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Queencitywx

1/16-1/17 Event OBS

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I have the spreadsheet whipped up and ready for the forecast contest results, but I just need the final snow numbers once the storm is done.

Using Weather Underground, here's what I've got...

AVL: 2.2 snow, 0.08 liquid, 28 to 1 snow ratio

GSP: 3.1 snow, 0.29 liquid, 11 to 1 snow ratio

CLT: 3.5 snow, 0.38 liquid, 9 to 1 snow ratio

GSO: 6.0 snow, ? (bad data), ?

RDU: 5.0 snow, 0.49 liquid, 10 to 1 snow ration (STILL SNOWING)

DAN: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

PGV: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

ORF: 1.5 snow, 0.05 liquid, 30 to 1 snow ratio (STILL SNOWING)

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This one looks like it’ll rotate through the western side of Wake. Even small returns producing decent flurries. Looks like it is staying under areas for at least an hour.

0af3e5eb087747729e3477f1c3a2ad09.jpg


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

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1 minute ago, griteater said:

I have the spreadsheet whipped up and ready for the forecast contest results, but I just need the final snow numbers once the storm is done.

Using Weather Underground, here's what I've got...

AVL: 2.2 snow, 0.08 liquid, 28 to 1 snow ratio

GSP: 3.1 snow, 0.29 liquid, 11 to 1 snow ratio

CLT: 3.5 snow, 0.38 liquid, 9 to 1 snow ratio

GSO: 6.0 snow, ? (bad data), ?

RDU: 5.0 snow, 0.49 liquid, 10 to 1 snow ration (STILL SNOWING)

DAN: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

PGV: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

ORF: 1.5 snow, 0.05 liquid, 30 to 1 snow ratio (STILL SNOWING)

Last airport total here was 8.8 at 9 p.m. and it hasnt snowed much since then.

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3 minutes ago, griteater said:

I have the spreadsheet whipped up and ready for the forecast contest results, but I just need the final snow numbers once the storm is done.

Using Weather Underground, here's what I've got...

AVL: 2.2 snow, 0.08 liquid, 28 to 1 snow ratio

GSP: 3.1 snow, 0.29 liquid, 11 to 1 snow ratio

CLT: 3.5 snow, 0.38 liquid, 9 to 1 snow ratio

GSO: 6.0 snow, ? (bad data), ?

RDU: 5.0 snow, 0.49 liquid, 10 to 1 snow ration (STILL SNOWING)

DAN: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

PGV: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

ORF: 1.5 snow, 0.05 liquid, 30 to 1 snow ratio (STILL SNOWING)

RDU is surely higher than 5" now. That was as of 5 PM and there was still moderate snow going then.

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2 minutes ago, WidreMann said:

RDU is surely higher than 5" now. That was as of 5 PM and there was still moderate snow going then.

Most def. Closer to 8".

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Chapel Hilligans...what's happening under that band moving through? Looks like it could be moderate snow based on radar. I hope it makes to Durham.

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6.75” here just 2.5 miles east of Youngsville, NC off Hwy 96.  Definitely a great storm.  Played in it all day with the kids and other adults. One that will be remembered.  Pic when I can. 

 

NWS and WRAL both showed 11” close to where I live.  Not sure who measured that or reported it but they must have gotten under a heavy heavy band. 

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2.5" down, looks like more is coming according to radar. NE NC could seriously overperform.

 Mesoscale Discussion 0031
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0909 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

   Areas affected...The Outer Banks area of North Carolina into the
   Tidewater area of southeast Virginia

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 180309Z - 180715Z

   SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates in excess of 1 inch per hour, including
   occasional heavier convective bursts, may develop across the North
   Carolina Outer Banks area, possibly into portions of the Virginia
   Tidewater, during the 11 PM to 4 AM time frame.

