UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Straight bi-polar some of these guys lmao... massive mood swings based off whatever the latest run is.. id hate to be their wife, child, or husband... man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Euro, ukie, hi res Nam, RGEM.... 2+ feet for all up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 22 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euro, ukie, hi res Nam, RGEM.... 2+ feet for all up here The euro was the biggest of them all. I think the ukie shows similar amounts tho. 30" now looks like a real possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster15 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Hey all- I had been in Monroe for many years now living in Sloatsburg in Rockland couple miles below Tuxedo and bordering Harriman State park. Was a long time forum member but haven't posted in a few years. Had to register a new account now. Hoping I'm still In a good spot to cash in like it sounds you guys will! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I love the "b" word. Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 How do actual observations look to our SW as far as phasing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Good morning!!!!!!!!!! Where has this damn storm track been the past 7 yrs?!?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 12z NAM.... Enjoy fwiw.. This map looks alot like the 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Wife was home today... I literally just woke, I'm so tired from this storm haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Insane dbz tomorrow am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Wife was home today... I literally just woke, I'm so tired from this storm haha Save all these pictures bro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Insane dbz tomorrow am Can the dream become a reality? It's looking more and more like the answer is yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Almost a 100% chance of 12"+ from the Euro ensembles... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 21 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Almost a 100% chance of 12"+ from the Euro ensembles... 3k NAM has some of us receiving 12" in 2-3 hrs lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Among the many great things with this storm is that we have wiggle room up here for the first time in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 The best storm in years and I'm stuck down here in Florida until Saturday! Hopefully no power outages since the family is home. Enjoy the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I am with you guys as far as it has been way too long, way too long to get a storm like this where we are safely tucked into the safe jackpot zone with wiggle room. I honestly can't remember the last time I was in this setup. Hope it all verifies as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 27 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Among the many great things with this storm is that we have wiggle room up here for the first time in a long time. True. I think I will put a yardstick out for the measurement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 GFS.. Baby steps toward the rest of guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 33 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Among the many great things with this storm is that we have wiggle room up here for the first time in a long time. Was just thinking this as well. It can jog 25-50 miles E and we are still golden. Like I've always said in order for us to be in this position the coast needs to taint or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Midday roundup for the interior, sans the Euro. It's time to seriously consider the possibility that many of us see 2" or more inches of liquid. I haven't really checked forecast soundings, but climo SLRs are around 11-12:1 around here, so do the math. WRF-ARW: 2.5" - 3.0" LE (http://i.imgur.com/xaEuccA.gif) UKMET: 2.0" - 3.0" (http://i.imgur.com/TzrIC3D.gif) CMC: 2.2" - 2.5" (http://i.imgur.com/QzZWKPR.png) 4km NAM: 2.0" - 2.7" (http://i.imgur.com/5osX6HF.png) RGEM: 2.0" - 2.6" (http://i.imgur.com/3nsDWjl.png) 12km NAM: 2.0" - 2.5" (http://i.imgur.com/N95TASE.png) 3km NAM: 1.6" - 2.4" (http://i.imgur.com/aHbBqpz.png) ICON: 1.6" - 2.2" (http://i.imgur.com/499hmp9.gif) GFS: 1.5" - 2.0" (http://i.imgur.com/PEIy463.png) SREFs: 1.5" - 1.75"+, KPOU plumes from 0.69" to 2.6" with a mean of 1.62" (http://i.imgur.com/d8ZXVtV.gif) Bonus: 80%+ probability of 24" snow amounts in our area from the NCAR ensembles (http://i.imgur.com/5CTiMrd.png) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, snywx said: Was just thinking this as well. It can jog 25-50 miles E and we are still golden. Like I've always said in order for us to be in this position the coast needs to taint or rain. Yeah but it's no excuse for them behaving like little children. And I'm sure that the posts the mods deleted that I didn't see were a lot worse lol. It's like they don't understand the climatology of the area, there's a reason that outside of one blizzard over 100 years ago when the climate was entirely different, that NYC doesn't see big 20"+ snowstorms in March. If this had been DJF it would have been a different story. The way they behave it's like they don't think they'll be around to see another winter and when you tell them next year is likely to be an el nino with a southern storm track, it falls on deaf ears- it's the classic instant gratification syndrome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 16 minutes ago, Paragon said: Yeah but it's no excuse for them behaving like little children. And I'm sure that the posts the mods deleted that I didn't see were a lot worse lol. It's like they don't understand the climatology of the area, there's a reason that outside of one blizzard over 100 years ago when the climate was entirely different, that NYC doesn't see big 20"+ snowstorms in March. If this had been DJF it would have been a different story. The way they behave it's like they don't think they'll be around to see another winter and when you tell them next year is likely to be an el nino with a southern storm track, it falls on deaf ears- it's the classic instant gratification syndrome. What? Lol did I miss something ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Cut my Florida vacation short for this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 11 minutes ago, snywx said: What? Lol did I miss something ? plenty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Euro is epic for us again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Euro is epic for us again One of the best Euro runs I've ever seen. We're locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 19 minutes ago, snywx said: What? Lol did I miss something ? lol the kiddies were cliff jumping late last night. It was hard to keep up. I think the mods cleaned things up this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I will caution that at this point the mid-level lows look to track overhead or just to our west, so there could be a period of lousy snow growth. Funny to say but we could almost stand to benefit from an easterly nudge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: I will caution that at this point the mid-level lows look to track overhead or just to our west, so there could be a period of lousy snow growth. Funny to say but we could almost stand to benefit from an easterly nudge. So, a difference between 18 vs 24 inches? I can live with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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