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meatwad

Pittsburgh PA Area Rest of fall and Winter 2019-2020 thread

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Sharing this with you guys.. saw NWS Pittsburgh post this not too long ago. Something to keep an eye on when that main precip arrives. That's their 12z weather balloon launch so that's the actual assessment of the column and not the modeled one. Definitely plenty of room to wet bulb that warm nose back below freezing with the arrival of the heavier precip. Hopefully you guys can sneak some more snow out of this. 

1815032760_ScreenShot2020-01-18at7_28_49AM.png.6467ac91aba5611d415bffb6a8eee028.png

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Man, I sure hope so, but given our history with these types of events I expect the precip coming in to be slop. 
 

Got an inch at most. Enough to be irritating and needing to clean the car but not enough to make it worth it. I’m ready for winter to be over.

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1 hour ago, MAG5035 said:

Sharing this with you guys.. saw NWS Pittsburgh post this not too long ago. Something to keep an eye on when that main precip arrives. That's their 12z weather balloon launch so that's the actual assessment of the column and not the modeled one. Definitely plenty of room to wet bulb that warm nose back below freezing with the arrival of the heavier precip. Hopefully you guys can sneak some more snow out of this. 

1815032760_ScreenShot2020-01-18at7_28_49AM.png.6467ac91aba5611d415bffb6a8eee028.png

Thanks for posting here Mike! Always appreciate your knowledge and feedback! Good luck to you all out in central-we’ve been dryslotted in the laurels for a bit this morning-looks like a bit of snow coming in before the change 

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About a quarter inch from the first wave. The main area of precip is on our doorstep now with some pretty decent returns on radar. My gut tells me it’s probably sleet but will find out shortly.

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2 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

About a quarter inch from the first wave. The main area of precip is on our doorstep now with some pretty decent returns on radar. My gut tells me it’s probably sleet but will find out shortly.

Same thing, grass isn’t even covered. Hoping for a nice thump for an hour or two if we’re lucky before the slop.

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I got a quick 1" this morning between 2:30 and 4:00 am. There was even a little sleet mixed in with that snow that feel at the tail end of that band this morinng. The second round has been all sleet.

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Ping ping. Yep I don't see us get anymore snow. I'm looking forward to our 6 inches in march that's gone in a day. 

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2 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said:

Yep snowed for about 5 minutes, now mainly sleet. So much for a thump.

bring on the torch lol:raining:

I don't think I am even getting sleet at this point.

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Just now, CoraopolisWx said:

Regarding the NWS post about a possible switch back to snow, the GFS did show that possibly happening.

It may happen for a brief time but looking at the high res radar the mix line has surged all the way into Butler county. 

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12 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

It may happen for a brief time but looking at the high res radar the mix line has surged all the way into Butler county. 

Seeing how most of Ohio caved quickly to the warm air, that was going to be our ultimate fate. :raining:

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4 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said:

Regarding the NWS post about a possible switch back to snow, the GFS did show that possibly happening.

Doubtful

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FWIW the mix line has pushed back south back into AGH county. Hopefully it can push further south but I bet the city will be the dividing line as usual. 

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Just now, CoraopolisWx said:

What radar do you use ?

Radar scope. The line is pretty close but I don't see the metro getting back into snow. 

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Flipped to all liquid here.. Somewhere between ZR and plain rain now. 
 

With the upside of this only being 2 inches it is a bit disappointing but it’s not like we busted on a 6-8 inch forecast to this outcome. Barring an arctic antecedent airmass and a high to the north locked in by a block storms cutting through Chicago will rarely have a better result. Our best chance with a west track to bust high is with a miller B that jumps faster than modeled in my experience.

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Got close to an inch total snow in Cranberry, currently freezing rain at 30F...coming down at a good clip.  Total precip is 0.24"   I wasn't paying attention to when it switched over to liquid precip.

 

It was 23F at 4AM

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Well atleast the most of the models predicted this correctly. There is also atleast signs of cold on the gfs. 

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Thought it was pretty cool to see this on the data from my PWS. When the first round came through, you can clearly see the evaporative cooling (around 3 am) and then the warm surge to where we are now. 

Screen Shot 2020-01-18 at 12.17.51 PM.png

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2 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said:

We actually had a half way decent setup for an advisory level snow. 
Had this been more of a SWFE, we could have avoided that long break in the precip. 

Yep. We lost about 5 hours of precipitation between say 3 or 4 and 9. Could have probably worked out a good 3-5 inches 

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