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John1122

January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion

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The UK at 12z reduced precip amounts from the plateau and points east, but bumped them for middle TN.  There are actually two items (the front, then an upper level disturbance) that drop to total of around .7 on a widespread basis across middle TN (lollipop of .8 for northwest middle TN).  Assuming nice Kuchera ratios toward the end of the frontal snow and the second disturbance, I wouldn't be surprised to see some healthy snow maps across the midstate.

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Just now, tnweathernut said:

The UK at 12z reduced precip amounts from the plateau and points east, but bumped them for middle TN.  There are actually two items (the front, then an upper level disturbance) that drop to total of around .7 on a widespread basis across middle TN (lollipop of .8 for northwest middle TN).  Assuming nice Kuchera ratios toward the end of the frontal snow and the second disturbance, I wouldn't be surprised to see some healthy snow maps across the midstate.

Maps? 

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Kuchera snow maps for the 12z Euro are in.  They look good for a good chunk of the state.  3-5 Memphis, 7-8" Davidson and all surrounding counties.  A minimum of 4-5" across the plateau, 6-7" in and around Knoxville and 5-6" for northeast TN.

8-9" SW VA, 4-5" northern 1/2 of MS, and northern 1/3 of Alabama.  2-6" northwest GA, the larger amounts near north and northeast GA

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Just now, tnweathernut said:

Kuchera snow maps for the 12z Euro are in.  They look good for a good chunk of the state.  3-5 Memphis, 7-8" Davidson and all surrounding counties.  A minimum of 4-5" across the plateau, 6-7" in and around Knoxville and 5-6" for northeast TN.

8-9" SW VA, 4-5" northern 1/2 of MS, and northern 1/3 of Alabama.  2-6" northwest GA, the larger amounts near north and northeast GA

You think the amounts are too low factoring in the arctic air mass?

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Just now, weathertree4u said:

You think the amounts are too low factoring in the arctic air mass?

Honestly, not sure.  I'm just looking for some consistency in where the best forcing will be.  It's been all over the place, so just want to see the threat remain on the radar for the next couple of days.  

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Should we get a thread started specific to this event? It has been on most models pretty consistently for the past couple days and we are 4 days out now.

Also, thanks for everyone providing updates on the latest Euro run! Hopefully everything keeps trending better than 2-4 for everyone state wide (although I will gladly take 2-4).

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Two systems to talk about next week, Tuesday and Friday. Figure 1/2 might pan out. Doubt both hit or both miss (except CHA).

Tuesday is the Battle Royale. ECMWF and ICON insist snow all over. Euro has a true southern stream wave with weak surface low. GFS just has flurries and snow showers post frontal, GFS has a much weaker southern stream vort max, and favors a strong northern stream. We've seen that so many times in recent years. Skill favors the ECMWF. However recent history, sadly, favors the GFS. We'll see; this is a robust cold pattern.

Friday the GFS is lost. ECMWF and Canadian show another southern stream system. I use the CAD sparingly, but just want to see if it has anything. A wave is scooting through the southern stream Friday. Still cold here at all levels.

PS. A thread for Tuesday is probably justified.

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ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA    LAT=  36.12 LON=  -86.68 ELE=   591

