Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Portions of Knox Co are at 11" though 222. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 So forget what the euro surface is showing in the mid range and look at 500 from hour 168 to 192. See the shortwave in the southwest? It turns the flow across THOUSANDS of miles from the west south west. All the while we get a press from the PV, sending high pressures down the front range of the Rockies. The cold SHOULD press all the way to the Apps.Carvers and I have been talking off the board for several days about a major overrunning event being possible. This is how it would happen, and is exactly what a 500mb map would look like if you were going to get one.This is probably one of the best looks I have seen in a while. Hope we reel it in. If we do, someone in TN and maybe many, will get walloped.. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The Euro snow map will look quite localized, but moisture would likely be quite expansive under the setup shown. Let's get through this weekend and then we can start looking for what comes next week. Hopefully the cold will indeed press. It's the biggest ingredient that seems to only want to flirt and tease us so far. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 No idea if this verifies, but that is good to see the para-GFS and Euro at 12z with similar looks at 12z. Snow accumulation maps are super similar. Euro is a hair east on a global scale. If we get snow, temps are going to be nuts in terms of severity. All of this is speculation, but it is on the table as of now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 It is almost embarrassing to state how many degrees below normal we would be if it snows...so, I won't. So let's just say "really cold." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: It is almost embarrassing to state how many degrees below normal we would be if it snows...so, I won't. So let's just say "really cold." Oh don’t tease. Show us those accumulation maps and temps. It’s nice to dream! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 14 minutes ago, tnweathernut said: So forget what the euro surface is showing in the mid range and look at 500 from hour 168 to 192. See the shortwave in the southwest? It turns the flow across THOUSANDS of miles from the west south west. All the while we get a press from the PV, sending high pressures down the front range of the Rockies. The cold SHOULD press all the way to the Apps. Carvers and I have been talking off the board for several days about a major overrunning event being possible. This is how it would happen, and is exactly what a 500mb map would look like if you were going to get one. This is probably one of the best looks I have seen in a while. Hope we reel it in. If we do, someone in TN and maybe many, will get walloped. . Yeah, I have to be honest(I know a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush), but I am looking at that Wednesday to Sunday event more than I probably should. LOL!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I think there has been something wrong with modeling for about 48 hours....have seemed way, way to benign given then pattern.I get that euro was likely not going to happen that we saw the other day but it was also not likely for it to warm 30 degrees and move a storm a thousand miles in one 6 Hr window the very next mod that ran after the 3’ of snow it was showing. