Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 7

[Quixotic1]

Sirens going off. Golf ball sized hail.

[bubba hotep]

Hard to tell for sure, but that boundary looks like it might be folding back on itself to the north? Could be a big problem in northern Dallas or southern Collin County. 

[Quixotic1]

Not as bad as you had it a few weeks ago but it's bad. Roof is going to be in doubt. I've got some video of the bigger stones bouncing high into the air. The street is a river

[bubba hotep]

We got bigger hail but not as much as last time. However, still butchered the trees that just had recovered

 

[radarman]

The cell has reorganized and looks strong over Rockwall County on Nexrad at the moment.  Mesquite radar will be online soon, but unfortunate we didn't have it up for today. 

[bubba hotep]

The cell has reorganized and looks strong over Rockwall County on Nexrad at the moment.  Mesquite radar will be online soon, but unfortunate we didn't have it up for today. 

 

Tornado sirens are going in Lavon and Rockwall, it sounds like 

[janetjanet998]

NWS is saying rotation now

 

also softball sized hail

[bubba hotep]

[1900hurricane]

The temp spread is fairly large on either side of the pre-existing boundary. With the storm passing just behind it, low-level shear is probably being enhanced, but it also isn't surface-based. Elevated mesocyclones can still produce some big time hail though, especially with abundant CAPE like today.

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[bubba hotep]

And before today, already $1.5+ billion in hail damage across DFW in the highlighted areas and the cell this evening looks to track across at least a portion of the blue area:

 

 

And the new swath should easily push things over $2 billion! 

 

[bubba hotep]

Feel lucky to only have lost back window of car. Some amazing damage pics coming in:

 

[bubba hotep]

Wylie ISD is closed tomorrow because of widespread extreme hail damage.

[bubba hotep]

Up next for DFW, flooding rains?

 

[bubba hotep]

There is pretty good agreement b/w the models on the upcoming pattern and a blend of the 00z Euro EPS and GEFS would put the axis of heaviest rain near the I35 corridor.  

 

[bubba hotep]

So surly this means that my house has hit it's hail quote for the next 10 years? Destructive hail twice in just over two weeks for the overlap area. Then the area down by George Bush and 30 was hit by the Dec 26th tornado. 

 

[Quixotic1]

So surly this means that my house has hit it's hail quote for the next 10 years? Destructive hail twice in just over two weeks for the overlap area. Then the area down by George Bush and 30 was hit by the Dec 26th tornado. 

 

Haha.  I'd bet at least 4 more in the next 9 years.  

[Calderon]

So surly this means that my house has hit it's hail quote for the next 10 years? Destructive hail twice in just over two weeks for the overlap area. Then the area down by George Bush and 30 was hit by the Dec 26th tornado. 

 

I'd expand that to include a large lobe from a cell that exploded and almost immediately went severe and merged into the main body of the in progress supercell. Richardson had hail over 1in in diameter reported and almost the entire city of Plano, exception west Plano/Legacy West.

 

It was quite the sight to watch it pass a comfortably close distance north of Love Field though. We were incredibly concerned about our planes.

[jm1220]

Some nice cells popping over the Edwards Plateau, one or two are warned. Severe t-storm watch in effect from just south of here to Del Rio. 

[bubba hotep]

The March PDO came in at 2.40 and the only comparable year is 1941 that came in at 2.41. That year stayed positive right on through the year and the climate models seem to be indicating that could very well happen this year. The NMME goes out to SON:

Also, 1941 had above normal precipitation across all of Texas for AMJ and that is looking like a good bet again this year.

[jm1220]

San Antonio currently under a warning for a storm with baseball sized hail. Storms just north up to San Marcos look to be bowing out. Very, very nasty conditions just SW of here. Currently some pretty loud thunder where I am, worst looks to slide just south of Austin right now. 

[jm1220]

Severe storms continuing west of San Antonio too. One warned currently about 50 miles west with tennis ball sized hail. 

[bubba hotep]

San Antonio currently under a warning for a storm with baseball sized hail. Storms just north up to San Marcos look to be bowing out. Very, very nasty conditions just SW of here. Currently some pretty loud thunder where I am, worst looks to slide just south of Austin right now.

Looks like another bad combo of wind driven large hail in a densely populated suburban area. Seeing reports of 3.5"+ hail and winds over 60 mph.

[jm1220]

Looks like another bad combo of wind driven large hail in a densely populated suburban area. Seeing reports of 3.5"+ hail and winds over 60 mph.

Yep, these storms look to be producing some purple echos once in a while-likely huge hail under them. Austin's dodging a huge bullet tonight. Hopefully northern San Antonio isn't too bad, but it's looking like they had it rough. 

[omega]

There are several pictures on social media tonight of roughly tennis ball size hail in the San Antonio area tonight. 

[jm1220]

3-4" hail photos from northern San Antonio showing up on the NWS Twitter account. Unbelievable-that'll do some damage. 

 

Where I am, heavy rain and some loud thunder, that's about it. Edit-very heavy rain now. My street and parking lot are a river. 

[jm1220]

2" of rain so far here. Still coming down light-moderate, but besides some showers we're about done. 

[TalcottWx]

In the bow echo category of your meteo 101 textbooks...

 

[Chinook]

radar at the time of 3" hail in the San Antonio metro area

 

[Chinook]

possible 1 to 2" hail core moving through the SW Houston area

 

[jhamps10]

So surly this means that my house has hit it's hail quote for the next 10 years? Destructive hail twice in just over two weeks for the overlap area. Then the area down by George Bush and 30 was hit by the Dec 26th tornado.

HA, nowhere near close to quota.. Probably can kiss cheap insurance rates goodbye for a few years when shopping around now tho.... (Former sales agent here)