rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 58 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Lol...I will be lucky to get a couple inches off the lake with this event. Shoot me now. Me too Matt. I’m even further south. The skiing at Snow Ridge will be ridiculously bad as we’ve had tons of rain, absolutely zero snow and temps dropping to 10 tomorrow (ski day). Sheet of ICE! I’m hoping on a miracle tonight. Any chance that band drops south to southern Tug? Carol is gonna get 3’ and we’ll have nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Hey CNYwx we're gonna get it in about 20-30 minutes and I don't know how long it'll be around for either, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like a lot of the southtowns to the immediate Northtowns could jackpot this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 https://imgur.com/gallery/RkeUPHb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: You'll see as the CF makes its way later this morning it'll start to head South for 3-6hrs and Pound Central Oswego counties with ground Zero being over you! This is what I'm thinkin and I'm stickin to it, lol! I sure hope you're right, bud. 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Me too Matt. I’m even further south. The skiing at Snow Ridge will be ridiculously bad as we’ve had tons of rain, absolutely zero snow and temps dropping to 10 tomorrow (ski day). Sheet of ICE! I’m hoping on a miracle tonight. Any chance that band drops south to southern Tug? Carol is gonna get 3’ and we’ll have nada. I hope you Have fun with what you do get, Dave. Tough winter on the Southern Tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Looks like a lot of the southtowns to the immediate Northtowns could jackpot this I think Boston Hills/Colden jackpot. That band has been producing 2-3 per hour the entire morning and hasn't moved much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I sure hope you're right, bud. I hope you Have fun with what you do get, Dave. Tough winter on the Southern Tug. Point and click forecast is hilarious. Less than inch. Lol. Can’t make it up. Rochester is getting waaay more off the Erie band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Hey! BUF! Congrats! You guys suffered and waited but it’s finally here! Holy crap. You guys don’t mess around! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Point and click forecast is hilarious. Less than inch. Lol. Can’t make it up. Rochester is getting waaay more off the Erie band. Yeah, I saw that inch or less call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 The southward drift should stop in the next 1-2 hours, this afternoon it will slowly drift north and should stall somewhere tonight I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: The southward drift should stop in the next 1-2 hours, this afternoon it will slowly drift north and should stall somewhere tonight I believe. If does end up stalling in one place, they are going to get dumped on, that's for sure! Last night's intensity + lighter, fluffier snow = >4" rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Lol...I am sandwiched right between the 2 bands that formed in Oswego county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 35 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: 6.8” at KBUF last night? WOW! We're three miles due west of the WFO, and had 2.75" - driving to work this morning, it looked like there was a big cut-off right just west of the 90 around Cleveland Drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 20 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Hey! BUF! Congrats! You guys suffered and waited but it’s finally here! Holy crap. You guys don’t mess around! I dunno, sounds like downtown to the north didn't get much. But good for the southtowns, who missed out on big snows to the south and a couple smaller events to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Here comes the CF starting to approach the western end of the Lake so we'll see how it affects the band. Usually, the CF would carry the whole band off the lake completely, and it falls apart as it gets separated from its moisture source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Winner so far. ...Erie County... Aurora 10.4 1003 AM 1/25 NWS Employee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 That band off Erie is just amazing as it is seeding itself, lol! If you look at it on satellite you will clearly see two feeder bands merging into one at the coast as it extends inland to almost Albany, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: . Can see the winds starting to shift near Detriot in that image to a more WSW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 That GIF is incredible, look at that Huron band. Saving this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Icon looks similar to that of the ukmet/euro, gfs does not agree, probably more rain then snow, at least for here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Super heavy snow from Erie, thanks for the lovin E! Mesoscale Discussion 0053 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0919 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 Areas affected...portions of western and northern New York Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 251519Z - 252015Z SUMMARY...Lake Effect snow bands will bring periods of heavy snow and reduced visibility today across parts of western and northern NY. Snowfall rates around 1 inch per hour are possible and may extend downstream into parts of central and northern. DISCUSSION...West-southwest surface to 850mb flow is noted in surface observations as well as 12z regional RAOBs and 88-D VWP data. This has resulted in two lake effect snow bands stretching across parts of western and northern NY. Heavy snow with rates around 1 inch per hour has been reported this morning, with heavy to moderate snow stretching well downstream of the immediate lake shore areas. In fact, 1 inch per hour rates were reported in Madison County around 14z. Westerly flow rapidly increases from around 10-20 kt at the surface to near 40 kt around 1 km. Favorable orientation across the lakes and strong low level flow should allow these snow bands to continue through the day and persist well downstream toward the western Adirondacks. It is possible that closer to Lake Ontario and Lake Erie that snowfall rates may even exceed 1 inch per hour at times. Slight shifts to the north or south of low level winds may result in some small shifts in the heaviest snow bands, but the current location of the two bands impacting the MCD area should remain fairly steady-state through the day. As a result, anyone traveling north-south across western into central/northern NY could see rapid changes in snow intensity and visibility. In addition to these heavy lake effect bands, the surface pressure gradient is quite strong across the region and surface winds around 15-25 mph with some higher gusts will be possible for much of the day. Conditions are not expected to improve until later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 These are some huge fluffy arse flakes, wouldn't take much precip to add up if we can get that band far enough south tonight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 This is absolutely NUTS as I'm getting pounded, RLMAO, with close to white-out conditions at times, WOW just incredible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Too bad its not gonna last more than 5 minutes, what a tease as I'd rather not see it at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I can see KSYR easily getting 3-6" from this band as its starting to head back that way as it speeds by me, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 If that GB band, that's connected to Superior band connects to the Ontario band rates can exceed 3"hr, easily! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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