JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Springfield FB graphic (you may not be able to see this): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I was just getting ready to post that JoMo! RAP and HRRR show some pretty intense banding features later this evening. Will be fun to watch this unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Get the bread and milk ready up in MO the 18z NAM burying the I44 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Didn't really see any big changes with the 18z NAM, 850's looked a little cooler farther south, and the band of snow in SW MO nudged north a tiny bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Yah I guess I just noticed how much precip the NAM is laying down up there. Quite impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Yah I guess I just noticed how much precip the NAM is laying down up there. Quite impressive. Agreed. Interesting that the NAM clears the stuff out of here before noon, unlike some of the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Sounds like a Winter Storm Warning upgrade is coming for parts of OK currently under the Advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Sounds like a Winter Storm Warning upgrade is coming for parts of OK currently under the Advisory. Yeah looks like it will be necessary for at least everyone north of I-40. Temperature are starting to fall back off now also so I'm not as worried as I was earlier. Looking at a RH and dew point map from the mesonet, I don't think this storm will have a problem getting moisture once it gets going. May be a good justification for the amounts increasing in Oklahoma as I think the original expectation was for it to be moisture starved until it git into Arkansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 New Winter Storm Warnings have been sent out for the TSA counties which were upgraded. Looks like 3-6" of snow and sleet.... with a note that if the predominate precip type is sleet, then snowfall amounts will be lower. Springfield AFD is out, didn't say a whole lot compared to what we already know, did mention some convective elements with instability and some areas may see 2+" per hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 And updated Winter Storm Warning is out for Springfield's CWA. Mention of a widespread 6-8" with locally higher amounts of 10-12" in localized bands especially in southern Missouri. Snowfall rates in excess of 2 inches per hours in these bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This is shaping up nicely for some snow. If you had asked me 36 hrs ago I would have said we won't get much. As of this morning the models started looking impressive. Just north of I44 looks to pickup some significant snows in NE Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Doug Cramer with the Springfield webbriefing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 18Z RGEM looks a tick south with the precip, but seems weaker to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 18Z RGEM looks a tick south with the precip, but seems weaker to me. Where are you getting the RGEM at? I can't find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Tropical Tidbits has all of the mesoscale models, including RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 18z GFS repositioned the heavier snow over SW MO from SE KS. Now virtually all models are in agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Hope you guys in east OK and SW MO and AR get in on it good. Down here in OKC, looking at about a tenth of an inch of freezing rain, with 1-2" of sleet and snow. This winter has been so bad that I'll take it, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm going to take a superblend of them all and say I'm in pretty good shape for decent amounts of all 3 precip types. Will be an interesting storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Should I be concerned with the temps? Its been in the 40's here all day and still is. Tulsa is confusing me with the updates, now im on the border between 5-7 and 3-5" of snow/sleet. Its already started to drizzle here. Not sure why they bumped snow totals up? Are the models showing it going a little bit south again, so confusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Really considering driving up to Guthrie, OK. The 21Z HRRR is showing 0.9-1.1 inches of liquid QPF falling up there in what will be the beginning of that southwest/northeast oriented band into MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Should I be concerned with the temps? Its been in the 40's here all day and still is. Tulsa is confusing me with the updates, now im on the border between 5-7 and 3-5" of snow/sleet. Its already started to drizzle here. Not sure why they bumped snow totals up? Are the models showing it going a little bit south again, so confusing. Nah, they'll wetbulb down eventually. We may get some 'bonus' precip if things moisten up quicker than expected though. Already seeing some drizzle/freezing drizzle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow the HRRR is showing a tiny red streak of 12 in sleet and snow total wherever that band sets up...running straight through Tulsa currently. (Not that I believe that actually happening). Fun to dream though:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westhope84 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Starting to think Tulsa may get hit pretty hard. SW Missouri looks like a lock for a substantial event. Let's get the atmosphere saturated and the show on the road! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Nah, they'll wetbulb down eventually. We may get some 'bonus' precip if things moisten up quicker than expected though. Already seeing some drizzle/freezing drizzle here. Yea figured that, is drizzly here off and on also. Im still not feeling it for this area, dont wanna be too negative though cause I think some people are gonna get nailed by this pretty good. I think your area right down to the extreme border and right along it look good, just my opinion of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yea figured that, is drizzly here off and on also. Im still not feeling it for this area, dont wanna be too negative though cause I think some people are gonna get nailed by this pretty good. I think your area right down to the extreme border and right along it look good, just my opinion of course. I hope you're wrong about us getting missed down here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I hope you're wrong about us getting missed down here! I dont know we may get an inch or two at best by what I see,read and hear. Who knows for certain though, hell it looks like just north starting in rogers is where that heavier snow starts and goes right up to where jomo is. Little rock looks to get crushed by freezing rain. I just dont have a good feeling about it for here, I been really watching and reading everything regarding this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusfront Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 is anyone getting any fzra ??/ wondering how much we are supposed to get here in Joplin ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I guess the bottom half of my county is already pretty close to freezing and have had some people tell me they've saw some light sleet but I'm still sitting at 36 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Wetbulbed down to 29 degrees so far, dewpoint up to 13. Looks like a band of precip is going to push into here, probably be sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I guess the bottom half of my county is already pretty close to freezing and have had some people tell me they've saw some light sleet but I'm still sitting at 36 degrees. Yea im sitting at 38 here still according to my back yard weather station. What county you in if you dont mind me asking? I cant remember where half of everyone said they were from lol sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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