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Jim Martin

Severe Weather Risk This Weekend

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8 minutes ago, SmokeEater said:

My Dad in Orange Beach is gonna have to contend with 2 supercells, and then the line. Great....

Think that Leesburg storm has the most potential of the 3.

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1 minute ago, SouthernNJ said:

The storms over Okahumpka and Paisley FL certainly could put down

at any moment.

 

1 minute ago, Clyde said:

Think that Leesburg storm has the most potential of the 3.

Been watching this one. It looks interesting! 

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2 minutes ago, Clyde said:

Think that Leesburg storm has the most potential of the 3.

Yup, that's what I'm thinking, he's in a campground. They had a block building to go to for shelter, keeping him advised constantly.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
658 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
FLC069-127-230030-  
/O.CON.KMLB.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170123T0030Z/  
LAKE FL-VOLUSIA FL-  
658 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EST FOR  
NORTHEASTERN LAKE AND NORTHWESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES...  
      
AT 657 PM EST, A STRONG TORNADO WAS INDICATED BY RADAR OVER DELAND,  
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.   
  
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.   

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DeLand was nailed back in Feb 2007, actually the 2nd day of the EF scale being implemented. That area is very familiar with strong tornadoes.

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Obvious doughnut hole on the reflectivity on the De Land, FL storm. Velocities back it up, but no TDS yet. Heading right for the north side of town

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2007 storm went through southern Deland as an EF2. Was a peak EF3 west of there and took 21 lives in Paisley and Lack Mack areas. This hit in the middle of the night though. No ground truth on the local stations yet.

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Might be reorganizing east or a secondary circulation there. It is going to be pretty close to Daytona either way.

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1 minute ago, SmokeEater said:

Just dont let that sucker turn right..... One behind it looks to be the exact same track.

Pretty good couplet with that one as well.

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Definitely some reorganization happening on the cell headed for Daytona. The Eustis storm behind it appeared to have a TDS for at at least one scan.

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Goodness...that Eustis cell. You just don't see sups like that here in Central Florida. All of this is still North of me, but the cells near Lakeland I'll have to keep an eye on.

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Four tornado warned supercells now stretching from just north of St Augustine down to Daytona Beach. All have at the least decent velocity couplets. Eustis cell is a beast, and the Daytona storm is reorganizing.

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Just now, CryHavoc said:

Holy spirits, that hook echo near Umatilla.  Debris ball on radar.

That debris is even being picked up on the JAX radar! 

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VERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
712 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
FLC069-127-230030-  
/O.CON.KMLB.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170123T0030Z/  
LAKE FL-VOLUSIA FL-  
712 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EST FOR  
NORTHEASTERN LAKE AND NORTHWESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES...  
      
AT 709 PM EST, TWO STRONG AND DANGEROUS TORNADOES WERE INDICATED BY  
RADAR. THE FIRST WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF DELAND AIRPORT,  
AND RAPIDLY APPROACHING DAYTONA BEACH. THE SECOND WAS NEAR UMATILLA  
MOVING TOWARD PINE LAKE AND LAKE MACK. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 60  
MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADOES.   
  
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.   

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