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Matthew70 said: Oh don’t tease. Show us those accumulation maps and temps. It’s nice to dream! Re: 12z Euro You asked...LOL. There are temp anomalies (departures not actual temps) of 35-5F BN just after 200 rolling across the entire forum area. Snow is on the ground so that is why. Temps in the NE valleys are 10-20 degrees below zero for actual temps. That is WAY out there...would have to see it to believe it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I have not needed to shovel in a long time. I threw away my shovel. Thinking might need to go get one tomorrow or Saturday morning this keeps showing. Plus salt. My driveway does not get sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I get that euro was likely not going to happen that we saw the other day but it was also not likely for it to warm 30 degrees and move a storm a thousand miles in one 6 Hr window the very next mod that ran after the 3’ of snow it was showing. . Yeah, something was/is off. And honestly, I am not sure things aren't still wonky. It is like we had this great pattern nailed, it disappeared for 48 hours, and now it is back. I have speculated a bite with others, but not sure why. Thing is...it may not be fixed yet. One eye over my shoulder for sure right now........ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: Re: 12z Euro You asked...LOL. There are temp anomalies (departures not actual temps) of 35-5F BN just after 200 rolling across the entire forum area. Snow is on the ground so that is why. Temps in the NE valleys are 10-20 degrees below zero for actual temps. That is WAY out there...would have to see it to believe it. That’s 1985 type temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, Matthew70 said: That’s 1985 type temps. Probably closer to 95-96, because it is driven by snow cover. 85 was the PV just settling in over NE TN. I will have to look closer...that could be happening but seems more like bitterly cold air over OH that just banks up over a snowpack west of the Apps. That is probably splitting hairs, because it is really cold either way in terms of what is being modeled. Still a long ways to go, but was interesting. Modeling for several days has shown pipe cracking cold over the Lower 48 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I've always wondered how much snow pack influences the temperatures, I know when I lived in Delaware 09-10, there was snow continuously on the ground all winter and it was COLD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS LAT= 35.82 LON= -83.98 ELE= 981 12Z FEB04 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) THU 12Z 04-FEB 26.1 17.9 10002 97 THU 18Z 04-FEB 43.2 25.6 43.2 21.8 21003 100 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 47.4 40.8 45.2 17.9 18010 0.00 0.00 93 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 46.1 42.3 44.5 42.8 22010 0.11 0.00 100 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 45.0 33.4 33.2 31.9 28006 0.12 0.00 94 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 41.4 31.4 41.7 22.9 25004 0.00 0.00 10 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 45.0 37.9 37.7 22.6 23005 0.00 0.00 95 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 37.8 31.0 31.2 21.1 21004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 31.3 28.0 28.0 22.4 20003 0.00 0.00 6 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 48.7 27.7 48.8 25.3 23002 0.00 0.00 63 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 50.1 41.9 41.7 26.0 11004 0.00 0.00 94 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 41.7 36.4 36.9 31.5 26001 0.06 0.01 100 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 37.3 33.0 32.9 32.7 15001 0.36 0.24 100 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 40.9 32.9 40.4 33.0 01004 0.02 0.01 91 MON 00Z 08-FEB 42.9 36.6 36.7 29.2 05004 0.00 0.00 24 MON 06Z 08-FEB 36.7 26.9 27.6 23.8 08003 0.00 0.00 1 MON 12Z 08-FEB 28.8 25.8 27.2 25.0 12004 0.00 0.00 9 MON 18Z 08-FEB 49.5 27.1 49.8 34.4 23002 0.00 0.00 62 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 53.2 40.6 40.2 34.4 12006 0.00 0.00 61 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 40.8 37.6 38.8 34.3 18004 0.00 0.00 90 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 43.7 38.7 42.7 39.7 16003 0.02 0.00 96 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 