                                            12Z JAN25
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
FRI 12Z 25-JAN                  23.3    15.7    33004   0.00    0.00       0    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN  31.9    22.2    32.2    11.2    30004   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN  35.3    30.2    30.1    16.7    22003   0.00    0.00      92    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN  30.7    26.4    29.3    15.5    24004   0.00    0.00      99    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN  30.7    26.3    26.2    20.1    24005   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  42.5    25.7    42.8    24.5    20006   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  46.2    37.9    38.0    27.0    19007   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  38.4    35.4    35.5    32.8    22008   0.00    0.00      20    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  35.7    29.8    29.6    28.9    22004   0.00    0.00       4    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  48.2    28.7    48.5    30.0    22005   0.00    0.00       1    
MON 00Z 28-JAN  51.2    40.1    39.4    30.5    19004   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 06Z 28-JAN  39.5    35.4    36.2    30.3    19007   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 12Z 28-JAN  36.3    34.8    34.8    29.8    19007   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 18Z 28-JAN  54.3    34.7    54.6    36.7    20010   0.00    0.00       0    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  57.1    50.0    49.7    35.5    20007   0.00    0.00      95    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN  49.8    35.2    34.6    33.2    34009   0.17    0.02     100    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN  34.6    20.8    20.6    15.7    34008   0.35    0.35     100    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  20.8    17.4    19.8     7.2    32009   0.09    0.09      32    
WED 00Z 30-JAN  21.3    16.2    16.0     2.5    31007   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 06Z 30-JAN  16.0     5.5     9.2    -3.6    24005   0.00    0.00      53    
WED 12Z 30-JAN  13.4     8.0    12.8     0.0    22002   0.00    0.00      59    
WED 18Z 30-JAN  25.9    12.5    26.2    10.6    22003   0.00    0.00       5    
THU 00Z 31-JAN  34.2    23.8    24.4    16.4    22004   0.00    0.00      13    
THU 06Z 31-JAN  31.0    23.3    28.9    20.8    25005   0.00    0.00      61    
THU 12Z 31-JAN  29.1    17.5    17.3     8.0    00005   0.00    0.00       4    
THU 18Z 31-JAN  21.1    14.6    21.3     0.6    33005   0.00    0.00      19    
FRI 00Z 01-FEB  23.4    15.7    15.7    -0.5    00004   0.00    0.00      23    
FRI 06Z 01-FEB  16.1    10.1    10.0    -8.2    01004   0.00    0.00       0    
FRI 12Z 01-FEB  11.0     8.3     8.4    -9.9    02004   0.00    0.00      39    
FRI 18Z 01-FEB  19.8     7.7    20.0    -1.8    01004   0.00    0.00      76    
SAT 00Z 02-FEB  23.9    18.6    19.1     4.3    01005   0.00    0.00      98    
SAT 06Z 02-FEB  19.1    16.0    16.0     2.9    02006   0.00    0.00      99    
SAT 12Z 02-FEB  16.0    14.5    14.5     2.2    02005   0.00    0.00      97    
SAT 18Z 02-FEB  23.9    14.4    24.2     5.2    01004   0.00    0.00      80    
SUN 00Z 03-FEB  25.8    22.5    22.4    11.1    36005   0.01    0.01     100    
SUN 06Z 03-FEB  22.4    17.2    17.2     8.5    35004   0.02    0.02      33    
SUN 12Z 03-FEB  17.3     8.6     8.8    -2.1    34005   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 18Z 03-FEB  29.6     8.0    29.9     9.3    36002   0.00    0.00      68  
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM    LAT=  35.05 LON=  -90.00 ELE=   285

                                            12Z JAN25
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
FRI 12Z 25-JAN                  25.5    20.4    00004   0.00    0.00       0    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN  34.6    23.7    34.8    18.1    32003   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN  37.9    33.0    32.9    22.3    20003   0.00    0.00      82    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN  34.9    30.5    34.9    25.2    23005   0.00    0.00      95    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN  35.0    27.5    28.2    24.8    18003   0.00    0.00       1    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  48.2    28.1    48.4    35.4    21008   0.00    0.00       3    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  50.9    42.7    42.5    36.1    18008   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  42.5    38.2    38.0    35.1    24006   0.00    0.00      19    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  38.1    30.5    30.4    29.0    19004   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  51.5    30.2    51.8    35.7    23005   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 00Z 28-JAN  54.6    45.5    45.2    36.8    18006   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 06Z 28-JAN  45.2    42.0    41.9    34.7    20008   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 12Z 28-JAN  41.9    40.1    40.1    34.2    20009   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 18Z 28-JAN  56.3    40.0    56.6    41.5    21012   0.00    0.00      36    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  59.0    51.6    51.4    47.1    24005   0.04    0.00      99    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN  51.4    30.0    29.6    25.4    35014   0.37    0.17     100    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN  29.6    17.3    17.2     6.2    34012   0.12    0.12      27    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  21.6    15.2    21.8     5.2    33013   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 00Z 30-JAN  26.5    18.1    18.7     4.2    29006   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 06Z 30-JAN  22.5    16.1    22.1    11.1    22007   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 12Z 30-JAN  22.8    18.1    18.3    11.9    20005   0.00    0.00       1    
WED 18Z 30-JAN  37.5    16.8    37.9    22.1    22009   0.00    0.00      12    
THU 00Z 31-JAN  40.9    35.6    35.6    25.8    20010   0.00    0.00      80    
THU 06Z 31-JAN  35.6    34.2    34.1    25.9    23009   0.00    0.00      72    
THU 12Z 31-JAN  34.1    21.1    21.0     8.5    04009   0.00    0.00       0    
THU 18Z 31-JAN  28.4    19.6    28.6     8.1    04011   0.00    0.00      15    
FRI 00Z 01-FEB  30.9    26.0    25.8     5.3    04008   0.00    0.00      79    
FRI 06Z 01-FEB  26.1    21.8    21.7    -7.5    04009   0.00    0.00      98    
FRI 12Z 01-FEB  21.7    19.0    18.9   -13.8    03011   0.01    0.01      95    
FRI 18Z 01-FEB  24.6    17.8    24.9   -11.3    03009   0.00    0.00      96    
SAT 00Z 02-FEB  28.7    24.7    27.0    -2.5    03008   0.00    0.00     100    
SAT 06Z 02-FEB  27.0    23.6    23.5    -2.0    03009   0.00    0.00     100    
SAT 12Z 02-FEB  23.6    20.0    19.9    -3.6    03009   0.00    0.00      86    
SAT 18Z 02-FEB  28.1    19.5    28.3    -3.1    01008   0.00    0.00      89    
SUN 00Z 03-FEB  29.5    24.8    24.7     3.4    00007   0.00    0.00      91    
SUN 06Z 03-FEB  24.7    18.1    18.0     0.9    04006   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 12Z 03-FEB  18.0    16.7    16.7     0.0    35003   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 18Z 03-FEB  32.2    16.6    32.5     2.5    00003   0.00    0.00      73    

