Rtd208 Posted July 21, 2018 Author Share Posted July 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Just an awesome night out this way for the 4H fair. Almost a crisp feel to the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Next 8 days continue to average 78degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +2.3. Should be +1.9 by the 29th. GFS is 2.5" the next 10 days, and the CMC is 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Southerly tropical flow the next 7-10 days = rain / storms high humidity. On around 7/31 some hints the ridge / height push west and we get more SW flow and more heat. We'll see how it evolves which to me is much like Jun 2013 and Aug 2003 both were followed by a period of warmth / heat. Either way its wet / humid from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 EURO WEEKLIES are AN Temps. for all 6 weeks. The AN Precip. holds up till Mid-August, then Normal. RWTT is screaming AN Temps. for the entire Northern Hemisphere during the next 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 24 minutes ago, CIK62 said: EURO WEEKLIES are AN Temps. for all 6 weeks. The AN Precip. holds up till Mid-August, then Normal. RWTT is screaming AN Temps. for the entire Northern Hemisphere during the next 90. A large portion of that will be by way of elevated minimums due to high DP's/humidity. But some heat mixed in as well is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave0176 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Last day in Wildwood it’s currently pouring.... Temp around 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Current temp 64/DP 61/RH 95% Picked up 0.16" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Pouring here. Picked up 0.56" of rain for the day yesterday. Storm total so far 0.58" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Temp has risen from 64 to the current temp of 72/DP 70/RH 91% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Up to 0.44" of rain so far today. 0.56" yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 79degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +1.9. Should still be +1.9 by the 30th. GFS/CMC are 6"---9" the next 10 days. EURO is 4". And you thought yesterday was tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 This July is one for the record books across the Northern Hemisphere. A very unusual ring of 500 mb blocking set up across the entire hemisphere near 50N. It resulted in the heat and drought in many locations. The current MJO pulse appears to be disturbing this pattern. The single ridge is breaking up into several segments. The WAR shifting east to the Maritimes is ushering in the wetter pattern with the deep tropical moisture feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 Still some hint / progression that on/around 7/31 into first week of August heights / ridge push west inland as WC ridge is breached a bit - if things progress this way - look for a period of more heat whether brief or not TBD, otherwise humid and very wet as was the likely flip from where we were late June to yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 must have been windy overnight because I saw a few branches in the street and one big one fell on a car denting the roof... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Current temp 83/DP 73/RH 70% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 On 7/11/2018 at 3:05 AM, SnoSki14 said: I don't know about that, I had dews that were pushing 80F and the 70+ dew stretch lasted almost a week. Right now there's nothing to indicate we'll see a repeat of that, in fact a troughy late July/August is much more likely. You sure about that? The humidity is back. August is always humid and disgusting. I think I’m going to go on a limb and say August is way below average Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 36 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: You sure about that? The humidity is back. August is always humid and disgusting. I think I’m going to go on a limb and say August is way below average What would constitute way below average in August? That seems like very risky call. August looks normal to maybe just below normal for temps to me, but the dew points look to be quite high. All you need is a few breaks of sun with humidity and you can easily get to the mid-80s, just like today. I think the overnight lows help keep us at normal even if day time highs are not super hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 Miami dew points are back at JFK. Kennedy Intl CLOUDY 78 76 93 SE18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Looks like the city and the immediate metro are caught between two areas of rain/storms, one over E.PA and the other over the ocean headed for E.LI at least for now. Dew points are brutal with a very tropical feel outside, any showers/storms this week should be efficient rainmakers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 Miami afternoon. Probable see lots of rainbows later. Up to 86 here for the high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 There should be some enhanced chances for showers/thunder with locally heavy rain tonight into tomorrow morning as the moisture plume evident over the Atlantic towards eastern Long Island and New England backs west. Should see the lift from the low to mid-level moisture and warm advection along with the right-entrance quad of the upper-level jet help spark scattered convection in the humid and fairly unstable airmass at times through Monday before the core of the moisture axis and better jet support shift a little west. Still could be spotty showers/thunder thereafter through Tuesday, but heaviest stuff should be to our west (maybe clipping NW NJ). This could end up being pretty bad just to our west in PA where they got more rain last night and will be in a pattern supportive of numerous storms with heavy rain rates through Wednesday. The moisture axis shifts back east for Wednesday and perhaps into Thursday which should cause our chances for storms with locally heavy rain to ramp back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 35 minutes ago, OHweather said: There should be some enhanced chances for showers/thunder with locally heavy rain tonight into tomorrow morning as the moisture plume evident over the Atlantic towards eastern Long Island and New England backs west. Should see the lift from the low to mid-level moisture and warm advection along with the right-entrance quad of the upper-level jet help spark scattered convection in the humid and fairly unstable airmass at times through Monday before the core of the moisture axis and better jet support shift a little west. Still could be spotty showers/thunder thereafter through Tuesday, but heaviest stuff should be to our west (maybe clipping NW NJ). This could end up being pretty bad just to our west in PA where they got more rain last night and will be in a pattern supportive of numerous storms with heavy rain rates through Wednesday. The moisture axis shifts back east for Wednesday and perhaps into Thursday which should cause our chances for storms with locally heavy rain to ramp back up. Good post. I concur with this analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Current temp 76/DP 73/RH 86% Picked up 0.46" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Miami afternoon. Probable see lots of rainbows later. Up to 86 here for the high Another summer at JFK with 10 or more dew point days reaching 75 degree or higher. It's been quite a run especially over the last 3 summers. JFK 75+ dew point days for 2018 so far with daily dew point max 6-19...75 7-1....75 7-2....76 7-3....78 7-4....76 7-5....77 7-6....77 7-17..76 7-17..76 7-22..76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 80 degrees for the high here today...0.72" since midnight with some heavy showers now in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2018 Author Share Posted July 23, 2018 Current temp 77/DP 74/RH 94% Picked up 0.50" of rain for the day. 2 day rainfall total 1.06" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Next 8 days will be averaging 78degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +1.7. Should be +1.5 by the 31st. Seems if you throw away the first 5 days of July, the remainder of it will end up just Normal. CMC/GFS still have 5" to 6" over next 10 days. The PW may drop and LI may go + for 60hrs. around the weekend. Longer range the RWTT says we dry out and burn up in August. Tropical mischief near the 20th. We get the Ridge Treatment and PacificNW gets the trough. Then next switcheroo not till early Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 You know the WAR is pushed unusually far north when BTV has a bigger temperature departure in July than LGA and EWR. Through 7/22 BTV....+5.1 LGA....+2.6 EWR..+1.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.