53.1 42.4 53.3 49.1 25006 0.05 0.00 100 WED 00Z 10-FEB 53.4 47.5 47.3 47.0 35005 0.06 0.00 100 WED 06Z 10-FEB 47.5 38.9 38.8 38.2 02005 0.03 0.00 97 WED 12Z 10-FEB 38.8 34.4 34.2 32.8 02006 0.00 0.00 100 WED 18Z 10-FEB 44.5 34.0 44.5 34.8 01003 0.00 0.00 89 THU 00Z 11-FEB 46.5 40.8 40.8 29.5 02004 0.00 0.00 98 THU 06Z 11-FEB 40.9 36.3 36.2 26.7 01003 0.00 0.00 100 THU 12Z 11-FEB 37.3 35.8 36.1 29.7 00003 0.02 0.00 100 THU 18Z 11-FEB 38.3 35.7 37.7 32.2 02004 0.02 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 12-FEB 38.6 32.5 32.3 26.6 01006 0.03 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 12-FEB 32.3 28.9 28.9 19.8 02006 0.02 0.01 100 FRI 12Z 12-FEB 29.0 22.9 22.7 18.1 02009 0.37 0.18 100 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 22.7 19.7 20.3 14.3 02008 0.33 0.29 100 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 20.6 16.7 16.7 10.7 02007 0.03 0.03 100 SAT 06Z 13-FEB 16.7 14.8 15.2 7.4 03006 0.03 0.03 99 SAT 12Z 13-FEB 15.4 10.5 10.3 2.5 01008 0.01 0.01 86 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 15.0 8.2 15.3 -0.5 36005 0.00 0.00 4 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 17.7 9.2 8.9 -2.0 32005 0.00 0.00 2 SUN 06Z 14-FEB 9.0 -3.3 -0.3 -8.6 02000 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 14-FEB 0.1 -6.3 -5.5 -13.2 11002 0.00 0.00 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This deserves a ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TRI LAT= 36.47 LON= -82.40 ELE= 1519 12Z FEB04 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) THU 12Z 04-FEB 23.2 16.5 09004 96 THU 18Z 04-FEB 47.9 23.2 48.1 14.9 20002 99 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 49.0 40.8 41.3 22.1 15007 0.00 0.00 99 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 42.2 40.0 40.1 35.3 18006 0.05 0.01 100 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 40.8 35.6 35.2 34.7 28008 0.16 0.00 83 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 37.3 30.3 36.9 20.5 26008 0.00 0.00 17 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 41.5 34.3 34.2 19.5 23005 0.00 0.00 63 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 34.2 28.4 28.3 21.0 23004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 28.4 26.8 27.1 19.3 21003 0.00 0.00 35 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 46.3 26.9 46.5 23.1 24004 0.00 0.00 89 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 47.0 37.8 37.7 23.7 10005 0.00 0.00 95 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 38.2 35.4 35.6 25.5 14004 0.01 0.00 100 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 35.7 31.5 31.6 31.2 28003 0.22 0.21 99 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 41.2 31.6 41.3 30.5 32006 0.04 0.04 89 MON 00Z 08-FEB 42.6 33.7 33.4 26.2 01005 0.00 0.00 9 MON 06Z 08-FEB 33.4 22.2 22.2 18.8 08003 0.00 0.00 1 MON 12Z 08-FEB 23.8 20.4 22.1 19.8 11003 0.00 0.00 0 MON 18Z 08-FEB 48.0 22.0 48.8 31.3 25002 0.00 0.00 50 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 51.4 39.1 38.8 30.8 14008 0.00 0.00 53 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 39.5 34.5 35.9 31.3 14005 0.00 0.00 92 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 40.9 35.7 41.0 37.3 14005 0.02 0.00 86 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 52.1 40.5 50.9 44.6 28005 0.01 0.00 96 WED 00Z 10-FEB 51.2 45.2 45.1 45.0 29004 0.07 0.00 100 WED 06Z 10-FEB 45.1 37.4 37.3 36.6 02005 0.02 0.00 98 WED 12Z 10-FEB 37.3 31.3 31.2 29.3 03005 0.00 0.00 100 WED 18Z 10-FEB 44.4 30.5 44.6 27.2 02003 0.00 0.00 82 THU 00Z 11-FEB 44.9 37.0 36.9 23.9 02004 0.00 0.00 100 THU 06Z 11-FEB 36.9 35.8 36.0 26.0 05002 0.00 0.00 100 THU 12Z 11-FEB 36.2 35.1 35.5 34.4 02001 0.03 0.00 100 THU 18Z 11-FEB 40.1 35.4 40.0 38.0 31002 0.08 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 12-FEB 40.3 32.9 32.7 30.3 01005 0.04 0.01 100 FRI 06Z 12-FEB 32.7 27.9 27.8 21.6 02005 0.02 0.02 100 FRI 12Z 12-FEB 