0.00    0.00      61    TUE 06Z 09-FEB  40.8    37.6    38.8    34.3    18004   0.00    0.00      90    TUE 12Z 09-FEB  43.7    38.7    42.7    39.7    16003   0.02    0.00      96    TUE 18Z 09-FEB  53.1    42.4    53.3    49.1    25006   0.05    0.00     100    WED 00Z 10-FEB  53.4    47.5    47.3    47.0    35005   0.06    0.00     100    WED 06Z 10-FEB  47.5    38.9    38.8    38.2    02005   0.03    0.00      97    WED 12Z 10-FEB  38.8    34.4    34.2    32.8    02006   0.00    0.00     100    WED 18Z 10-FEB  44.5    34.0    44.5    34.8    01003   0.00    0.00      89    THU 00Z 11-FEB  46.5    40.8    40.8    29.5    02004   0.00    0.00      98    THU 06Z 11-FEB  40.9    36.3    36.2    26.7    01003   0.00    0.00     100    THU 12Z 11-FEB  37.3    35.8    36.1    29.7    00003   0.02    0.00     100    THU 18Z 11-FEB  38.3    35.7    37.7    32.2    02004   0.02    0.00     100    FRI 00Z 12-FEB  38.6    32.5    32.3    26.6    01006   0.03    0.00     100    FRI 06Z 12-FEB  32.3    28.9    28.9    19.8    02006   0.02    0.01     100    FRI 12Z 12-FEB  29.0    22.9    22.7    18.1    02009   0.37    0.18     100    FRI 18Z 12-FEB  22.7    19.7    20.3    14.3    02008   0.33    0.29     100    SAT 00Z 13-FEB  20.6    16.7    16.7    10.7    02007   0.03    0.03     100    SAT 06Z 13-FEB  16.7    14.8    15.2     7.4    03006   0.03    0.03      99    SAT 12Z 13-FEB  15.4    10.5    10.3     2.5    01008   0.01    0.01      86    SAT 18Z 13-FEB  15.0     8.2    15.3    -0.5    36005   0.00    0.00       4    SUN 00Z 14-FEB  17.7     9.2     8.9    -2.0    32005   0.00    0.00       2    SUN 06Z 14-FEB   9.0    -3.3    -0.3    -8.6    02000   0.00    0.00       0    SUN 12Z 14-FEB   0.1    -6.3    -5.5   -13.2    11002   0.00    0.00       5    

Looks like Sunday might be legit


.

[tnweathernut]

4 minutes ago, Stovepipe said:

Waiting on those Euro clown maps like....

LOL.

Are you working on getting us a thread started for Super Bowl Sunday?

[PowellVolz]

If a Sunday thread is made would someone link it here please?


.

[fountainguy97]

[Stovepipe]

9 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

If a Sunday thread is made would someone link it here please?


.

Done son.

 

[TellicoWx]

This upcoming setup is reminding more and more of the "good ol' days"...even the loss of the pattern in the mid range (remember when people would get hyped, then line up on the cliffs, just to be reeled back in mid jump). Great job today by everyone posting btw. 

[PowellVolz]

.

[Carvers Gap]

18z GFS is bringing the hammer to west TN with storm #2.

[Carvers Gap]

Major ice storm for next Thursday into Friday there.  Middle TN is likely a part of that as well.

[Carvers Gap]

Take a look at the 500 anomaly at 222 on Tropical Tidbits.