MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 It's not wayyyy west. It's probably further west than most guidance but meh anywhere outside of LI. Far eastern LI gets a pretty big hit It's way west for SNE. Boston gets over 1QPF. It's not far for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 It really was so close. The northern stream needed to be just a little faster. And i'm usually the one telling Ant to give up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 You can't make this up. Everything has been ddownhill as we got closer to every event. Only in March. December through February, most storms trended better for us as they got closer. I guess we were due to finally have some bad luck this winter. March was frustrating, but who can complain since we got nearly 60 inches of snow this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I bet the hours of the Ukie we haven't been able to see look somewhat like the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 It really was so close. The northern stream needed to be just a little faster. And i'm usually the one telling Ant to give up lol The low at 84 hours is enlogated towards the coast which means another low tries to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 With the low that close, there should be more precip. Euro develops 2 lows now. 1 closer to the benchmark and another way out to sea. Euro has more precip than the other models. Still really close. Nice run. This run crushes coastal SNE. Interesting-it may be going towards a solution where the storm flings too far east initially and then hooks north in time for coastal SNE. That seems like a decent enough possibility. I guess I have to at least hand it to the Euro to keep the threat alive for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 it's still 78 hours away from our latitude. and the euro is still within teeth gnashing distance. ,,,and eastern LI looks good as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Euro's major shift for New England is just enough to tease us to follow next runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The low at 84 hours is enlogated towards the coast which means another low tries to develop. Yea saw the same thing. Road trip to the Cape. Geez they get killed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 There's a double-barrell low at 84hr. The second low is just SE of 40/70 BM at 968mb. It's better for Eastern LI and SE New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just saw the precip map Euro has near .50QPF for NYC, 0.75-1.00QPF for central LI and over 1.00qpf for eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just saw the precip map Euro has near .50QPF for NYC, 0.75-1.00QPF for central LI and over 1.00qpf for eastern LI. You realize that's less than the 0.6+ that the 12Z had for NYC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Lol wb snow map has 24-30"+ amounts over the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Euro is a *major* snowstorm for Suffolk County and practically a crippling one over the Twin Forks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Euro is a *major* snowstorm for Suffolk County and practically a crippling one over the Twin Forks... 12"+ for Eastern LI. 6"+ central Nassau on east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Euro is a *major* snowstorm for Suffolk County and practically a crippling one over the Twin Forks... There is hope after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 The Euro is a *major* snowstorm for Suffolk County and practically a crippling one over the Twin Forks... Looks like Boxing Day 2010 about 100 miles northeast this time for this run. The fast southern stream I think is still yet our biggest foe in all this. It should hook north enough for someone but it might be Boston and shaft us (west of the William Floyd Pkwy maybe). We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 At least this helps keep me interested for the 12z runs...I think it will come down to where those thunderstorms form over the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Any Euro snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 0z Euro snowfall map shows 3-6 for NYC,6+ for central LI,10+ for eastern LI and 15+ for Montauk with 20+ for Cape Cod and Boston. Really tight gradient for the NYC area. This is close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 It funny now that the models seem to be diverging from each other somewhat after being very similar for the past few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like Boxing Day 2010 about 100 miles northeast this time for this run. The fast southern stream I think is still yet our biggest foe in all this. It should hook north enough for someone but it might be Boston and shaft us (west of the William Floyd Pkwy maybe). We'll see. 50 miles west for you and I and it's a different ball game. That's not much considering we are 3 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Central Park QPF is actually only a 3rd of an inch. Sharp gradient across LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like Boxing Day 2010 about 100 miles northeast this time for this run. The fast southern stream I think is still yet our biggest foe in all this. It should hook north enough for someone but it might be Boston and shaft us (west of the William Floyd Pkwy maybe). We'll see. This one's been back 'n forth so I don't really have a handle on it...though the ECMWF is now in its kill range (72 hours)....or thereabouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 0z Euro snowfall map shows 3-6 for NYC,6+ for central LI,10+ for eastern LI and 15+ for Montauk with 20+ for Cape Cod and Boston. Really tight gradient for the NYC area. This is close. You won't get 3 at Central Park with the surface temps as the are progged. 2 is a better number there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Central Park QPF is actually only a 3rd of an inch. Sharp gradient across LI. Really sharp. You can just walk and be in a SECS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like Boxing Day 2010 about 100 miles northeast this time for this run. The fast southern stream I think is still yet our biggest foe in all this. It should hook north enough for someone but it might be Boston and shaft us (west of the William Floyd Pkwy maybe). We'll see. Might be more in tune with February 1999... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 wtf. the euro snow map gives DC more snow than me. lol. nice. jesus. march sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Anyone explain (looking at WxBell PPV SLP) why there are two lows that makes sense? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 My guess is this is just the Euro slowly reacting to the east shift the other models had, it tends to not want to make big shifts, and its been magnified a bit this year because there has been alot of big shifts inside 96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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