27.8 21.5 21.4 14.3 02007 0.18 0.17 100 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 21.4 18.1 19.4 12.6 01006 0.43 0.43 100 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 19.4 14.8 14.7 8.7 01006 0.05 0.05 100 SAT 06Z 13-FEB 14.7 12.7 13.2 6.1 01004 0.04 0.04 99 SAT 12Z 13-FEB 13.3 9.2 9.1 1.5 35005 0.01 0.01 96 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 15.0 8.2 15.2 1.3 31004 0.00 0.00 1 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 17.3 8.1 7.7 -1.5 31006 0.00 0.00 2 SUN 06Z 14-FEB 7.7 -5.6 -5.9 -13.9 29006 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -4.3 -12.6 -11.9 -19.6 25002 0.00 0.00 0 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z FEB04 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) THU 12Z 04-FEB 33.7 22.5 16006 99 THU 18Z 04-FEB 45.3 33.5 45.2 28.6 17011 100 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 50.6 44.8 48.1 45.6 19014 0.09 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 50.0 36.2 35.9 34.1 30009 0.26 0.00 78 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 35.9 27.7 27.4 23.0 28004 0.00 0.00 1 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 43.2 25.8 43.5 22.3 23005 0.00 0.00 49 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 47.7 38.5 38.4 24.0 22005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 38.4 33.6 33.7 23.8 21006 0.00 0.00 50 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 34.3 31.6 33.0 25.5 22001 0.00 0.00 76 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 47.9 30.2 48.1 30.4 13003 0.00 0.00 97 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 50.5 43.1 43.2 32.9 07003 0.00 0.00 73 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 43.2 37.9 37.9 36.0 27001 0.05 0.00 100 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 38.0 34.4 34.3 33.4 36007 0.06 0.00 89 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 38.7 32.0 38.9 29.8 35004 0.00 0.00 83 MON 00Z 08-FEB 42.6 36.7 36.6 28.3 04002 0.00 0.00 9 MON 06Z 08-FEB 36.6 27.7 27.6 23.7 05003 0.00 0.00 4 MON 12Z 08-FEB 28.2 25.8 26.4 23.5 13003 0.00 0.00 6 MON 18Z 08-FEB 49.7 26.1 50.0 34.4 15003 0.00 0.00 28 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 54.5 45.8 45.7 37.2 14006 0.00 0.00 91 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 46.7 44.3 46.1 38.3 18009 0.00 0.00 93 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 46.8 45.1 46.6 44.4 20008 0.03 0.00 99 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 50.0 46.4 48.7 47.0 32007 0.04 0.00 100 WED 00Z 10-FEB 49.2 40.1 40.0 33.9 35005 0.00 0.00 12 WED 06Z 10-FEB 40.0 31.4 31.2 24.2 36007 0.00 0.00 95 WED 12Z 10-FEB 31.3 26.2 26.1 19.6 01007 0.00 0.00 86 WED 18Z 10-FEB 38.0 26.0 38.2 21.7 02006 0.00 0.00 81 THU 00Z 11-FEB 40.3 37.3 37.1 20.8 00006 0.00 0.00 99 THU 06Z 11-FEB 37.1 32.6 32.5 14.3 01005 0.00 0.00 98 THU 12Z 11-FEB 32.6 30.2 30.2 11.1 36006 0.01 0.01 100 THU 18Z 11-FEB 30.2 28.9 29.7 13.0 36007 0.00 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 12-FEB 30.4 29.1 29.2 5.7 00008 0.00 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 12-FEB 29.6 24.7 24.5 5.5 36011 0.01 0.01 100 FRI 12Z 12-FEB 24.5 15.5 15.4 3.4 00011 0.11 0.11 100 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 20.5 14.9 20.7 -7.1 01011 0.03 0.03 99 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 22.7 19.5 20.0 -9.2 36011 0.00 0.00 99 SAT 06Z 13-FEB 20.0 8.9 8.7 -14.9 35012 0.00 0.00 39 SAT 12Z 13-FEB 8.7 1.6 1.6 -18.5 35010 0.00 0.00 6 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 11.5 1.2 11.7 -21.1 34009 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 14.7 10.5 10.4 -19.3 33008 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 14-FEB 10.4 7.0 7.0 -17.7 34006 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 14-FEB 7.0 6.3 6.3 -16.6 33003 0.00 0.00 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 21 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z