Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 hr 45 mod snow is from nyc-east…..steady snow of nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Inverted trough at 42 through NNJ and into NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 .75+ from eastern nj-long island! eastern long island gets 1.00+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LI does much better than NE this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Through hour 48 MMU east is 0.75"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 .8-1" of liquid on this run for NE NJ/NYC/Western LI. Definitely better than the 12Z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Man cant wait for the 4k there should be an insane band over li from looking at the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Almost over at 48 hours. A good run for NYC - will depend a lot on the banding for the highest accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 At hour 39 a vort max passes right over southern NJ. That is classic for a big storm. Yup. That's a high-potential signal for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM has over an inch qpf for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 1.00"+ Queens on east. LI jackpots on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Models continue to suggest/insist on very good ratios on the back end as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 12-18" of snow from NE NJ to LI through HR 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 No precip at 51 hours. Time to dig out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I better not be watching a heavy band over Suffolk while Brooklyn stays light. Hate that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM has over an inch qpf for LI. The crazy thing is that band sets up as temps are crashing and ratios are going through the roof - The 4k should show that band even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Good run. Shows the upside we have here. QPF of .60 to .80 very common across nj. That's 8-12 inches on average with ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 No precip at 51 hours. Time to dig out . Just in time for Shabbos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The 4k NAM has a band of light snow developing tonight over the Hudson Valley and Poconos and keeping it around a few hours. Everywhere else the snow stays very light until Friday 00z. Anyone around the city shouldn't expect much before dark tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The reason LI is getting high totals is because of that CCB. 12z NAM had southern NJ getting the brunt of it, now the 18z NAM shift it 100 miles NE and LI gets it. That's a big shift, and I expect it to keep shifting all over the place. Not 100% sold on those totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hour 35 4k NAM strongest banding over south Jersey and central Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The reason LI is getting high totals is because of that CCB. 12z NAM had southern NJ getting the brunt of it, now the 18z NAM shift it 100 miles NE and LI gets it. That's a big shift, and I expect it to keep shifting all over the place. Not 100% sold on those totals. yea it will still, but with EURO and GFS looking wetter our chances of 8+ are rising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The reason LI is getting high totals is because of that CCB. 12z NAM had southern NJ getting the brunt of it, now the 18z NAM shift it 100 miles NE and LI gets it. That's a big shift, and I expect it to keep shifting all over the place. Not 100% sold on those totals. There might yet be a shift west with the heavy coastal precip- other models have that very close. The better trend at 500mb makes it more likely that we at least get swiped by it on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 By hour 39 on the 4k NAM the back edge is into Eastern PA. By the time you wake up on Friday morning this will be wrapping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hour 42 is purely inverted trough precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Just in time for Shabbos Services will go on even if there is no minyan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Has mt holly issued a new forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Let's call it a 12-14 hour event on the 18z 4k NAM for NYC proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Here is the NAM QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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