 

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: CSV    LAT=  35.95 LON=  -85.08 ELE=  1880

                                            12Z JAN25
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
FRI 12Z 25-JAN                  21.1    14.3    32006   0.00    0.00      16    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN  31.9    20.1    32.1     5.2    31004   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN  33.7    26.1    26.3    11.7    28003   0.00    0.00      57    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN  26.8    24.8    25.6    13.1    22005   0.00    0.00      26    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN  28.4    25.4    27.5    15.1    24005   0.00    0.00      32    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  38.8    26.1    39.0    19.3    25005   0.00    0.00       7    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  41.4    32.6    32.5    21.4    21007   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  32.9    31.1    31.1    26.4    21007   0.00    0.00       1    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  33.1    30.6    32.7    31.4    24005   0.00    0.00      90    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  44.7    32.2    44.9    26.2    24006   0.00    0.00      11    
MON 00Z 28-JAN  46.9    37.5    37.3    27.2    23003   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 06Z 28-JAN  37.5    33.5    33.6    27.7    19006   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 12Z 28-JAN  33.7    32.0    32.2    27.6    19006   0.00    0.00       1    
MON 18Z 28-JAN  50.6    31.8    50.7    30.7    20009   0.00    0.00       0    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  52.0    42.3    42.2    28.9    19007   0.00    0.00      63    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN  43.5    41.7    42.0    33.0    20007   0.00    0.00      99    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN  41.9    28.7    28.4    26.0    33007   0.05    0.02     100    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  28.4    17.2    17.0     9.5    32010   0.23    0.23     100    
WED 00Z 30-JAN  18.8    14.8    14.7     2.2    31010   0.02    0.02       1    
WED 06Z 30-JAN  14.7     7.4     7.5    -8.7    29005   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 12Z 30-JAN  10.9     7.3    10.9    -4.8    26006   0.00    0.00      20    
WED 18Z 30-JAN  26.3    10.8    26.6     3.5    24007   0.00    0.00      56    
THU 00Z 31-JAN  32.9    26.5    28.1    14.7    22008   0.00    0.00       0    
THU 06Z 31-JAN  29.9    27.6    29.6    18.7    24011   0.00    0.00      89    
THU 12Z 31-JAN  30.3    21.1    21.3    11.3    33005   0.00    0.00      77    
THU 18Z 31-JAN  27.5    19.4    27.6     1.7    30006   0.00    0.00      46    
FRI 00Z 01-FEB  29.0    21.5    21.3    -1.3    32005   0.00    0.00      21    
FRI 06Z 01-FEB  21.3    14.8    14.7   -12.5    34004   0.00    0.00       1    
FRI 12Z 01-FEB  15.2    11.7    12.2   -18.3    02005   0.00    0.00      76    
FRI 18Z 01-FEB  27.0    11.7    27.3   -10.8    35003   0.00    0.00      86    
SAT 00Z 02-FEB  30.4    21.4    21.1    -1.2    36006   0.00    0.00      98    
SAT 06Z 02-FEB  21.2    16.5    16.4    -1.5    03007   0.00    0.00      99    
SAT 12Z 02-FEB  16.5    15.5    15.5    -2.1    04005   0.00    0.00      98    
SAT 18Z 02-FEB  30.5    15.4    30.7    -1.2    03002   0.00    0.00      90    
SUN 00Z 03-FEB  32.3    24.2    24.0     8.7    36006   0.01    0.01     100    
SUN 06Z 03-FEB  24.0    19.4    19.4    10.4    00004   0.05    0.05     100    
SUN 12Z 03-FEB  19.4    15.5    15.5     4.3    01005   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 18Z 03-FEB  32.8    15.1    33.1     6.0    01004   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 00Z 04-FEB  36.7    24.8    24.4     6.8    34005   0.00    0.00      52   
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: HSV    LAT=  34.65 LON=  -86.77 ELE=   643

