CoachLB Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Finished 8+. Snuck up to 35 and about an hour of freezing drizzle and mix. Took some melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 Is that stuff in southern Ind. going to make it this far north..radar filling in a bit there!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 18Z GFS still not buying what the NAM and Ukie are selling for Thursday. Not saying it can't happen, but it's rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Well i was one of the unfortunate ones that had to drive to work at 7am this morning and obviously it was horrible. There was 4-5" by that point on my car and i'd say i ended up with about 6" at this point. Drive home was much better. Roads are pretty much just wet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Somewhat unexpectedly have changed back to moderate snow with really big flakes here! CC product shows mix line near the OH river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 18Z GFS still not buying what the NAM and Ukie are selling for Thursday. Not saying it can't happen, but it's rare. the 18z gefs looks closer to the 18z nam than it does to the 18z gfs op....fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 the 18z gefs looks closer to the 18z nam than it does to the 18z gfs op....fwiw Wxpimp posted 12z Ukie clown map from wx bell looks way different than the one you posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wxpimp posted 12z Ukie clown map from wx bell looks way different than the one you posted. mine was the 00z...it also did that in two waves...one at day 4 and the other at day 5, hence the 144 hour total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 0z NAM plasters all but the northwest 1/4 of Ohio with 6"+. for the 4-6 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 nam is a crusher... I can see how this happens but I think we are going to need a bit more of a defined low, otherwise this trends southeast like all the other threats have. 00z runs should be quite telling. OHweather might have picked a bad time to head to Cleveland lol. Athens is looking sweet right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 nam is a crusher... I can see how this happens but I think we are going to need a bit more of a defined low, otherwise this trends southeast like all the other threats have. 00z runs should be quite telling. OHweather might have picked a bad time to head to Cleveland lol. Athens is looking sweet right now GFS still isn't buying it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seohiowx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GFS still isn't buying it Greetings from the hills of SE Ohio. Good to see you again Dilly... The NAM looks like a digital fantasy to me. The GFS looks more practical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Experimental hi-res FIM model says what snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 yea I think this one is a KY to DC threat...and maybe some light/mod snow for southeast OH. You have to think GFS would have started showing something by now....and the nam is probably just being the nam. Uk is actually back north a little, but that's because it actually has a stronger low on the front over WV. No other model showing that. That would be our only chance, otherwise this trends southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 yea I think this one is a KY to DC threat...and maybe some light/mod snow for southeast OH. You have to think GFS would have started showing something by now....and the nam is probably just being the nam. Uk is actually back north a little, but that's because it actually has a stronger low on the front over WV. No other model showing that. That would be our only chance, otherwise this trends southeast. I thought the euro and Canadian were also showing this??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I thought the euro and Canadian were also showing this??? they are but still heavily favor southeast OH.... snow shield just makes it to about I-71 I just think we see a southeast shift....just seems to be the way the models have been preforming lately, especially when there's cold air pressing in they seem to underestimate the strength and push. Like Mike said, we need a better developed low to hang up the front better. You never know what the 12z will bring, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 ILN's take on the Wed/Thurs event: 00Z GUIDANCE SHOWING DIFFERENCES IN HANDLING UPSTREAM ENERGY THATWILL MOVE TOWARDS THE REGION LATE IN THE PERIOD WHICH WILL AFFECTTHE AMPLITUDE OF A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE. THIS WILL BE CRITICAL INDETERMINING WHERE ACTIVE ZONE WILL BE AS DISTURBANCES MOVESTHROUGH THE WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW. HAVE OPTED TO USE THE ECMWF WHICHIS A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD SOLUTION. FOLLOWING THIS SUGGESTS THATPRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAYEVENING AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COULD BE QUITE A BIT OF QPF ACROSSTHE SOUTHERN COUNTIES. AND WITH COLD AIR CONTINUING TO SPREAD INFROM THE NORTHWEST...THIS PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BECOMEACCUMULATING SNOW. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE POTENTIAL FORMOST PRECIPITATION TO STAY SOUTH OF THE REGION AS PER THE GFS ORHEAVIER PRECIPITATION BEING FURTHER NORTH PER THE NAM. The GFS and Euro better start behaving today. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 More members of the 9Z SREF picking up on at least something. The mean is now over 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 More members of the 9Z SREF picking up on at least something. The mean is now over 3". it's interesting because the mean is a result of about half showing nothing and half showing big hits. Not too many in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seohiowx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM backs off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'm going to be very close to the line one this one. The SREF has 0-15" 30 miles south west of me. And 0-20" 50 miles east of me. I guess that puts me between 0-17.5"? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Canadian would still be a big hit (Edit: the map buckeye posted shows otherwise which don't make much sense compared to the map I seen). GFS is on the line now. NAM would be 3-5" with 50 miles south getting hammered. Can't see the UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seohiowx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Gallipolis, Pomeroy and the far SE river counties are looking great for maybe warning criteria. with colder drier air coming in from the NW.. I would suspect a sharp cut off somewhere between Columbus and the riiver. Maybe US 22... its going to be close guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 12z GEM Awaiting Buck to post the UKIE totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The mean on the 15Z SREF is up again with more members seeing at least SOMETHING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 So, uh, 18Z NAM lays the hammer down on our whole area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seohiowx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Could be a trend. Our it could be the NAM doing what the NAM does. One thing I know now that I wasn't sure of 24 hours ago. This event is going to happen. Someone is going to get hit hard. I tend to think its most likely to be areas along the river right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 So, uh, 18Z NAM lays the hammer down on our whole area! I don't know what it is about the "off" hour runs (6 & 18) of the NAM, but boy they come up w/ some wacky solutions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 we just got NAM'D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.