powderfreak Posted February 7 41 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Yeah, it seems like none of the coastal storms that did get up here have really worked out for you. We haven’t really had a flush hit across the area from a synoptic event. It’s been a SNE-centric winter. The next several impulses have trended south too. We will get a couple inches here and there but no big dogs on the horizon. Where is the cold? Kinda dumb to have the storm track suppressed south when it isn’t even that cold here. I think many in SNE might disagree with that, lol. We are in the sweet spot now... have a snowpack and just need a few inches every 2-3 days. Those squally bursts lead to some fun snowy periods. Hopefully get another one this evening. Just pile up the pillows on everything. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhineasC Posted February 7 45 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I think many in SNE might disagree with that, lol. We are in the sweet spot now... have a snowpack and just need a few inches every 2-3 days. Those squally bursts lead to some fun snowy periods. Hopefully get another one this evening. Just pile up the pillows on everything. Well, maybe coastal sections would complain, but they appear to be set up for several events starting right now. If they fumble the ball and end up with rain and slop instead, that's outside of my control. LOL Interior SNE has done well. A look at the snowfall totals so far this season will show that. There is a screw zone in Maine, for sure. Maybe western MA as well. I can't remember if they got clobbered in the mid-December storm or not. The three big synoptic storms up here (early December, mid January, and early February) were also not universally awesome, especially for the CNE and eastern NH/ME areas that don't really get upslope. Not complaining here. We have a deep pack, and the coastals have worked out here. Would be nice to get a flush hit for everyone in NNE, however. All the big storms this winter have been flawed in some way and kinda marginal. Agreed on the bread and butter pattern being just right for spots with good pack. No doubt about it. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxeyeNH Posted February 7 21.4F Heavy virga. Ridges to the SW becoming obscured in snow. Should start here within 15 minutes Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxeyeNH Posted February 7 11 minutes ago, PhineasC said: The three big synoptic storms up here (early December, mid January, and early February) were also not universally awesome, especially for the CNE and eastern NH/ME areas that don't really get upslope. My normal snowfall is in the 80's. I have had 45". That doesn't seem bad but that early December storm did dump in my area 24" in about 12 hours. If we had missed that we would be way behind. Nice pattern coming up. Finally real New England cold and multiple snow events (hopefully) Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
backedgeapproaching Posted February 7 GFS went south a bit on the 2/12 event. Also went south on the Tuesday wave also. Not liking those trends--but it is the GFS. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxeyeNH Posted February 7 14 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: GFS went south a bit on the 2/12 event. Also went south on the Tuesday wave also. Not liking those trends--but it is the GFS. I hadn't looked at the 12Z GFS but yeah, it takes everything south. Looking at the Kuchera clown maps almost 2 feet from Baltimore to Hartford. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
backedgeapproaching Posted February 7 7 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: I hadn't looked at the 12Z GFS but yeah, it takes everything south. Looking at the Kuchera clown maps almost 2 feet from Baltimore to Hartford. Yep, hate to see it. Phin gets his cold air and suppression. Obviously day 7 jacks will fluctuate, but verbatim its -5F here while DC is S+. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhineasC Posted February 7 17 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Yep, hate to see it. Phin gets his cold air and suppression. Obviously day 7 jacks will fluctuate, but verbatim its -5F here while DC is S+. IMO, it beats warmer air and suppression, which is the alternative, it seems. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhineasC Posted February 7 The sad part is, DC has had feet of modeled snow shown over the last 30 days and has basically zilch to show for it. Sell hard any model showing them getting pounded. That bullseye will verify further NE. I think some parts of northern PA and southern NY state are having the winter of a lifetime. Been in every bullseye it seems. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
J.Spin Posted February 7 4 hours ago, powderfreak said: HRRR says we get another healthy round of it this evening again. And the 00z Euro had 5 different events in the next 10 days. Active pattern for sure. Here’s this evening’s HRRR total water. Thanks for keeping us updated on the maps for this next event PF – good use of the NNE thread, because I’m not seeing it really discussed elsewhere. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
J.Spin Posted February 7 Actually, I’m just starting to get some flakes here at our site in association with this next system (Winter Storm Quade). Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
powderfreak Posted February 7 51 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Yep, hate to see it. Phin gets his cold air and suppression. Obviously day 7 jacks will fluctuate, but verbatim its -5F here while DC is S+. It's about climo time of year for the furthest south of the baroclinic zone... I think we'll be snowy enough regardless to keep the snow parade going. It's moose fart season, every little ripple brings some fluff. Keeps things looking great. We were out at Ranch Camp last night here in Stowe Village and I couldn't believe how much it looked like scenes from western ski trips to like Park City or Colorado. Just mushroom caps of snow... even without a huge depth, the fluffer nutters just stack so nicely. If we can stay cold and keep adding 1-6" events and keep the ski town stoke vibe high. That 12z GFS run was serviceable for sure on the whole though. Run it out, it's still a snowy 2 weeks with no chance of a rainer. Just keep throwing a little snow on top. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Patriot21 Posted February 7 Started lightly snowing here around 11:45 I think, hit 0 for the low last night. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