                                            12Z JAN25
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
FRI 12Z 25-JAN                  27.2    23.1    34005   0.00    0.00       2    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN  38.3    26.7    38.5    19.0    31003   0.00    0.00      60    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN  40.7    32.8    32.9    20.8    30003   0.00    0.00       4    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN  33.5    28.3    28.8    20.6    22005   0.00    0.00       1    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN  31.8    28.1    30.6    22.5    26004   0.00    0.00      30    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  44.5    29.3    44.8    27.7    26003   0.00    0.00      54    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  47.7    39.9    39.8    31.9    22006   0.00    0.00      19    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  39.8    34.9    34.9    32.4    21006   0.00    0.00       1    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  34.9    31.7    31.5    29.7    23004   0.00    0.00      29    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  51.2    31.0    51.5    35.1    24005   0.00    0.00      42    
MON 00Z 28-JAN  53.0    44.8    44.5    32.8    21004   0.00    0.00      24    
MON 06Z 28-JAN  44.5    37.0    37.1    32.4    19006   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 12Z 28-JAN  37.2    34.5    34.5    32.2    19005   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 18Z 28-JAN  55.1    34.2    55.3    34.8    20008   0.00    0.00       0    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  57.0    47.0    46.7    34.5    19007   0.00    0.00      17    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN  46.9    44.9    45.4    35.7    20008   0.00    0.00      98    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN  45.5    30.1    29.7    25.6    34010   0.06    0.04     100    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  29.7    22.5    23.2    12.8    32011   0.24    0.24      89    
WED 00Z 30-JAN  24.9    19.7    19.5     5.6    31008   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 06Z 30-JAN  19.5     9.3    10.8     0.5    21005   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 12Z 30-JAN  15.0     8.6    12.0     2.5    24005   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 18Z 30-JAN  35.2    11.3    35.5    14.4    23008   0.00    0.00      33    
THU 00Z 31-JAN  39.5    32.9    32.9    21.0    21008   0.00    0.00      17    
THU 06Z 31-JAN  33.0    31.5    32.1    22.2    22009   0.00    0.00      97    
THU 12Z 31-JAN  32.2    25.7    25.9    21.9    26004   0.00    0.00      57    
THU 18Z 31-JAN  36.7    25.3    36.7    23.9    35005   0.00    0.00       5    
FRI 00Z 01-FEB  37.5    28.5    28.2    16.6    01006   0.00    0.00      17    
FRI 06Z 01-FEB  28.3    24.4    24.5     9.0    02005   0.00    0.00     100    
FRI 12Z 01-FEB  24.5    21.5    21.4     0.3    02006   0.02    0.02      95    
FRI 18Z 01-FEB  27.0    20.8    27.2     1.0    01005   0.00    0.00      97    
SAT 00Z 02-FEB  29.8    26.4    27.8     5.7    01006   0.00    0.00      97    
SAT 06Z 02-FEB  27.8    24.0    24.0     6.2    01006   0.00    0.00     100    
SAT 12Z 02-FEB  24.0    22.5    22.5     7.0    01006   0.00    0.00      99    
SAT 18Z 02-FEB  33.2    22.2    33.5    12.1    02003   0.00    0.00      89    
SUN 00Z 03-FEB  34.6    27.5    27.2    15.1    36007   0.02    0.02     100    
SUN 06Z 03-FEB  27.2    20.1    19.9    14.4    35005   0.04    0.04       3    
SUN 12Z 03-FEB  20.0    16.5    16.4     9.7    36005   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 18Z 03-FEB  33.7    15.7    34.1    10.1    35004   0.00    0.00      86    
MON 00Z 04-FEB  37.8    26.3    25.9    11.1    32005   0.00    0.00      17    
MON 06Z 04-FEB                                                                  
MON 12Z 04-FEB                                                                  



ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: CHA    LAT=  35.03 LON=  -85.20 ELE=   689

                                            12Z JAN25
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
FRI 12Z 25-JAN                  27.5    23.2    33005   0.00    0.00      21    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN  37.1    27.0    37.3    16.0    30003   0.00    0.00      60    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN  40.1    32.3    32.0    17.2    29005   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN  32.5    26.9    27.1    17.6    20004   0.00    0.00       1    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN  29.3    26.6    29.3    19.8    24004   0.00    0.00      45    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  42.3    28.1    42.6    24.0    28003   0.00    0.00      77    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  45.1    36.5    36.2    25.5    20005   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  36.2    32.5    32.5    28.6    21005   0.00    0.00      11    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  32.5    30.4    30.5    29.0    21003   0.00    0.00      38    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  48.6    30.4    48.9    32.9    26006   0.00    0.00      89    
MON 00Z 28-JAN  50.7    40.7    41.0    31.6    24003   0.00    0.00       5    
MON 06Z 28-JAN  41.4    34.9    34.8    30.9    19004   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 12Z 28-JAN  35.4    31.1    31.6    29.4    18004   0.00    0.00       7    
MON 18Z 28-JAN  53.0    30.7    53.2    33.7    20006   0.00    0.00       1    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  54.7    45.1    45.0    32.0    20006   0.00    0.00      10    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN  45.0    41.0    41.4    34.3    18006   0.00    0.00      98    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN  41.6    38.6    38.5    35.2    25003   0.00    0.00      94    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  39.4    23.5    23.3    17.0    32009   0.36    0.32      99    
WED 00Z 30-JAN  24.3    19.4    19.2     7.8    31009   0.04    0.04      34    
WED 06Z 30-JAN  19.2     7.2    10.2    -5.5    30004   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 12Z 30-JAN  12.5     6.8     8.4    -3.1    20004   0.00    0.00       2    
WED 18Z 30-JAN  31.5     6.9    31.9    11.7    24006   0.00    0.00       0    
THU 00Z 31-JAN  36.5    29.4    29.3    17.7    20007   0.00    0.00       1    
THU 06Z 31-JAN  29.4    27.2    27.4    20.7    21007   0.00    0.00      90    
THU 12Z 31-JAN  27.6    24.5    24.6    20.0    24004   0.00    0.00      63    
THU 18Z 31-JAN  37.9    23.9    38.0    24.4    29003   0.00    0.00      36    
FRI 00Z 01-FEB  39.7    28.6    28.3    16.2    36004   0.00    0.00       0    
FRI 06Z 01-FEB  28.3    20.2    21.0     6.1    01005   0.00    0.00      89    
FRI 12Z 01-FEB  22.0    20.2    20.4    -0.6    02006   0.00    0.00      96    
FRI 18Z 01-FEB  30.1    19.6    30.4    -0.1    02004   0.00    0.00      85    
SAT 00Z 02-FEB  32.8    27.8    27.7     8.5    02004   0.00    0.00      96    
SAT 06Z 02-FEB  27.8    23.3    23.4     6.4    03006   0.00    0.00     100    
SAT 12Z 02-FEB  23.4    21.4    21.4     6.5    04005   0.00    0.00     100    
SAT 18Z 02-FEB  30.9    21.3    31.1    15.5    04002   0.01    0.01      97    
SUN 00Z 03-FEB  31.8    27.2    27.2    22.8    35002   0.06    0.06      99    
SUN 06Z 03-FEB  27.3    23.6    23.6    18.7    00004   0.07    0.07     100    
SUN 12Z 03-FEB  23.6    16.5    16.5    12.1    35005   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 18Z 03-FEB  34.1    16.0    34.4    15.9    00004   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 00Z 04-FEB  37.9    28.9    29.1    16.1    01004   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 06Z 04-FEB  29.2    19.1    20.4     9.8    01004   0.00    0.00      83    
MON 12Z 04-FEB                                                                  

