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BuffaloWeather

Feb 26-29 Synoptic/LES

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Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo,
and Batavia


...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8
inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph resulting in
significant blowing snow.


* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee counties.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through early Thursday afternoon.


Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park,
and Springville


...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Long duration heavy snow possible. Total snow
accumulations of 1 to 2 feet possible. Snowfall rates may reach
1 to 2 inches per hour at times. Winds could gust as high as 45
mph resulting in significant blowing and drifting snow.


Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville


...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Long duration heavy snow possible. Total snow
accumulations of 2 to 3 feet possible. Snowfall rates may reach
over 2 inches per hour at times. Winds could gust as high as 40
to 45 mph resulting in significant blowing and drifting snow.


* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greatest snow
amounts are expected to focus across the Tug Hill Plateau.

* WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Saturday afternoon.

image.thumb.png.d1d8b5ff6b9650ca705f1b662722a01f.png

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With the Low taking the track it looks to be tracking, this will be a Westerly wind to SW wind lake effect event, with most synoptic missing much of Upstate NY. Doubtful the last minute shift S and E occurs.

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11 minutes ago, swva said:

NAM looks much further north on the LES band.  Pretty typical if it holds.  

Yeah definitely more WSW than it's Previous run but still a big time hit with 2'+.. Which is what the NWS is calling for..

snku_acc.us_ne - 2020-02-25T214408.782.png

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Just now, wolfie09 said:

Yeah definitely more WSW than it's Previous run but still a big time hit with 2'+.. Which is what the NWS is calling for..

snku_acc.us_ne - 2020-02-25T214408.782.png

3k still very impressive and still snowing 

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It does make me nervous to see the usual juiced up NAM so unimpressed. GFS may be coming back down to earth 00z. Just a gut. Likely a solid high end advisory/low end warning snowfall for WNY. I’d go for 5-10” for WNY. 

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Just now, WesterlyWx said:

It does make me nervous to see the usual juiced up NAM so unimpressed. GFS may be coming back down to earth 00z. Just a gut. Likely a solid high end advisory/low end warning snowfall for WNY. I’d go for 5-10” for WNY. 

Hopefully it works out for you guys. Do you still have snowcover over there?

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1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

Hopefully it works out for you guys. Do you still have snowcover over there?

Nope, haven’t for days, save for the snow piles from plows etc... green grass and mud. 

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2 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said:

Nope, haven’t for days, save for the snow piles from plows etc... green grass and mud. 

We had several snowfalls with some ice encased layers, so some snowpack is holding strong despite several days in the 40s/50s with full on sunshine.

Some areas have about 8 inches still, while other areas that are exposed to full day sun and under heavy trees have some bare grass showing. I would say still about 90% snow coverage here.

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