lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 00Z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 06z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 06 Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 06 Hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Here come the warnings. OKC under winter storm warning. Looks like Tulsa will be too once they pull the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I am not going to jinx it yet. Really do like that all models are basically on board though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 For what it’s worth, it appears that the NAM is handling the current temps better than the other models. It’s down to 41 in Bentonville (NAM forecast is 42. HRRR is 44. Maybe it isn’t that big of a deal though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I honestly don’t remember the last time I was under a winter storm watch. This feels weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 HRRR 12z run is pretty impressive for much of SW Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 This may turn into an ice storm for some of us. Latest NAM has 1/2 inch of fz rain in Bentonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Canadian picking something up on the 12th. GFS had it there a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMT417 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Something wrong here SGF still calling for 4”-6” for the metro less than 24 hours until the event. It just can’t be..:or can it??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z NAM a bit concerning for temps. More sleet and freezing rain showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, JoMo said: 12z NAM a bit concerning for temps. More sleet and freezing rain showing up. HRRR had a big sleet storm for just south of the OKc meto area as the system starts to move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, JMT417 said: Something wrong here SGF still calling for 4”-6” for the metro less than 24 hours until the event. It just can’t be..:or can it??? If you believe the 12Z HRRR then it's not out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z NaM AT 6AM 12Z hRRR AT 6AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 There are convective elements with that glob of moisture. Whoever is cold enough to snow at all levels will get walloped just north of the sleet line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, JoMo said: 12z NAM a bit concerning for temps. More sleet and freezing rain showing up. It is running about 2 degrees too warm at the surface already though. Will be interesting to watch as the day goes along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Getting increasingly concerned that the strongest low-mid level FGEN and vertical ascent may set up right over the I-44 corridor in OK and N TX with this. Someone who stays cold enough is going to see 12-18”, which, for here, is crippling. With that said, the 3 km NAM seems stubbornly persistent in its idea of really suffocating the band before anything really gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 The GFS has not backed down at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 There seems to have been a bit of a NW trend recently. I hope Norman doesn't wind up being too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 The 12km NAM appears to be the closest with surface temps for the Springfield metro so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, lokee said: 12z Canadian Still continues to show very little sleet/fz rain at all versus the other models. And it shifted very slightly SE versus 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I figured Tulsa would have pulled the trigger already on the winter storm warning. But maybe they're waiting until lunchtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Surface temps are going to be close. Tulsa is at it's peak of snow and at 33?? YIKES! We need these temps to come down or it's going to limit totals A LOT! 12Z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12 Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, lokee said: So, is this ahead of schedule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, ouamber said: So, is this ahead of schedule? I tried to pull it off the mesonet site and it gave me this. I deleted the post. I was hoping i would get it off before someone saw it. My fault. I have no idea what this is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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