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George BM

March Discobs 2020

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Just went for a long walk around the neighborhood and couldn’t will the sun out yet. Still socked in with clouds and 53. A few days back forecast high was 69. We will be lucky to make it to 59 up here.

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14 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Just went for a long walk around the neighborhood and couldn’t will the sun out yet. Still socked in with clouds and 53. A few days back forecast high was 69. We will be lucky to make it to 59 up here.

I think we're good even up in Baltimore County.  Note on the satellite how there's low level flow now switching out of the south.  As the mid level junk is clearing out the lower level fog and such is eroding in southern Maryland.  It'll take longer than forecast, and that may be due to the models lacking daya from less commercial aircraft.  Until this whole COVID thing blows over I'd take the low end of guidance and lean more towards nowcasting.

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17 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Just went for a long walk around the neighborhood and couldn’t will the sun out yet. Still socked in with clouds and 53. A few days back forecast high was 69. We will be lucky to make it to 59 up here.

We will spike before the front passes.

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16 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Just went for a long walk around the neighborhood and couldn’t will the sun out yet. Still socked in with clouds and 53. A few days back forecast high was 69. We will be lucky to make it to 59 up here.

Its creeping up here a bit, but no sign of any sun. 56 now. At this point I would be surprised to see the forecast high of 72.

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5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I think we're good even up in Baltimore County.  Note on the satellite how there's low level flow now switching out of the south.  As the mid level junk is clearing out the lower level fog and such is eroding in southern Maryland.  It'll take longer than forecast, and that may be due to the models lacking daya from less commercial aircraft.  Until this whole COVID thing blows over I'd take the low end of guidance and lean more towards nowcasting.

Wedge usually wins in March and early April over forecasts.  Hell, usually wins most times all year.  But I think it will break at some point.

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I think we're going to wedge out the wedge.  Winds are SW at 7mph now in Reisterstown.

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51 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

24 hours later. Still wedged.

The wedge held firm like 10 miles south of my home.  You could feel the warmer breeze but then the sun set and we got socked in with fog again. 

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