CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Winds seem to be veering to the NW as well so I'd bet we see something start falling within the next few minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 may be a pleasant surprise for Tug ans I so we'll see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Snow has begun and from the looks of the flake size definitely has the potential to accumulate but we need a few degrees colder. It should drop quickly with dew's in the upper 20's across the area. It'd be nice just to see snow falling again and I never thought I'd be saying that up here, WoW! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 We should definitely see a few hrs of action cause the radar extends quite a ways with a few inbedded stronger bands now showing up and starting to advance this way. Man its really bad when Im rooting for a dusting, sad I tell ya but ill take anything at this point Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 True LE with all shapes and sizes of flakesSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Yep, actually snowing pretty decently right now. Things are moistening up. We'll have to rely on what little effect we can get with the minimal cold we get...because Synoptic systems don't seem to take a track that hammers PA and much of Upstate NY anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Steady snowfall right now that is covering everything up fairly quickly. I would be ecstatic if we got a couple inches through tomorrow. With highs around freezing over the next couple days, it could actually look like winter for a bit! Our two inch snowfall from the other day did survive for a day and a half, but disappeared when it hit the 40s yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 It's funny because BUF had Oswego County as "cloudy" for tonight. Now it is updated to "Cloudy with scattered flurries." It's definitely more than that. Some of the heaviest echoes run right over the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 32° and starting to stick quickly!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 My snow shield is strong tonight. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Year some darker blues showing up, even a little green lol Sitting at 27° here just some light snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Tomorrow will be the perfect day to cut down a Christmas tree light snow falling temperatures in the low thirties, That's my kind of tree cutting weatherSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Nice covering in Irondequoit. The gods must’ve heard our crying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Well that was nice while it lasted, but I think we see a bit more later tonight through tomorrow as the lakes should produce something with a persistent NW flow but with not much moisture around the lake will have to do it alone and thats tough but this evenings snow was a nice surprise!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Checking on radar, looks like flow is QUICKLY shifting to NW flow...which means I will set right on the edge pretty soon. So maddening how quickly it transitions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Hey...400 to 600 coatings this winter and we could hit average! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Looks like a lot of New England got screwed by diurnal effects and marginal temps. Turns out snow has a heck of a time accumulating at 35f. Haha. Share the pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Next 15 days on the GFS. Not even a dusting. Disgusting. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 15 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Next 15 days on the GFS. Not even a dusting. Disgusting. Lol Time to move to Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Here's our next disaster, lol! What a shame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 12 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS. Not a bad look. The transition is sometime late next week with 1-2 cutters. I think we hit on one of them. So I have to ask. If the ensembles are showing a cold pattern, why is every operational run showing warmth and rain? It’s not adding up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: So I have to ask. If the ensembles are showing a cold pattern, why is every operational run showing warmth and rain? It’s not adding up. Ensembles aren't really showing a cold pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 4 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Here's our next disaster, lol! What a shame The pattern on all the models is putrid. December might be done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Total zonal flow for December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 H850's down to -11C which is plenty cold enough for LE but its bone dry and a NW flow just cant produce enough moisture on its own! So when its cold enough to snow its dry and when we have moisture available it usually falls as rain, lol! We just cant catch a break this yr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Ensembles aren't really showing a cold pattern You did see the post from Buf Weather right above the post I commented on? The GEFS shows most of the country in cold air. That’s confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2020 Author Share Posted December 6, 2020 7 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: You did see the post from Buf Weather right above the post I commented on? The GEFS shows most of the country in cold air. That’s confusing It gets colder then normal for 2-3 days following the cutter, then a full out torch on the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2020 Author Share Posted December 6, 2020 If you want to be selective yesterday through Tuesday is below normal with temps, just no moisture source. We're getting boughts of below normal temps but timing is off for storms and LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: It gets colder then normal for 2-3 days following the cutter, then a full out torch on the GEFS. Day 10 to 15 on the GEFS is garbage coast to coast. Teles support zonal flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2020 Author Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just a horrible EPS run last night. Pacific completely takes over with zonal flow. Definitely an above average month incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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