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TRI    LAT=  36.47 LON=  -82.40 ELE=  1519

                                            12Z JAN25
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
FRI 12Z 25-JAN                  26.8    21.2    27007   0.00    0.00      90    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN  32.4    26.8    32.5     9.8    28007   0.00    0.00       1    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN  34.1    26.4    26.1    12.6    22005   0.00    0.00      29    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN  26.2    23.6    24.4    12.0    22004   0.00    0.00      86    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN  24.8    23.2    24.4    11.4    23004   0.00    0.00      67    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  37.0    24.5    37.2    15.2    26010   0.00    0.00      89    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  39.1    30.2    30.2    18.2    22006   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  30.3    27.0    27.2    17.5    18003   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  29.8    26.5    29.7    20.1    23005   0.00    0.00      67    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  39.7    29.7    39.8    26.3    25007   0.00    0.00     100    
MON 00Z 28-JAN  41.3    34.0    33.9    25.3    20004   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 06Z 28-JAN  34.1    27.7    28.5    23.7    16002   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 12Z 28-JAN  29.3    26.7    27.4    23.1    13003   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 18Z 28-JAN  49.3    27.0    49.4    24.5    21005   0.00    0.00       0    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  50.4    36.6    36.6    27.0    18004   0.00    0.00       1    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN  37.1    33.6    34.5    27.0    17005   0.00    0.00      96    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN  36.1    33.7    35.4    27.9    16003   0.00    0.00      99    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  41.7    35.3    40.2    34.6    26005   0.01    0.00     100    
WED 00Z 30-JAN  40.2    19.4    19.0    13.0    29008   0.35    0.32      97    
WED 06Z 30-JAN  19.0     8.4     8.1    -4.5    28011   0.01    0.01       8    
WED 12Z 30-JAN   8.1     5.3     5.6    -6.6    27010   0.00    0.00       3    
WED 18Z 30-JAN  19.1     5.6    19.4     0.6    26010   0.00    0.00      21    
THU 00Z 31-JAN  22.7    18.0    19.2     8.6    19003   0.00    0.00      86    
THU 06Z 31-JAN  27.6    18.0    27.6    15.9    24011   0.00    0.00      40    
THU 12Z 31-JAN  29.4    23.0    22.6    16.5    29009   0.01    0.01      98    
THU 18Z 31-JAN  27.3    19.9    27.5     8.9    26009   0.01    0.01      42    
FRI 00Z 01-FEB  29.0    20.2    19.8     3.0    31007   0.00    0.00       0    
FRI 06Z 01-FEB  19.8    11.4    12.1    -8.9    26004   0.00    0.00       0    
FRI 12Z 01-FEB  13.0     7.8     8.0   -15.7    26004   0.00    0.00      69    
FRI 18Z 01-FEB  25.8     7.3    26.1    -8.4    27004   0.00    0.00      37    
SAT 00Z 02-FEB  29.4    20.3    20.3    -1.4    30004   0.00    0.00       4    
SAT 06Z 02-FEB  21.3    11.8    12.3    -4.0    04006   0.00    0.00      96    
SAT 12Z 02-FEB  12.8    10.5    11.8    -5.1    04005   0.00    0.00      91    
SAT 18Z 02-FEB  31.7    11.6    32.0     2.3    02000   0.00    0.00      99    
SUN 00Z 03-FEB  34.4    27.9    27.9     8.1    00004   0.00    0.00      98    
SUN 06Z 03-FEB  28.1    22.0    21.9     9.9    07002   0.01    0.01     100    
SUN 12Z 03-FEB  22.4    18.1    19.0     7.5    04003   0.01    0.01       7    
SUN 18Z 03-FEB  34.5    16.4    34.8     5.5    34002   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 00Z 04-FEB  38.7    26.8    26.6     6.8    01004   0.00    0.00      30    
MON 06Z 04-FEB  27.2    18.2    18.4     3.6    05002   0.00    0.00      33    
MON 12Z 04-FEB                                                                  

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS    LAT=  35.82 LON=  -83.98 ELE=   981

