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MAG5035

Central PA - Winter 2020/2021

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1 minute ago, canderson said:

The truck out front had some snow on the hood for about 30 minutes. Win?

This event is just getting started. There is more precip developing now in western and central PA. There is also a lot of precip to our south and west that will move through as snow to start and then become a mix by morning. 
Most models today didn’t even have precip starting in Harrisburg until near midnight.

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4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

This event is just getting started. There is more precip developing now in western and central PA. There is also a lot of precip to our south and west that will move through as snow to start and then become a mix by morning. 
Most models today didn’t even have precip starting in Harrisburg until near midnight.

Don’t think it’ll be pure snow unfortunately - I don’t buy the HRRR at all. CTP’s 9 pm forecast discussion writes off anything of substance due to temps.  

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1 hour ago, canderson said:

Don’t think it’ll be pure snow unfortunately - I don’t buy the HRRR at all. CTP’s 9 pm forecast discussion writes off anything of substance due to temps.  

Lol....Did you not read my post???

I said snow to mix...

No one thought this was a pure snow event.

CTP is on their 5th idea of the day for this minor event!

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Well, I went outside again to look at my snowboard and to my amazement another 0.1" had fallen over the past 2 hours!  (lol).  I'm probably not going to know if any more falls before the mix since any sleet that falls will compact the tiny amount of snow.  But, it's nice to see the ground "white" maybe for the next 12 hours before it melts.  Temp has dropped almost 0.5 degree over the past hour and is now at its low of 28.8 degrees.

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Half decent burst of snow currently. It's been generally a very fine grainy type snow most of the evening. Measured 0.4", which brings the day's total to 0.6" as I woke up first thing this morning to a light coating (0.2") to start the day. Maybe we'll graduate to measuring whole inches again this weekend.

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 Not much more than a few hours of fine dust also .  Making the best of what it is with the dog  and found some joy outside the hand basket. Radar is looking very boring atm.

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13 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

It would be nice if they made a forecast today and stuck with it before changing it 5 times before the event even gets underway.

It seems they are guessing instead of forecasting. Not a who lot of precipitation on the radar this morning.Most of it is to the north and sporadic.

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Nada in Akron. Flurries for a bit before bed. That’s it. 
 

onto the next one.....or the one after that.....

.............

ugh

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Maybe this will be the one that delivers this Sunday or Monday?

The 0z Euro delivered a crushing snowstorm by early next week. All of the models show a storm. The details of course need sorted out over the next few days. Hopefully this time everything trends in the right direction for snow.

 

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It just started pouring sleet mixed with a little freezing rain.  A heavy sleet shower for several minutes.  Enough to hear a good crunch walking on it.

Temp 30.0 and slowly rising.  Final snowfall was 0.2" which melted down to 0.06".  A little bit of sleet made it into the gauge before I brought it inside which might be slightly inflating the liquid equivalent.  For the time being the snow that fell last night is still keeping the ground white.

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9 minutes ago, canderson said:

What's the difference between a trace and .1"? That I'm sure is a dumb question, but I don't really know exactly. .1" is ... nothing lol. 

By true definition,  a trace is when you confirm precip hits the ground, ie a rain drop or snow flake etc.  0.1” of snow or rain is enough to officially measure on a snow stick or a rain gauge. Hope that helps.   
 

Edit: liquid would be 0.01”

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Just now, canderson said:

What's the difference between a trace and .1"? That I'm sure is a dumb question, but I don't really know exactly. .1" is ... nothing lol. 

I have a small metal ruler that I can use for anything up to 6".  After that I switch to my 1 meter snow stick (NWS approved because I got it from them).  The rulers are ticked down to 0.1" increments.  Once I have more than 0.05" it goes from a trace up to 0.1".  A trace is anything from flurries that amount to nothing on the ground, on up to a literal dusting.

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2 minutes ago, paweather said:

I got nothing just felt good about saying a trace. even though I had flakes on my grill cover. 

That would be a trace.   Those snowflakes made it down to the surface :snowing:

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6 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

By true definition,  a trace is when you confirm precip hits the ground, ie a rain drop or snow flake etc.  0.1” of snow or rain is enough to officially measure on a snow stick or a rain gauge. Hope that helps.   

Makes perfect sense - thanks! 

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4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

Lol, if I’m the jackpot I feel bad for the rest of you.   I think Mag did a little better than me 

I counted about 30 flakes last night before bed.  

Thats my trace.....

Currently gloomy w/ nothing falling here.  

Does anyone have a new can for me?  I kicked this one so many times, that its shot and shredded....just like our storms.  What a waste of a "good" period.  Just another way for us to be snakebit i guess. 

 

Ok, my Debbyin is done....for now.  Hoping nooners continue to show some continuity for early next week.  Yesterday started that w/ CMC/GFS/ICON and EURO all showing signs of something.  Lets not widen goalposts today and that'll be a win IMO.

 

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Off and on sleet so far this morning that put down a very light coating on the ground. 29f at the current time. The flakes from last night were just that, flakes. If I hadn't got up to answer mother nature's call, I wouldn't have looked out the window, and wouldn't have even known it flurried...lol

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I will record 0.1" of snow today (maybe more if I get more sleet) because that heavy sleet shower easily measured more than a trace.  I think most everyone around here knows that the NWS treats sleet the same as snow for measuring purposes.

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22 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

It just started pouring sleet mixed with a little freezing rain.  A heavy sleet shower for several minutes.  Enough to hear a good crunch walking on it.

Temp 30.0 and slowly rising.  Final snowfall was 0.2" which melted down to 0.06".  A little bit of sleet made it into the gauge before I brought it inside which might be slightly inflating the liquid equivalent.  For the time being the snow that fell last night is still keeping the ground white.

My friend in Perry County told me a bit ago she had heavy sleet too.

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1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

I counted about 30 flakes last night before bed.  

Thats my trace.....

Currently gloomy w/ nothing falling here.  

Does anyone have a new can for me?  I kicked this one so many times, that its shot and shredded....just like our storms.  What a waste of a "good" period.  Just another way for us to be snakebit i guess. 

 

Ok, my Debbyin is done....for now.  Hoping nooners continue to show some continuity for early next week.  Yesterday started that w/ CMC/GFS/ICON and EURO all showing signs of something.  Lets not widen goalposts today and that'll be a win IMO.

 

I'm with you NUT. Getting to that point right now. -NAO and we can't get a good storm out of it. 

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