FEB04 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) THU 12Z 04-FEB 33.7 22.5 16006 99 THU 18Z 04-FEB 45.3 33.5 45.2 28.6 17011 100 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 50.6 44.8 48.1 45.6 19014 0.09 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 50.0 36.2 35.9 34.1 30009 0.26 0.00 78 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 35.9 27.7 27.4 23.0 28004 0.00 0.00 1 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 43.2 25.8 43.5 22.3 23005 0.00 0.00 49 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 47.7 38.5 38.4 24.0 22005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 38.4 33.6 33.7 23.8 21006 0.00 0.00 50 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 34.3 31.6 33.0 25.5 22001 0.00 0.00 76 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 47.9 30.2 48.1 30.4 13003 0.00 0.00 97 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 50.5 43.1 43.2 32.9 07003 0.00 0.00 73 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 43.2 37.9 37.9 36.0 27001 0.05 0.00 100 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 38.0 34.4 34.3 33.4 36007 0.06 0.00 89 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 38.7 32.0 38.9 29.8 35004 0.00 0.00 83 MON 00Z 08-FEB 42.6 36.7 36.6 28.3 04002 0.00 0.00 9 MON 06Z 08-FEB 36.6 27.7 27.6 23.7 05003 0.00 0.00 4 MON 12Z 08-FEB 28.2 25.8 26.4 23.5 13003 0.00 0.00 6 MON 18Z 08-FEB 49.7 26.1 50.0 34.4 15003 0.00 0.00 28 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 54.5 45.8 45.7 37.2 14006 0.00 0.00 91 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 46.7 44.3 46.1 38.3 18009 0.00 0.00 93 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 46.8 45.1 46.6 44.4 20008 0.03 0.00 99 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 50.0 46.4 48.7 47.0 32007 0.04 0.00 100 WED 00Z 10-FEB 49.2 40.1 40.0 33.9 35005 0.00 0.00 12 WED 06Z 10-FEB 40.0 31.4 31.2 24.2 36007 0.00 0.00 95 WED 12Z 10-FEB 31.3 26.2 26.1 19.6 01007 0.00 0.00 86 WED 18Z 10-FEB 38.0 26.0 38.2 21.7 02006 0.00 0.00 81 THU 00Z 11-FEB 40.3 37.3 37.1 20.8 00006 0.00 0.00 99 THU 06Z 11-FEB 37.1 32.6 32.5 14.3 01005 0.00 0.00 98 THU 12Z 11-FEB 32.6 30.2 30.2 11.1 36006 0.01 0.01 100 THU 18Z 11-FEB 30.2 28.9 29.7 13.0 36007 0.00 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 12-FEB 30.4 29.1 29.2 5.7 00008 0.00 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 12-FEB 29.6 24.7 24.5 5.5 36011 0.01 0.01 100 FRI 12Z 12-FEB 24.5 15.5 15.4 3.4 00011 0.11 0.11 100 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 20.5 14.9 20.7 -7.1 01011 0.03 0.03 99 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 22.7 19.5 20.0 -9.2 36011 0.00 0.00 99 SAT 06Z 13-FEB 20.0 8.9 8.7 -14.9 35012 0.00 0.00 39 SAT 12Z 13-FEB 8.7 1.6 1.6 -18.5 35010 0.00 0.00 6 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 11.5 1.2 11.7 -21.1 34009 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 14.7 10.5 10.4 -19.3 33008 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 14-FEB 10.4 7.0 7.0 -17.7 34006 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 14-FEB 7.0 6.3 6.3 -16.6 33003 0.00 0.00 0 Well that’s the snow dome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Euro operational appears supported by the EPS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Waiting on those Euro clown maps like.... