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Let's talk winter!


Steve

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8PM Obs... most of the reports are snow now in Indiana and Illinois.  Mix starting to move into the Cincinnati and Dayton areas.

http://goo.gl/maps/Tky9H

 

well if you believe the NWS radar that shows precip type (which I've found is actually pretty damn accurate), mix is as close as Champaign county.  Cold air is moving in, now we just wait for the precip to start filling in.  

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Really liking the ILN update.

 

A VERY LONG TRAIN OF PRECIPITATION WHICH IS
ALIGNING ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE INCREASING UPPER LEVEL JET
SAMPLED BY RAOBS TO THE NORTH/WEST. THE 05.18Z NCEP GUIDANCE /NAM
AND GFS/ CAME IN WITH VERY HEFTY QPF FROM NOW THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY EVENING...A BIG UPTICK OVER 05.12Z ECMWF GUIDANCE.
THE FORCING /FGEN AND POTENTIAL RELEASE OF INSTBY/ SUGGESTS THE
NCEP GUIDANCE MAY NOT BE TOO FAR OFF
...BUT LIKELY WILL NOT BE AS
WIDESPREAD AS THESE MODELS PORTRAY...BUT MORE IN LOCALIZED NARROW
CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED BANDS LATE TONIGHT/TOMORROW. THUS DON/T WANT
TO MOVE TOO FAR ABOVE CURRENT FCST AMOUNTS. STILL THE GREATEST
CONCERN AS OF EARLY THIS EVENINGS ANALYSIS...IS FOR POTENTIAL OF
NARROW BUT VERY HIGH IMPACT BAND OF SNOW /SOUTHEAST INDIANA INTO
DAYTON AND NEAR COLUMBUS/ DEVELOPING FRIDAY
...AND ALSO NARROW BUT
SIGNIFICANT BAND OF SLEET AND/OR FREEZING RAIN IN I-71 CORRIDOR
FROM CVG TO WILMINGTON TO AREAS SOUTH OF CMH.

 

It sounds like the Columbus area might see its snow forecast totals upped.

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well if you believe the NWS radar that shows precip type (which I've found is actually pretty damn accurate), mix is as close as Champaign county.  Cold air is moving in, now we just wait for the precip to start filling in.  

Not trying to be a downer...but are we not always waiting for the radar to fill..only to be disappointed most of the time..Hoping this time is different!!!

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Not trying to be a downer...but are we not always waiting for the radar to fill..only to be disappointed most of the time..Hoping this time is different!!!

 

as long as it's still liquid, the radar can look as crappy as it wants....just so long when it fills in we're cold enough for snow.   Remember we really aren't suppose to see snow til very early morning.

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as long as it's still liquid, the radar can look as crappy as it wants....just so long when it fills in we're cold enough for snow.   Remember we really aren't suppose to see snow til very early morning.

True...but I think it may be earlier then that..getting colder quicker I believe! 5 more degrees and were at 32..

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Hearing the pitter patter of sleet on my window just east of OSU airport. The wife was flushing ice down the toilet earlier. When I asked wtf she said her colleagues at work were all doing it to bring on a snow day (she works at a high school). I'm now certain we can count on at least 8 inches!

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