TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Numerous chances on the 00z GFS towards the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 EURO has a chance too at hours 216-240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 EPS continues to look with with high lat blocking near Alaska. They bake, we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS continues to look with with high lat blocking near Alaska. They bake, we take Really nice look to guidance for the heart of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Maybe no grinch storm this year? How we pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 33 minutes ago, weathafella said: Really nice look to guidance for the heart of December. Mid December has been a period that we have had a lot of luck with historically speaking....its several days beyond that point that's been the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 GFS with another nrn ME pummeler next week. The whole look is interesting with the Gulf low weakening and hanging around before developing a new low along the inv trough near SNE and blowing it up for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Canadian is similar too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS with another nrn ME pummeler next week. The whole look is interesting with the Gulf low weakening and hanging around before developing a new low along the inv trough near SNE and blowing it up for NNE. Wouldn't that give SNE some wintry mischief? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Kevin it gives us snow on the backside of the developing low pressure center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Kevin it gives us snow on the backside of the developing low pressure center. Yup. Backlash, inv troughs and anafrontal......three mechanisms of the "promised land". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yup. Backlash, inv troughs and anafrontal......three mechanisms of the "promised land". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: All joking aside, I'd take my chances with this background state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wouldn't that give SNE some wintry mischief? Maybe. Really too early to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 I can't wait for mid December and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I can't wait for mid December and beyond. A day 9 cutter for kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Manitoba Mauler type of upper level low showing up on the GFS towards Mid Month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Day 9 isn't mid December now is it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Day 9 isn't mid December now is it No, it's just fun telling weenies that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All joking aside, I'd take my chances with this background state. Not to intrude on the SNE forum, but it looks like we'll have some chances down here too. Gotta like the chances up there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Looks like GFS Is just cold for MID December, no longer stormy look to it at least on the 14th and 15th as flow is actually flatter than what we want, but there is resemblance of a +PNA ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Not to intrude on the SNE forum, but it looks like we'll have some chances down here too. Gotta like the chances up there though. You in school? I miss you being in Woburn...cool comparing obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Looks like GFS Is just cold for MID December, no longer stormy look to it at least on the 14th and 15th as flow is actually flatter than what we want, but there is resemblance of a +PNA ridge. The op changes will drive you mad. The GFS went 1980s on us. Cold/cutter/cold. But overall..I'd rather have the cold and let the chances fall as they may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 NNE's revenge. This winter climo fights back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The op changes will drive you mad. The GFS went 1980s on us. Cold/cutter/cold. But overall..I'd rather have the cold and let the chances fall as they may. Both versions are entirely valid, too. Those are the risks because as I, along with many others have pointed out, the pattern is not "spectacular", regardless of what any single suite of guidance may have implied....but rather serviceable. It could suck, and it could be fun.......that is the risk when the cold dumps out west. You want latitude because you have more of a shot of having enough cold nearby, so you can salvage individual systems with unfavorable tracks because we will have them. Have to hope for some favorable tracks because they aren't guaranteed. This is why the pattern will probably blow for the mid atl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Both versions are entirely valid, too. Those are the risks because as I, along with many others have pointed out, the pattern is not "spectacular", regardless of what any single suite of guidance may have implied....but rather serviceable. It could suck, and it could be fun.......that is the risk when the cold dumps out west. You want latitude because you have more of a shot of having enough cold nearby, so you can salvage individual systems with unfavorable tracks because we will have them. Have to hope for some favorable tracks because they aren't guaranteed. This is why the pattern will probably blow for the mid atl. I like the active look....I'd take my chances..esp where you and Will are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like the active look....I'd take my chances..esp where you and Will are. GEFS countinue to look very nice with several snow chances. It will probably snow a little Monday. All falling into place. GEFS keeping ridging above the north slope in the 11-15 is continuation of guidance we've seen for the past few days. Very nice look to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like the active look....I'd take my chances..esp where you and Will are. Agreed. Hey, gf lives on the south side of Worcester, too haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Euro looks like it tries to pop a weak srfc reflection late aftn near and just off ern MA for Monday. May have to watch to see if it happens earlier. A stronger nrn stream s/w would help that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 30 minutes ago, weathafella said: GEFS countinue to look very nice with several snow chances. It will probably snow a little Monday. All falling into place. GEFS keeping ridging above the north slope in the 11-15 is continuation of guidance we've seen for the past few days. Very nice look to me. ENS, as usual, are most likely the way to go in the extended. It probably isn't going to suck, but I wouldn't expect 12/70, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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