STL Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Anyone mind posting GEFS members? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Big hit on the 12z Parallel Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Big hit on the 12z Parallel Euro. What's it look like through Ohio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Big hit on the 12z Parallel Euro. I hate Apps runners. There's so few analogs. Makes you realize how improbable it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I hate Apps runners. There's so few analogs. Makes you realize how improbable it is. When was the last time time we had a true one? March 2008? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 When was the last time time we had a true one? March 2008? If my memory serves me, yeah, that was the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I hate Apps runners. There's so few analogs. Makes you realize how improbable it is. When they do happen--they are definitely appreciated around here. 12z ensembles all over the place but appears that the OP models moved in the right direction today. What's it look like through Ohio? 6"+ for Dayton/Columbus. 1ft+ for Cleveland assuming the snow algorithm is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Whats the para look like for SE Michigan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 When they do happen--they are definitely appreciated around here. 12z ensembles all over the place but appears that the OP models moved in the right direction today. 6"+ for Dayton/Columbus. 1ft+ for Cleveland assuming the snow algorithm is correct. sounds like some mixing issues around cmh? 18z gfs actually starts as rain here and then turns over as the low starts pulling east. The euro did the same thing but the euro took the storm north so we stayed in the precip long enough to get a lot of snow. The gfs pulls the low east of us and thus precip cuts off pretty quickly after we change to snow. Point is, lots of issues to work through on this one....but keeps it interesting I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 If my memory serves me, yeah, that was the last one.We're due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Whats the para look like for SE Michigan? Looks like the heaviest snow stays east of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Thought you guys like to see the GEFS members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Looks like the heaviest snow stays east of you. just checked it out. Para is almost a carbon copy of the OP wrt snowfall output through the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We're due. I can think of more retrograding coastal/inland runner storms that dumped on us (December 1992, March 2001, November 2002, December 2014) than true Apps runners. March 2008...and that's about it. The February 1984 blizzard looked like an Apps runner per the NARR page on EWALL. So two in the last 30 years. edit: Maybe you can add December 2004 to that list, if we're using a generous definition of "Apps runner". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Time for SEMI and the Josh jackpot to start reeling this one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This reminds me of the days leading up to March '08. Will be a nail-biter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Time for SEMI and the Josh jackpot to start reeling this one in. Please...have mercy on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Where's Hoosier? JB is actually using the FIM as his model of choice for this storm... not joking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Where's Hoosier? JB is actually using the FIM as his model of choice for this storm... not joking. I can see why. He's being a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Where's Hoosier? JB is actually using the FIM as his model of choice for this storm... not joking. Says all you need to know about that guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Please...have mercy on us. I like snow too, so as long as the current Euro holds I am fine as we both cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Please...have mercy on us. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This reminds me of the days leading up to March '08. Will be a nail-biter. Please no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I like snow too, so as long as the current Euro holds I am fine as we both cash in. Ok. But 12z EURO has close to 2" of QPF for us. Looks like <1/2" for SE MI near the St. Clair/Detroit River. That's generous of you to cede that much juice to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Thought you guys like to see the GEFS members. All_USA_ASNOWI72_sfc_138.gif Thanks Geos. 13 members get us over 6" and so does the mean. I can live with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Ok. But 12z EURO has close to 2" of QPF for us. Looks like <1/2" for SE MI near the St. Clair/Detroit River. That's generous of you to cede that much juice to me. The problem is for us to split the difference and lets say SEMI gets 1.2" liquid, your area would more than likely be mixing/rain. I'll take what I can get on this one and be happy since Hillsdale killed the clipper for SEMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This reminds me of the days leading up to March '08. Will be a nail-biter. I can live with something like that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Is this the storm you guys are talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Is this the storm you guys are talking about? That's the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Is this the storm you guys are talking about? yea but that map looks kind of odd. CMH officially recorded 21" We were literally the bullseye for that storm, although I think places in Canada might have even done better. Sometimes I think we are still paying the price for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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