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS LAT= 35.82 LON= -83.98 ELE= 981 12Z FEB04 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT)THU 12Z 04-FEB 26.1 17.9 10002 97 THU 18Z 04-FEB 43.2 25.6 43.2 21.8 21003 100 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 47.4 40.8 45.2 17.9 18010 0.00 0.00 93 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 46.1 42.3 44.5 42.8 22010 0.11 0.00 100 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 45.0 33.4 33.2 31.9 28006 0.12 0.00 94 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 41.4 31.4 41.7 22.9 25004 0.00 0.00 10 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 45.0 37.9 37.7 22.6 23005 0.00 0.00 95 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 37.8 31.0 31.2 21.1 21004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 31.3 28.0 28.0 22.4 20003 0.00 0.00 6 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 48.7 27.7 48.8 25.3 23002 0.00 0.00 63 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 50.1 41.9 41.7 26.0 11004 0.00 0.00 94 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 41.7 36.4 36.9 31.5 26001 0.06 0.01 100 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 37.3 33.0 32.9 32.7 15001 0.36 0.24 100 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 40.9 32.9 40.4 33.0 01004 0.02 0.01 91 MON 00Z 08-FEB 42.9 36.6 36.7 29.2 05004 0.00 0.00 24 MON 06Z 08-FEB 36.7 26.9 27.6 23.8 08003 0.00 0.00 1 MON 12Z 08-FEB 28.8 25.8 27.2 25.0 12004 0.00 0.00 9 MON 18Z 08-FEB 49.5 27.1 49.8 34.4 23002 0.00 0.00 62 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 53.2 40.6 40.2 34.4 12006 0.00 0.00 61 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 40.8 37.6 38.8 34.3 18004 0.00 0.00 90 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 43.7 38.7 42.7 39.7 16003 0.02 0.00 96 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 53.1 42.4 53.3 49.1 25006 0.05 0.00 100 WED 00Z 10-FEB 53.4 47.5 47.3 47.0 35005 0.06 0.00 100 WED 06Z 10-FEB 47.5 38.9 38.8 38.2 02005 0.03 0.00 97 WED 12Z 10-FEB 38.8 34.4 34.2 32.8 02006 0.00 0.00 100 WED 18Z 10-FEB 44.5 34.0 44.5 34.8 01003 0.00 0.00 89 THU 00Z 11-FEB 46.5 40.8 40.8 29.5 02004 0.00 0.00 98 THU 06Z 11-FEB 40.9 36.3 36.2 26.7 01003 0.00 0.00 100 THU 12Z 11-FEB 37.3 35.8 36.1 29.7 00003 0.02 0.00 100 THU 18Z 11-FEB 38.3 35.7 37.7 32.2 02004 0.02 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 12-FEB 38.6 32.5 32.3 26.6 01006 0.03 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 12-FEB 32.3 28.9 28.9 19.8 02006 0.02 0.01 100 FRI 12Z 12-FEB 29.0 22.9 22.7 18.1 02009 0.37 0.18 100 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 22.7 19.7 20.3 14.3 02008 0.33 0.29 100 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 20.6 16.7 16.7 10.7 02007 0.03 0.03 100 SAT 06Z 13-FEB 16.7 14.8 15.2 7.4 03006 0.03 0.03 99 SAT 12Z 13-FEB 15.4 10.5 10.3 2.5 01008 0.01 0.01 86 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 15.0 8.2 15.3 -0.5 36005 0.00 0.00 4 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 17.7 9.2 8.9 -2.0 32005 0.00 0.00 2 SUN 06Z 14-FEB 9.0 -3.3 -0.3 -8.6 02000 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 14-FEB 0.1 -6.3 -5.5 -13.2 11002 0.00 0.00 5 Looks like Sunday might be legit . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Stovepipe said: Waiting on those Euro clown maps like.... LOL. Are you working on getting us a thread started for Super Bowl Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 If a Sunday thread is made would someone link it here please?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: If a Sunday thread is made would someone link it here please? . Done son. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This upcoming setup is reminding more and more of the "good ol' days"...even the loss of the pattern in the mid range (remember when people would get hyped, then line up on the cliffs, just to be reeled back in mid jump). Great job today by everyone posting btw. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 . 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 18z GFS is bringing the hammer to west TN with storm #2. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Major ice storm for next Thursday into Friday there. Middle TN is likely a part of that as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Take a look at the 500 anomaly at 222 on Tropical Tidbits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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