   DISCUSSION...A significant mid-level trough is forecast to continue
   pivoting east of the southern Appalachians during the next few
   hours.  As it does, models suggest that it may take on more of a
   neutral to negative tilt, accompanied by an increasingly better
   defined lower/mid tropospheric cyclonic circulation center across
   the piedmont through coastal areas.  This appears likely to
   contribute to a consolidating area of upward vertical motion, with
   considerable strengthening by the 05-08Z time frame, centered across
   the Outer Banks area of North Carolina.

   Aided by dynamic cooling, cold advection and melting precipitation,
   thermodynamic profiles near immediate coastal areas are expected to
   cool entirely below freezing, supporting snow or a changeover to
   snow.  Rapid Refresh forecast soundings indicate that lift may
   become maximized within the dendritic growth layer for several
   hours, supporting snow rates in excess of 1 inch per hour, in the
   presence of precipitable water between .5 and .75 inches.  At least
   some convective enhancement appears possible leading to occasional
   heavier bursts of snow, before diminishing/spreading offshore after
   08-09Z.

   It is possible similar snow rates could impact portions of the
   southeast Virginia Tidewater, but the most prolonged/heaviest snow 
   appears most likely to the south, across the Outer Banks area
   near/north of Cape Hatteras.

   ..Kerr.. 01/18/2018
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Just stopped here, for gas, in Plymouth, NC.  It's 32f, with SN accompanied by gusty winds.   

Ironically, about 20 minutes ago, between Washington and Plymouth,  temp was 26f and BLSN.  These areas have a coating, but are accumulating at a respectable rate.  

Onward to Hatteras island. 

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7 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said:

4 inches on the deck, 25.5 under the deck, still snowing. 

Two feet of snow under the deck. Fascinating.

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2 minutes ago, PortsmouthWeather said:

Im sitting between 3.5 to 4 inches of snow in Portsmouth but it is really picking up. You may want to hold off on that Norfolk Total for a few hours 

 

I'm in Hampton but right next to the HRBT. 

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1 minute ago, Coach McGuirk said:

I'm in Hampton but right next to the HRBT. 

Closing in on 3" in Va Beach. I have a feeling we'll bust high

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Just now, SteveVa said:

Closing in on 3" in Va Beach. I have a feeling we'll bust high

The forecast was for 2-3 inches for the Hampton Roads.  I'm already at 4 inches of snow. 

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Up to 13” now in NW Raleigh and I still expect to see another 3-4” based on the latest runs of my homebrew model.

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1 hour ago, griteater said:

I have the spreadsheet whipped up and ready for the forecast contest results, but I just need the final snow numbers once the storm is done.

Using Weather Underground, here's what I've got...

AVL: 2.2 snow, 0.08 liquid, 28 to 1 snow ratio

GSP: 3.1 snow, 0.29 liquid, 11 to 1 snow ratio

CLT: 3.5 snow, 0.38 liquid, 9 to 1 snow ratio

GSO: 6.0 snow, ? (bad data), ?

RDU: 5.0 snow, 0.49 liquid, 10 to 1 snow ration (STILL SNOWING)

DAN: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

PGV: need source for data (STILL SNOWING)

ORF: 1.5 snow, 0.05 liquid, 30 to 1 snow ratio (STILL SNOWING)

36yKiBD.jpg

 

Greensboro with officially 8.3 on there but alot of the city has more than that 

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6 minutes ago, RAH_MET said:

Up to 13” now in NW Raleigh and I still expect to see another 3-4” based on the latest runs of my homebrew model.

wat

Maybe lay off the home brew.

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The official at the airport for Greensboro is 7.0". No clue what craziness went on with the liquid equivalent. It's accurate through the 15:54 measurement and there wasn't a ton of additional accumulation after that. An inch or less of high ratio stuff.

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Probably got 1.5-2" in eastern Pitt Co need this band to stick it out a few more hrs big flakes and good rates probably .5" a hr with a few burst of 1" a hr rates.....bet they are getting hammered out on the IBX...

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