backedgeapproaching Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's about climo time of year for the furthest south of the baroclinic zone... I think we'll be snowy enough regardless to keep the snow parade going. It's moose fart season, every little ripple brings some fluff. Keeps things looking great. We were out at Ranch Camp last night here in Stowe Village and I couldn't believe how much it looked like scenes from western ski trips to like Park City or Colorado. Just mushroom caps of snow... even without a huge depth, the fluffer nutters just stack so nicely. If we can stay cold and keep adding 1-6" events and keep the ski town stoke vibe high. Yea, true, peak climo for I-95 crew. Moose Farts and Trout burps can keep the winter vibe going in Northern greens and over to Phin/Alex and to a lesser extent even here, but the Gene/dendrite/dryslot areas need some well placed shortwave. I'm sure we will get some synoptic events also, hopefully not a 09-10 suppression for the next weeks. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
backedgeapproaching Posted February 7 And yes PF, depth isn't outrageous here either(18") but everything is stacked so nicely with with most events being no wind and nice snow growth. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dendrite Posted February 7 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's about climo time of year for the furthest south of the baroclinic zone... I think we'll be snowy enough regardless to keep the snow parade going. It's moose fart season, every little ripple brings some fluff. Keeps things looking great. We were out at Ranch Camp last night here in Stowe Village and I couldn't believe how much it looked like scenes from western ski trips to like Park City or Colorado. Just mushroom caps of snow... even without a huge depth, the fluffer nutters just stack so nicely. If we can stay cold and keep adding 1-6" events and keep the ski town stoke vibe high. That 12z GFS run was serviceable for sure on the whole though. Run it out, it's still a snowy 2 weeks with no chance of a rainer. Just keep throwing a little snow on top. Trending closer to reality. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
backedgeapproaching Posted February 7 This is the first event in a long while here that has had hideous snow growth. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
powderfreak Posted February 7 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Trending closer to reality. Yeah I’d lean a bit north of guidance in the means. Maybe that cold really presses in but plenty of times those modify a little bit. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
alex Posted February 7 Can’t get over how nice the glades are. And it’s snowing quite nicely! My kids are having a blast on the T bar. I much prefer the gondola lol 4 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bwt3650 Posted February 7 44 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's about climo time of year for the furthest south of the baroclinic zone... I think we'll be snowy enough regardless to keep the snow parade going. It's moose fart season, every little ripple brings some fluff. Keeps things looking great. We were out at Ranch Camp last night here in Stowe Village and I couldn't believe how much it looked like scenes from western ski trips to like Park City or Colorado. Just mushroom caps of snow... even without a huge depth, the fluffer nutters just stack so nicely. If we can stay cold and keep adding 1-6" events and keep the ski town stoke vibe high. That 12z GFS run was serviceable for sure on the whole though. Run it out, it's still a snowy 2 weeks with no chance of a rainer. Just keep throwing a little snow on top. This is turning into a hell of a snow season for me. It seems lately I leave snow up north to drive back to snow in Jersey. And from a weather geek standpoint, two totally different type events producing results. I’ve been enjoying the daily 3-6 refreshers perfect for ski season and tracking the synoptic nor-easters for Jersey snow. A 44.1 spot in nj and 31.8+ in jay is quite the two week stretch, knowing that the globals will miss a lot of our bread and butter. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bwt3650 Posted February 7 4 minutes ago, alex said: Can’t get over how nice the glades are. And it’s snowing quite nicely! My kids are having a blast on the T bar. I much prefer the gondola lol That looks like a nice open glade to learn in! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
alex Posted February 7 7 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: That looks like a nice open glade to learn in! Yes there are quite a few over here. The trees are nicely spaced and they’re not steep, they’re perfect for kids Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
powderfreak Posted February 7 Just started dumping huge flakes. A quick quarter to half inch from the size of the flakes. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhineasC Posted February 7 Ice skating at nestlenook farm with snow falling. NNE life. Too bad I am terrible at ice skating. LOL 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
powderfreak Posted February 7 That ramped up fast. 30dbz over town. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
powderfreak Posted February 7 J.Spin getting crushed now. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
alex Posted February 7 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Ice skating at nestlenook farm with snow falling. NNE life. Too bad I am terrible at ice skating. LOL Love that place!!! It’s as close to a real life Xmas Hallmark movie as it gets 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
alex Posted February 7 29 minutes ago, powderfreak said: J.Spin getting crushed now. Nice. We’ve been snowing for 6 hours with 0.2” to show for it lol 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhineasC Posted February 7 Decent little snowfall down in Conway this evening. They need every inch. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
powderfreak Posted February 7 1.5” at home. Almost seems like more here than base of mountain. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites