paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 From 1am Sunday to 1am Tuesday it is still snowing albeit some mix in there down in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, paweather said: We still get crushed with backend snow on the GFS. Dont get me wrong, I'm not complaining whatsoever, but merely pointing out things to watch. I'd absolutely take what the GFS is serving....even if I only get 4", but its hard to swallow when true central gets another 8-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: Dont get me wrong, I'm not complaining whatsoever, but merely pointing out things to watch. I'd absolutely take what the GFS is serving....even if I only get 4", but its hard to swallow when true central gets another 8-12" Yeah I know your not complaining. I was just happy to see the backend snow on this model for now and duration of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Yeah I know your not complaining. I was just happy to see the backend snow on this model for now and duration of the event. If that happens as modeled, yeah I'd love the long duration mood snows after thermals recover. After all sleet is for pack retention. Buckle up, cause there's something following as well. 500s at 192 notably diff. and less ridgy here...another to watch?? time will tell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 32 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I like how no one mentioned the 0z Euro op run overnight and this morning. Ji mentioned it enough times for the entire board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I...uh...like the CMC. Looks like it stalls just east of OC MD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: I...uh...like the CMC. Looks like it stalls just east of OC MD. Primary dies a little earlier, and coastal is just a beaut. Only thing its missing is NW quadrant of precip, because at 994 and slow speed, I'd expect more qpf back into CTP/NEPA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 11 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: I...uh...like the CMC. Looks like it stalls just east of OC MD. Snow maps are not too shabby. Entire forum approves of 4-8 w/ 10" lollies. Rather reasonable outcome IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 CMC track and progression looks much better to me than what the pretty maps indicate. I thought the pretty maps would look prettier - there is also a big dry slot on the CMC over SE PA where storm total QPF is less than .50" Something to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: CMC track and progression looks much better to me than what the pretty maps indicate. I thought the pretty maps would look prettier - there is also a big dry slot on the CMC over SE PA where storm total QPF is less than .50" Something to watch. The dreaded Miller B dry slot....aka the screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: The dreaded Miller B dry slot....aka the screw zone. Yep. And it's really close to Lanco. But, it's several days out and will likely (hopefully) shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Yep. And it's really close to Lanco. But, it's several days out and will likely (hopefully) shift. Let's get a good thump with the Primary and then we can worry about the Dry Slot. I do like the CMC though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Let's get a good thump with the Primary and then we can worry about the Dry Slot. I do like the CMC though. Agree, but what's up with that profile pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: Agree, but what's up with that profile pic? Sorry need to change it. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Well time for the EURO in a little over an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Primary dies a little earlier, and coastal is just a beaut. Only thing its missing is NW quadrant of precip, because at 994 and slow speed, I'd expect more qpf back into CTP/NEPA. Total weenie opinion but I think the QPF would be higher given that track. Give me what the CMC just showed, and I think we’d all be happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Total weenie opinion but I think the QPF would be higher given that track. Give me what the CMC just showed, and I think we’d all be happy! agreed. Likely more qpf back NW due to speed and fetch. If it holds close to this, i'd expect better precip panels to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 Yea the Canadian has been throwing out really great tracks to hold the precip shield right over PA and keep it mostly snow but has been somewhat dry on QPF. Like that's pretty much what we're looking for in terms of a Miller B track. Certainly the fetch via 850mb easterly wind anomalies could argue for sufficient moisture to support more robust QPF with the high up north and a long duration slow moving coastal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 My new company is going to call me to set up travel arrangements for my new job, so I'm trying to figure out timing of my flight, most likely (hopefully) early Sunday. I want to try and get out before the snow flies if possible so as not to put my family in any kind of danger driving me to the airport and back home again after dropping me off. What looks, and I know it's early and much could change, to be the best estimate of onset of precipitation? I will be flying out of Scranton or Allentown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, Voyager said: My new company is going to call me to set up travel arrangements for my new job, so I'm trying to figure out timing of my flight, most likely (hopefully) early Sunday. I want to try and get out before the snow flies if possible so as not to put my family in any kind of danger driving me to the airport and back home again after dropping me off. What looks, and I know it's early and much could change, to be the best estimate of onset of precipitation? I will be flying out of Scranton or Allentown. I'd try to get out Saturday, honestly, to be safe if you can. If a big storm is coming, airlines might not transition the regional jets just to get stuck for a few days without the hub load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: I'd try to get out Saturday, honestly, to be safe if you can. If a big storm is coming, airlines might not transition the regional jets just to get stuck for a few days without the hub load. Thanks. It depends on how many nights they want to put me up in a motel. I'm not sure they'll want to spring for an extra night. I can't believe we've gone over a month without a big storm, and now, on my possible departure day, we may be in one...ugh. That's why I had hoped it was going to be a Monday-Tuesday event instead of perhaps a Sunday--Monday one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 The Navy model...if only... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: The Navy model...if only... Crushed by the comma head. That would be awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: Crushed by the comma head. That would be awesome. CCB to perfection right there. Has to be right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: Thanks. It depends on how many nights they want to put me up in a motel. I'm not sure they'll want to spring for an extra night. I can't believe we've gone over a month without a big storm, and now, on my possible departure day, we may be in one...ugh. That's why I had hoped it was going to be a Monday-Tuesday event instead of perhaps a Sunday--Monday one. Yeah, for you I hope it's late Sunday too. If you can get out Saturday and need any help for a motel, DM me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, canderson said: Yeah, for you I hope it's late Sunday too. If you can get out Saturday and need any help for a motel, DM me. Can confirm. I DM'd this guy for motel ideas for a weekend away with his wife and he set me up in a five star suite along Rte 30 in Breezewood. You're in capable hands. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 996 L In Missouri at 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just a pretty look: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Just a pretty look: Looks like it's cutting from that picture lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Atomixwx said: Looks like it's cutting from that picture lol No way. That 1034 H to the North and the L they are loving each other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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