                                            12Z JAN25
                 2 M     2 M     2 M     SFC     SFC    6 HR    FROZN   TOTAL
                 MXT     MNT     TMP     DEW     WIND    QPF     PCP    CLOUD
                 (F)     (F)     (F)     (F)    (KTS)   (IN)    (IN)    (PCT)
FRI 12Z 25-JAN                  28.4    22.1    27005   0.00    0.00      79    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN  33.7    26.6    33.9    11.8    28002   0.00    0.00       0    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN  35.9    27.4    27.7    15.8    18004   0.00    0.00      29    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN  28.0    24.7    26.5    14.5    20004   0.00    0.00      48    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN  28.1    25.8    27.5    16.3    22004   0.00    0.00      57    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  39.4    27.1    39.6    21.1    25006   0.00    0.00      69    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  41.3    33.6    33.7    21.9    17006   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  34.1    30.9    31.3    23.0    21005   0.00    0.00       0    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  32.0    30.6    31.7    29.1    22004   0.00    0.00      62    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  44.8    31.6    45.0    29.8    25007   0.00    0.00      96    
MON 00Z 28-JAN  47.1    38.4    38.2    29.9    21004   0.00    0.00       8    
MON 06Z 28-JAN  38.3    30.3    30.5    26.5    19004   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 12Z 28-JAN  31.7    29.3    29.8    26.7    14004   0.00    0.00       2    
MON 18Z 28-JAN  50.6    28.8    50.9    32.0    22006   0.00    0.00       0    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  53.0    43.4    43.3    29.1    21006   0.00    0.00       1    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN  43.3    39.2    39.7    30.1    20005   0.00    0.00      99    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN  40.7    39.4    39.4    33.5    22004   0.00    0.00      98    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  40.5    26.5    26.5    21.2    31007   0.19    0.16     100    
WED 00Z 30-JAN  26.5    17.9    17.9    10.1    29005   0.23    0.23      76    
WED 06Z 30-JAN  17.9     2.7     3.0    -7.5    24004   0.00    0.00       0    
WED 12Z 30-JAN   7.5     0.4     7.2    -2.2    21005   0.00    0.00      51    
WED 18Z 30-JAN  23.5     7.2    23.8     6.7    23007   0.00    0.00      29    
THU 00Z 31-JAN  31.6    23.8    28.6    15.8    22009   0.00    0.00       0    
THU 06Z 31-JAN  29.4    28.0    28.9    19.3    23011   0.00    0.00      65    
THU 12Z 31-JAN  29.7    27.7    27.5    21.1    29005   0.00    0.00      98    
THU 18Z 31-JAN  30.4    25.3    30.6    15.5    27005   0.00    0.00      49    
FRI 00Z 01-FEB  31.8    20.3    20.3     8.4    31004   0.00    0.00       7    
FRI 06Z 01-FEB  22.9    10.6    13.8    -1.6    06002   0.00    0.00       0    
FRI 12Z 01-FEB  16.9     5.6     8.6    -4.0    03003   0.00    0.00      62    
FRI 18Z 01-FEB  26.2     8.4    26.4     2.5    35002   0.00    0.00      87    
SAT 00Z 02-FEB  28.8    18.3    21.4     3.0    03005   0.00    0.00      81    
SAT 06Z 02-FEB  21.4    16.5    16.8     2.5    03004   0.00    0.00     100    
SAT 12Z 02-FEB  17.8    16.1    16.7     3.3    03003   0.00    0.00      99    
SAT 18Z 02-FEB  28.2    16.6    28.3     9.9    01002   0.00    0.00      98    
SUN 00Z 03-FEB  30.7    25.7    25.8    14.6    35003   0.02    0.02      98    
SUN 06Z 03-FEB  25.8    20.7    20.6    14.2    36003   0.05    0.05      99    
SUN 12Z 03-FEB  20.7    12.7    12.2     6.9    03003   0.01    0.01       3    
SUN 18Z 03-FEB  31.6    11.1    31.9    15.1    01003   0.00    0.00       0    
MON 00Z 04-FEB  34.7    24.9    25.2    11.4    02003   0.00    0.00      37    
MON 06Z 04-FEB  25.9    14.2    17.4     4.7    06003   0.00    0.00      28    
MON 12Z 04-FEB  19.9    13.3    18.0     6.1    06002   0.00    0.00      90 

 

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